MLB Sportsbook Consensus Picks — Tuesday, July 21, 2026
Moneyline consensus built from 5 computer models (Dimers, OddsShark, DRatings, OddsTrader, MyGameSim), 12 Action Network experts, and 3 free-site cappers (Sports Chat Place). Totals consensus built from 4 computer models (all but Dimers, which does not publish a total), 9 Action Network experts, and 3 free-site cappers (Sports Chat Place). All start times Eastern.
7 of 15 games reached STRONG consensus on the moneyline board today; 8 of 15 reached STRONG on the totals board.
Strongest Overlay: No plus-money moneyline overlays today — every consensus side across all 15 games priced as a market favorite (negative average odds). (Overlay applies to the moneyline board only.)
Moneyline Consensus Board
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Odds | Tier | Overlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres @ Atlanta Braves | 7:15 PM | Atlanta Braves | 7/7 (100%) | 7 | -101 | STRONG | |
| New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers | 7:40 PM | Milwaukee Brewers | 7/7 (100%) | 7 | -98 | STRONG | |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Angels | 9:38 PM | Los Angeles Angels | 8/8 (100%) | 8 | -82 | STRONG | |
| Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies | 8:40 PM | Washington Nationals | 5/6 (83%) | 6 | -104 | STRONG | |
| Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros | 8:10 PM | Houston Astros | 7/10 (70%) | 10 | -87 | STRONG | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees | 7:05 PM | New York Yankees | 4/6 (67%) | 6 | -126 | STRONG | |
| Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners | 9:40 PM | Seattle Mariners | 6/9 (67%) | 9 | -114 | STRONG | |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox | 7:10 PM | Boston Red Sox | 5/8 (62%) | 8 | -136 | Lean | |
| Athletics @ Arizona Diamondbacks | 9:40 PM | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5/8 (62%) | 8 | -68 | Lean | |
| Chicago White Sox @ Texas Rangers | 8:05 PM | Texas Rangers | 3/5 (60%) | 5 | -120 | Lean | |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays | 7:07 PM | Tampa Bay Rays | 4/7 (57%) | 7 | -108 | Lean | |
| Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians | 6:40 PM | Cleveland Guardians | 5/9 (56%) | 9 | -91 | Lean | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies | 6:40 PM | Philadelphia Phillies | 5/9 (56%) | 9 | -120 | Lean | |
| San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals | 7:40 PM | San Francisco Giants | 5/9 (56%) | 9 | -64 | Lean | |
| Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs | 8:05 PM | Chicago Cubs | 3/6 (50%) | 6 | -114 | Split |
Totals Consensus Board — Over/Under
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Line | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners | 9:40 PM | Under | 5/6 (83%) | 6 | U 7.5 | STRONG |
| San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals | 7:40 PM | Under | 4/5 (80%) | 5 | U 9.5 | STRONG |
| Athletics @ Arizona Diamondbacks | 9:40 PM | Under | 4/5 (80%) | 5 | U 9.5 | STRONG |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees | 7:05 PM | Over | 6/8 (75%) | 8 | O 9.25 | STRONG |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays | 7:07 PM | Over | 3/4 (75%) | 4 | O 7.5 | STRONG |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox | 7:10 PM | Under | 3/4 (75%) | 4 | U 8.5 | STRONG |
| San Diego Padres @ Atlanta Braves | 7:15 PM | Under | 3/4 (75%) | 4 | U 9 | STRONG |
| Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros | 8:10 PM | Over | 3/4 (75%) | 4 | O 9 | STRONG |
| Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs | 8:05 PM | Over | 5/8 (62%) | 8 | O 8 | Lean |
| Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians | 6:40 PM | Over | 3/5 (60%) | 5 | O 8 | Lean |
| New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers | 7:40 PM | Under | 3/5 (60%) | 5 | U 9 | Lean |
| Chicago White Sox @ Texas Rangers | 8:05 PM | Under | 3/5 (60%) | 5 | U 8.5 | Lean |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Angels | 9:38 PM | Over | 3/5 (60%) | 5 | O 9 | Lean |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies | 6:40 PM | Split | 3-3 split | 6 | — | Split |
| Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies | 8:40 PM | Split | 3-3 split | 6 | — | Split |
Graded Result
Moneyline consensus went 7–6 (53.8% right), -0.4u, -3.2% ROI. STRONG: 2–4. Overlays: 0–0 (no overlay plays today).
Totals consensus went 5–6 (45.5% right), -1.5u, -13.2% ROI. STRONG: 3–3. Pushes: 0.
Correction: 6 of 15 moneyline board odds were invalid as American odds (magnitude under 100) and were replaced with ESPN/DraftKings Close ML for grading (marked *): Brewers -98→-141, Angels -82→-126, Astros -87→-123, Diamondbacks -68→-137, Guardians -91→-162, Giants -64→-112. Pirates @ Yankees and Orioles @ Red Sox were postponed (rain, makeup 7/22) and are graded Pending.
| Matchup | Consensus | Odds | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres @ Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | -101 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | -141* | ✗ | -1.00u |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | -126* | ✓ | +0.79u |
| Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies | Washington Nationals | -104 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros | Houston Astros | -123* | ✓ | +0.81u |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees | New York Yankees | -126 | — Pending | Pending |
| Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners | -114 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | -136 | — Pending | Pending |
| Athletics @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | -137* | ✓ | +0.73u |
| Chicago White Sox @ Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | -120 | ✓ | +0.83u |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays | Tampa Bay Rays | -108 | ✓ | +0.93u |
| Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | -162* | ✓ | +0.62u |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | -120 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals | San Francisco Giants | -112* | ✗ | -1.00u |
| Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | -114 | ✓ | +0.88u |
| Matchup | Consensus | Line | Final Total | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners | Under | 7.5 | 6 | ✓ | +0.91u |
| San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals | Under | 9.5 | 5 | ✓ | +0.91u |
| Athletics @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Under | 9.5 | 11 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees | Over | 9.25 | — | — Pending | — |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays | Over | 7.5 | 14 | ✓ | +0.91u |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox | Under | 8.5 | — | — Pending | — |
| San Diego Padres @ Atlanta Braves | Under | 9 | 11 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros | Over | 9 | 8 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs | Over | 8 | 13 | ✓ | +0.91u |
| Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians | Over | 8 | 7 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers | Under | 9 | 4 | ✓ | +0.91u |
| Chicago White Sox @ Texas Rangers | Under | 8.5 | 10 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Angels | Over | 9 | 6 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies | Split | — | 3 | — NO_PICK | — |
| Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies | Split | — | 15 | — NO_PICK | — |
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