MLB Sportsbook Consensus Picks — Monday, August 10, 2026

MLB·August 10, 2026·3 min read

Sources: computer-model sites, Action Network expert picks and free handicapping sites. Moneyline board • 103 source picks across 10 games (5 model sites, 20 Action Network expert picks, 33 free-site picks). Totals board • 59 source picks (4 totals-publishing model sites, 7 Action Network Over/Under picks, 13 free-site Over/Under picks). Consensus locked at approximately 12:30 PM ET, before first pitch on the full board. All start times Eastern.

All 10 games on Monday’s MLB card were still unstarted when this board was built, so every game on the slate is included. The moneyline board produced 8 STRONG consensus sides out of 10 games. The totals board was far less settled: only 3 of 10 games reached STRONG, with six Leans and one outright Split.

Strongest Overlay: New York Mets +133 at Atlanta (7:15 PM). This is the only plus-money consensus side on the card — 6 of 10 moneyline sources sided with the Mets, including Covers, OddsTrader, Pickswise and three Action Network experts, while Dimers, DRatings, MyGameSim and StatSalt stayed with Atlanta. It grades as a Lean rather than STRONG at 60% agreement. Note that the overlay flag applies to the moneyline board only; Over/Under is priced near −110 on both sides, so the totals board shows the consensus line instead.

Moneyline Consensus Board

MatchupStart (ET)ConsensusAgreeSourcesOddsTierOverlay
BOS @ TOR7:07 PMBOS80%12/15-152STRONG 
BAL @ MIN7:40 PMBAL70%7/10-112STRONG 
TEX @ LAA9:38 PMTEX87%7/8-111STRONG 
MIL @ SD9:40 PMMIL66%8/12-110STRONG 
TB @ ATH9:40 PMTB77%7/9-153STRONG 
COL @ ARI9:40 PMARI66%4/6-192STRONG 
HOU @ SF9:45 PMHOU66%6/9-149STRONG 
KC @ LAD10:10 PMLAD72%8/11-258STRONG 
NYM @ ATL7:15 PMNYM60%6/10+133Lean✓
PHI @ STL7:45 PMPHI61%8/13-110Lean 

Totals Consensus Board — Over/Under

MatchupStart (ET)ConsensusAgreeSourcesLineTier
NYM @ ATL7:15 PMUnder71%5/78.5STRONG
TEX @ LAA9:38 PMOver66%4/68.0STRONG
COL @ ARI9:40 PMOver66%4/68.5STRONG
BOS @ TOR7:07 PMUnder60%3/58.5Lean
PHI @ STL7:45 PMOver60%3/59.0Lean
MIL @ SD9:40 PMOver57%4/77.0Lean
TB @ ATH9:40 PMOver57%4/79.5Lean
HOU @ SF9:45 PMUnder60%3/58.5Lean
KC @ LAD10:10 PMUnder60%3/57.5Lean
BAL @ MIN7:40 PMSplit50%3/6—Split

Tiers: STRONG = ≥66% agreement with at least 4 sources. Lean = ≥55% with at least 3 sources. Split = no directional edge. Agreement percentages are floored, not rounded. Every source is weighted equally, and each handicapper is counted once per board per game.

Graded Result

Moneyline consensus went 7–3 (70.0% right), +2.37u, +23.7% ROI. STRONG: 5–3. Overlays: 1–0.

Totals consensus went 4–5 (44.4% right), −1.36u, −15.1% ROI. STRONG: 1–2. Pushes: 0.

Moneyline

MatchupConsensusOddsResultUnits
BOS @ TORBOS-152✗−1.00
BAL @ MINBAL-112✗−1.00
TEX @ LAATEX-111✓+0.90
MIL @ SDMIL-110✗−1.00
TB @ ATHTB-153✓+0.65
COL @ ARIARI-192✓+0.52
HOU @ SFHOU-149✓+0.67
KC @ LADLAD-258✓+0.39
NYM @ ATLNYM+133✓+1.33
PHI @ STLPHI-110✓+0.91

Totals — Over/Under

MatchupConsensusLineFinal TotalResultUnits
NYM @ ATLUnder8.513✗−1.00
TEX @ LAAOver8.05✗−1.00
COL @ ARIOver8.59✓+0.91
BOS @ TORUnder8.53✓+0.91
PHI @ STLOver9.011✓+0.91
MIL @ SDOver7.05✗−1.00
TB @ ATHOver9.516✓+0.91
HOU @ SFUnder8.59✗−1.00
KC @ LADUnder7.511✗−1.00
BAL @ MINSplit—14——

Moneyline units assume a 1-unit stake at the posted consensus odds; totals graded at standard −110 juice. All 10 games were final. Consensus moneyline odds and totals lines were cross-checked against ESPN closing lines — no corrections were required. BAL @ MIN was a totals Split and is excluded from the totals record.

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