MLB Sportsbook Consensus Picks — Friday, August 7, 2026
Sources aggregated with flat, equal weighting: 5 computer-model sites, Action Network expert picks, and free handicapper sites (Sports Chat Place, StatSalt, Pickswise, Predictem, WagerTalk, Sportsbook Review). Moneyline board: 152 picks from 26 distinct models and cappers. Totals board: 95 picks from 15 distinct models and cappers (Dimers publishes win probability only and does not vote on totals). One capper counts once per board per game. All start times Eastern.
All 15 games on today’s card were still unstarted when this board was locked, so nothing has been excluded for being in progress. On the moneyline board, 9 of 15 games reached STRONG consensus, 3 came in as Lean and 3 as Split. On the totals board, 6 of 15 reached STRONG, 7 are Lean and 2 finished as an even Split.
Strongest Overlay — Cincinnati Reds +105 at Washington (6:45 PM ET)
Six of ten moneyline sources land on the Reds while the market still prices them at plus money — the only overlay on the board with 60% agreement. Atlanta +125 at the Yankees is the second overlay, backed by 8 of 14 sources (57%) including six separate Action Network experts, and it carries the better price. Both sit in the Lean tier rather than STRONG. Note that the overlay flag applies to the moneyline board only; Over/Under markets are priced near even money on both sides, so the totals board shows the consensus line instead.
Moneyline Consensus Board
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Odds | Tier | Overlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH @ BOS | 7:10 PM | BOS | 90% | 10/11 | -251 | STRONG | |
| MIN @ MIL | 7:40 PM | MIL | 88% | 8/9 | -163 | STRONG | |
| TOR @ PHI | 6:40 PM | PHI | 85% | 6/7 | -203 | STRONG | |
| COL @ STL | 8:15 PM | STL | 81% | 9/11 | -156 | STRONG | |
| BAL @ TEX | 8:15 PM | TEX | 80% | 8/10 | -135 | STRONG | |
| DET @ SF | 10:15 PM | DET | 80% | 8/10 | -128 | STRONG | |
| CHC @ KC | 8:10 PM | CHC | 77% | 7/9 | -160 | STRONG | |
| LAA @ MIA | 7:10 PM | MIA | 75% | 6/8 | -141 | STRONG | |
| CLE @ CWS | 7:40 PM | CLE | 75% | 6/8 | -133 | STRONG | |
| NYM @ PIT | 6:40 PM | PIT | 60% | 6/10 | -128 | Lean | |
| CIN @ WSH | 6:45 PM | CIN | 60% | 6/10 | +105 | Lean | ✓ |
| ATL @ NYY | 7:05 PM | ATL | 57% | 8/14 | +125 | Lean | ✓ |
| LAD @ ARI | 9:40 PM | LAD | 54% | 6/11 | -160 | Split | |
| HOU @ SD | 9:40 PM | SD | 54% | 6/11 | -110 | Split | |
| TB @ SEA | 9:45 PM | SEA | 53% | 7/13 | -109 | Split |
Totals Consensus Board — Over/Under
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Line | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC @ KC | 8:10 PM | Over | 80% | 4/5 | O 9.5 | STRONG |
| HOU @ SD | 9:40 PM | Over | 80% | 4/5 | O 8.5 | STRONG |
| BAL @ TEX | 8:15 PM | Under | 75% | 6/8 | U 8 | STRONG |
| ATL @ NYY | 7:05 PM | Under | 66% | 4/6 | U 8 | STRONG |
| ATH @ BOS | 7:10 PM | Under | 66% | 6/9 | U 9 | STRONG |
| LAD @ ARI | 9:40 PM | Over | 66% | 4/6 | O 8.5 | STRONG |
| TOR @ PHI | 6:40 PM | Under | 62% | 5/8 | U 8 | Lean |
| CIN @ WSH | 6:45 PM | Over | 60% | 3/5 | O 9 | Lean |
| MIN @ MIL | 7:40 PM | Over | 60% | 3/5 | O 8 | Lean |
| DET @ SF | 10:15 PM | Under | 60% | 3/5 | U 8.5 | Lean |
| LAA @ MIA | 7:10 PM | Under | 57% | 4/7 | U 8.5 | Lean |
| CLE @ CWS | 7:40 PM | Under | 57% | 4/7 | U 8.5 | Lean |
| TB @ SEA | 9:45 PM | Under | 57% | 4/7 | U 7 | Lean |
| NYM @ PIT | 6:40 PM | Split | 50% | 3/6 | — | Split |
| COL @ STL | 8:15 PM | Split | 50% | 3/6 | — | Split |
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