MLB Sportsbook Consensus Picks — Thursday, August 6, 2026
Sources: five computer-model sites, Action Network expert picks, and free handicapper sites (Sports Chat Place, Pickswise, StatSalt, Predictem, WagerTalk). Moneyline board: 116 source votes across 28 distinct handicapper identities (5 model sites • 27 Action Network expert picks • 34 free-site picks). Totals board: 81 source votes across 19 distinct identities (4 totals-publishing model sites • 12 Action Network O/U picks • 26 free-site O/U picks). One capper counts once per board per game; all weighting is flat. Consensus locked at approximately 12:15 PM ET, before first pitch on the full board. All start times Eastern.
Today’s board covers all 11 MLB games that had not yet started at lock time. On the moneyline, 9 of 11 games reached STRONG consensus (≥66% agreement on four or more sources), with the other two landing on Lean. On totals, 6 of 11 reached STRONG, four are Leans, and one is a dead Split.
Just one plus-money overlay on today’s card. The Mets are the consensus side in six of nine moneyline sources while still priced as a road underdog at roughly +115 — the only game where the crowd’s pick and plus-money pricing line up. Overlay applies to the moneyline board only; Over/Under markets are priced near even both ways, so the totals board shows the consensus line instead.
Moneyline Consensus Board
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Odds | Tier | Overlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA @ BAL | 12:35 PM | Orioles | 72% | 8 of 11 | -179 | STRONG | |
| ATH @ CIN | 12:40 PM | Reds | 70% | 7 of 10 | -158 | STRONG | |
| NYM @ CLE | 1:10 PM | Mets | 66% | 6 of 9 | +115 | STRONG | ✓ |
| PIT @ MIL | 2:10 PM | Brewers | 75% | 6 of 8 | -122 | STRONG | |
| DET @ SEA | 4:10 PM | Mariners | 66% | 6 of 9 | -124 | STRONG | |
| WSH @ PHI | 6:05 PM | Phillies | 90% | 9 of 10 | -317 | STRONG | |
| CHW @ BOS | 7:10 PM | Red Sox | 76% | 10 of 13 | -177 | STRONG | |
| MIA @ ATL | 7:15 PM | Braves | 76% | 10 of 13 | -138 | STRONG | |
| MIN @ KC | 7:40 PM | Royals | 73% | 11 of 15 | -117 | STRONG | |
| TOR @ CHC | 2:20 PM | Blue Jays | 63% | 7 of 11 | -108 | Lean | |
| SD @ ARI | 9:40 PM | Padres | 57% | 4 of 7 | -103 | Lean |
Totals Consensus Board — Over/Under
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Line | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM @ CLE | 1:10 PM | Under | 70% | 7 of 10 | U 7.5 | STRONG |
| PIT @ MIL | 2:10 PM | Over | 66% | 6 of 9 | O 7.5 | STRONG |
| TOR @ CHC | 2:20 PM | Over | 66% | 4 of 6 | O 7.5 | STRONG |
| MIA @ ATL | 7:15 PM | Under | 85% | 6 of 7 | U 9.0 | STRONG |
| MIN @ KC | 7:40 PM | Under | 71% | 5 of 7 | U 9.0 | STRONG |
| SD @ ARI | 9:40 PM | Over | 71% | 5 of 7 | O 9.0 | STRONG |
| LAA @ BAL | 12:35 PM | Over | 57% | 4 of 7 | O 9.5 | Lean |
| DET @ SEA | 4:10 PM | Under | 60% | 3 of 5 | U 7.5 | Lean |
| WSH @ PHI | 6:05 PM | Over | 62% | 5 of 8 | O 8.5 | Lean |
| CHW @ BOS | 7:10 PM | Under | 55% | 5 of 9 | U 9.0 | Lean |
| ATH @ CIN | 12:40 PM | Split | 50% | 3 of 6 | — | Split |
Graded Result
Moneyline consensus went 7–4 (63.6% right), +1.18u, +10.7% ROI. STRONG: 6–3. Overlays: 1–0.
Totals consensus went 2–8 (20.0% right), −6.18u, −61.8% ROI. STRONG: 1–5. Pushes: 0.
| Matchup | Consensus | Odds | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA @ BAL | Orioles | -179 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| ATH @ CIN | Reds | -158 | ✓ | +0.63 |
| NYM @ CLE | Mets | +115 | ✓ | +1.15 |
| PIT @ MIL | Brewers | -122 | ✓ | +0.82 |
| TOR @ CHC | Blue Jays | -108 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| DET @ SEA | Mariners | -124 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| WSH @ PHI | Phillies | -317 | ✓ | +0.32 |
| CHW @ BOS | Red Sox | -177 | ✓ | +0.57 |
| MIA @ ATL | Braves | -138 | ✓ | +0.72 |
| MIN @ KC | Royals | -117 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| SD @ ARI | Padres | -103 | ✓ | +0.97 |
| Matchup | Consensus | Line | Final Total | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA @ BAL | Over | 9.5 | 5 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| ATH @ CIN | Split (no pick) | — | 11 | — | — |
| NYM @ CLE | Under | 7.5 | 19 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| PIT @ MIL | Over | 7.5 | 7 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| TOR @ CHC | Over | 7.5 | 5 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| DET @ SEA | Under | 7.5 | 11 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| WSH @ PHI | Over | 8.5 | 10 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| CHW @ BOS | Under | 9.0 | 23 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| MIA @ ATL | Under | 9.0 | 14 | ✗ | -1.00 |
| MIN @ KC | Under | 9.0 | 7 | ✓ | +0.91 |
| SD @ ARI | Over | 9.0 | 6 | ✗ | -1.00 |
Odds verified against ESPN closing lines; no corrections required. Totals graded at standard −110 juice. ATH @ CIN totals was a Split (no pick) and is excluded from the totals record.
Get the full graded consensus — every slate.
Free for 5 days, then $19.99/mo. Cancel anytime.