MLB Sportsbook Consensus Picks — Monday, July 27, 2026
Moneyline board aggregates 5 model sites, 10 Action Network experts (20 picks), and 7 free handicapper sites (44 picks) • 124 total votes across 12 games. Totals board aggregates 4 totals-publishing model sites, 10 Action Network experts (9 picks), and free-site O/U picks • 79 total votes across 12 games. All start times Eastern.
Of today’s 12-game MLB slate, 9 of 12 games reached STRONG consensus on the Moneyline board, and 6 of 12 games reached STRONG on the Totals board.
Moneyline Consensus Board
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Odds | Tier | Overlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | 2:35 PM | Seattle Mariners | 81.8% | 9/11 | -95 | STRONG | |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins | 6:40 PM | Philadelphia Phillies | 90.0% | 9/10 | -177 | STRONG | |
| Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds | 7:10 PM | Cincinnati Reds | 81.8% | 9/11 | -115 | STRONG | |
| Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets | 7:10 PM | Atlanta Braves | 70.0% | 7/10 | -107 | STRONG | |
| New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox | 7:40 PM | New York Yankees | 90.9% | 10/11 | -106 | STRONG | |
| Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals | 7:45 PM | Chicago Cubs | 66.7% | 6/9 | -117 | STRONG | |
| Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | 9:38 PM | Los Angeles Angels | 66.7% | 6/9 | +18 | STRONG | ✓ |
| Boston Red Sox @ Athletics | 9:40 PM | Boston Red Sox | 91.7% | 11/12 | -64 | STRONG | |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ San Francisco Giants | 9:45 PM | Milwaukee Brewers | 72.7% | 8/11 | -132 | STRONG | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ Pittsburgh Pirates | 6:40 PM | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58.3% | 7/12 | -110 | Lean | |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Detroit Tigers | 6:40 PM | Detroit Tigers | 57.1% | 4/7 | -112 | Lean | |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ Washington Nationals | 6:45 PM | Washington Nationals | 63.6% | 7/11 | -120 | Lean |
Totals Consensus Board — Over/Under
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Line | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ Pittsburgh Pirates | 6:40 PM | Over | 71.4% | 5/7 | 9 | STRONG |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins | 6:40 PM | Under | 100.0% | 6/6 | 7.5 | STRONG |
| Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds | 7:10 PM | Under | 71.4% | 5/7 | 8.5 | STRONG |
| Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals | 7:45 PM | Over | 71.4% | 5/7 | 9.5 | STRONG |
| Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | 9:38 PM | Under | 71.4% | 5/7 | 8.5 | STRONG |
| Boston Red Sox @ Athletics | 9:40 PM | Over | 75.0% | 3/4 | 9.5 | STRONG |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Detroit Tigers | 6:40 PM | Over | 57.1% | 4/7 | 8.5 | Lean |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ Washington Nationals | 6:45 PM | Under | 57.1% | 4/7 | 9.5-10 | Lean |
| Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets | 7:10 PM | Under | 55.6% | 5/9 | 8.5 | Lean |
| Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | 2:35 PM | Split | 50.0% | 3/6 | 8 | Split |
| New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox | 7:40 PM | Split | 50.0% | 3/6 | 8.5 | Split |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ San Francisco Giants | 9:45 PM | Split | 50.0% | 3/6 | 8.5 | Split |
Graded Result
Moneyline consensus went 4–7 (36.4% right), −3.81u, −34.6% ROI. STRONG: 3–5. Overlays: 0–1. Leans: 1–2. Cleveland @ Cincinnati was postponed (rain) and is excluded as no action.
Totals consensus went 3–5 (37.5% right), −2.27u, −28.4% ROI. STRONG: 1–4. Pushes: 0. Three Split games were no-pick; Cleveland @ Cincinnati postponed.
Correction (odds verified against ESPN closing lines, marked *): Boston Red Sox @ Athletics — board listed “-64,” not a valid American price; ESPN close was Red Sox -205, so this winner is graded at +0.49u rather than +1.56u. Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels — board listed “+18” and tagged the Angels as the slate’s only plus-money Overlay; ESPN close had the Angels at -114 (a slight favorite, not plus money), so the Overlay tag was not valid. Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers — board listed “-95”; ESPN close was Mariners -126. Toronto @ Washington total was listed as a 9.5-10 range; graded at ESPN’s closing total of 10 (Under wins at either number). Losing picks are -1.00u regardless of price, so only the Boston correction changed the night’s units.
Moneyline — Graded
| Matchup | Consensus | Odds | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | Seattle Mariners | -126* | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins | Philadelphia Phillies | -177 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | -115 | — PPD | 0.00 |
| Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets | Atlanta Braves | -107 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox | New York Yankees | -106 | ✓ | +0.94 |
| Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals | Chicago Cubs | -117 | ✓ | +0.85 |
| Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | -114* | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Boston Red Sox @ Athletics | Boston Red Sox | -205* | ✓ | +0.49 |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ San Francisco Giants | Milwaukee Brewers | -132 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | -110 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | -112 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | -120 | ✗ | -1.00 |
Totals — Graded
| Matchup | Consensus | Line | Final Total | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over | 9 | 5 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins | Under | 7.5 | 15 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds | Under | 8.5 | — | — PPD | 0.00 |
| Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals | Over | 9.5 | 10 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Under | 8.5 | 10 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Boston Red Sox @ Athletics | Over | 9.5 | 6 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Detroit Tigers | Over | 8.5 | 13 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ Washington Nationals | Under | 10* | 5 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets | Under | 8.5 | 17 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | Split — no pick | 8 | 10 | — | 0.00 |
| New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox | Split — no pick | 8.5 | 14 | — | 0.00 |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ San Francisco Giants | Split — no pick | 8.5 | 3 | — | 0.00 |
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