MLB Sportsbook Consensus Picks — Sunday, August 9, 2026
Built from five public model / computer-pick sites (Dimers, Covers, DRatings, OddsTrader, MyGameSim), free Action Network expert picks, and free handicapper sites (Sports Chat Place, Pickswise, StatSalt, Predictem, WagerTalk, Sportsbook Review). Moneyline board: 146 source picks across 15 games • 29 from Action Network experts. Totals board: 110 source picks across 15 games • 18 from Action Network experts; Dimers publishes win probability only and casts no totals vote. Every source is weighted equally, and each handicapper votes at most once per game per board. Consensus locked at approximately 12:10 PM ET, before first pitch on the full 15-game board. All start times Eastern.
Sunday’s 15-game MLB card produced 10 STRONG moneyline consensus plays and 8 STRONG totals consensus plays. Every game on the slate was still unstarted when these boards were built, so all 15 appear below.
Tampa Bay is the consensus side at 55% (5 of 9 sources) and the average price on that side is plus money at +103, the only plus-money consensus that clears the Lean threshold today. Houston is also plus money at +113 in Astros @ Padres, but that board is a Split at 54% (6 of 11). Overlay applies to the moneyline board only — totals are priced near even on both sides, so the totals board shows the consensus line instead.
Moneyline Consensus Board
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Odds | Tier | Overlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics @ Red Sox | 1:35 PM | Red Sox | 90% | 9/10 | -215 | STRONG | |
| Rockies @ Cardinals | 2:15 PM | Cardinals | 87% | 7/8 | -156 | STRONG | |
| Braves @ Yankees | 1:35 PM | Yankees | 81% | 9/11 | -135 | STRONG | |
| Orioles @ Rangers | 2:35 PM | Rangers | 81% | 9/11 | -121 | STRONG | |
| Twins @ Brewers | 2:10 PM | Brewers | 72% | 8/11 | -235 | STRONG | |
| Cubs @ Royals | 2:10 PM | Cubs | 71% | 5/7 | -154 | STRONG | |
| Blue Jays @ Phillies | 1:35 PM | Phillies | 70% | 7/10 | -192 | STRONG | |
| Angels @ Marlins | 1:40 PM | Marlins | 70% | 7/10 | -137 | STRONG | |
| Tigers @ Giants | 4:05 PM | Tigers | 70% | 7/10 | -115 | STRONG | |
| Dodgers @ D-backs | 4:10 PM | Dodgers | 66% | 6/9 | -134 | STRONG | |
| Reds @ Nationals | 12:15 PM | Nationals | 60% | 6/10 | -101 | Lean | |
| Mets @ Pirates | 1:35 PM | Pirates | 55% | 5/9 | -135 | Lean | |
| Rays @ Mariners | 4:10 PM | Rays | 55% | 5/9 | +103 | Lean | ✓ |
| Astros @ Padres | 8:20 PM | Astros | 54% | 6/11 | +113 | Split | ✓ |
| Guardians @ White Sox | 2:10 PM | Guardians | 50% | 5/10 | -116 | Split |
Totals Consensus Board — Over/Under
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Line | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockies @ Cardinals | 2:15 PM | Over | 75% | 6/8 | O 9 | STRONG |
| Orioles @ Rangers | 2:35 PM | Under | 75% | 6/8 | U 8 | STRONG |
| Reds @ Nationals | 12:15 PM | Over | 66% | 4/6 | O 9 | STRONG |
| Mets @ Pirates | 1:35 PM | Over | 66% | 4/6 | O 8 | STRONG |
| Athletics @ Red Sox | 1:35 PM | Under | 66% | 4/6 | U 9.5 | STRONG |
| Twins @ Brewers | 2:10 PM | Over | 66% | 4/6 | O 7 | STRONG |
| Tigers @ Giants | 4:05 PM | Under | 66% | 4/6 | U 7.5 | STRONG |
| Rays @ Mariners | 4:10 PM | Under | 66% | 4/6 | U 7.5 | STRONG |
| Blue Jays @ Phillies | 1:35 PM | Under | 62% | 5/8 | U 8.5 | Lean |
| Braves @ Yankees | 1:35 PM | Under | 60% | 3/5 | U 8.5 | Lean |
| Dodgers @ D-backs | 4:10 PM | Under | 60% | 6/10 | U 9 | Lean |
| Angels @ Marlins | 1:40 PM | Over | 57% | 4/7 | O 8.5 | Lean |
| Astros @ Padres | 8:20 PM | Over | 57% | 4/7 | O 8.5 | Lean |
| Guardians @ White Sox | 2:10 PM | Under | 55% | 5/9 | U 8.5 | Lean |
| Cubs @ Royals | 2:10 PM | Split | 0% | 0/12 | — | Split |
Graded Result
Moneyline consensus went 8–7 (53.3% right), −1.14u, −7.6% ROI. STRONG: 6–4. Overlays: 1–1.
Totals consensus went 10–3 (76.9% right), +6.10u, +46.9% ROI. STRONG: 5–2. Pushes: 1.
Odds check: all 15 moneyline prices were cross-checked against ESPN closing lines and matched within normal market variance — no odds corrections were required. Line note: Astros @ Padres totals is graded at the board’s published line of O 8.5 (final total 9, win); ESPN’s closing total for that game was 9, at which the play would have been a push.
Moneyline — Graded
| Matchup | Consensus | Odds | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics @ Red Sox | Red Sox | -215 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Rockies @ Cardinals | Cardinals | -156 | ✓ | +0.64 |
| Braves @ Yankees | Yankees | -135 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Orioles @ Rangers | Rangers | -121 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Twins @ Brewers | Brewers | -235 | ✓ | +0.43 |
| Cubs @ Royals | Cubs | -154 | ✓ | +0.65 |
| Blue Jays @ Phillies | Phillies | -192 | ✓ | +0.52 |
| Angels @ Marlins | Marlins | -137 | ✓ | +0.73 |
| Tigers @ Giants | Tigers | -115 | ✓ | +0.87 |
| Dodgers @ D-backs | Dodgers | -134 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Reds @ Nationals | Nationals | -101 | ✓ | +0.99 |
| Mets @ Pirates | Pirates | -135 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Rays @ Mariners | Rays | +103 | ✓ | +1.03 |
| Astros @ Padres | Astros | +113 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Guardians @ White Sox | Guardians | -116 | ✗ | -1.00 |
Totals — Graded
| Matchup | Consensus | Line | Final Total | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockies @ Cardinals | Over | O 9 | 11 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| Orioles @ Rangers | Under | U 8 | 15 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Reds @ Nationals | Over | O 9 | 8 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Mets @ Pirates | Over | O 8 | 12 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| Athletics @ Red Sox | Under | U 9.5 | 7 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| Twins @ Brewers | Over | O 7 | 7 | — | 0.00 |
| Tigers @ Giants | Under | U 7.5 | 4 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| Rays @ Mariners | Under | U 7.5 | 5 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| Blue Jays @ Phillies | Under | U 8.5 | 13 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| Braves @ Yankees | Under | U 8.5 | 3 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| Dodgers @ D-backs | Under | U 9 | 6 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| Angels @ Marlins | Over | O 8.5 | 15 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| Astros @ Padres | Over | O 8.5 | 9 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| Guardians @ White Sox | Under | U 8.5 | 8 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| Cubs @ Royals | Split — no pick | — | 12 | — | — |
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