MLB Sportsbook Consensus Picks — Wednesday, August 5, 2026

MLB·August 5, 2026·3 min read

Every source is weighted equally. Moneyline board: 151 source votes across five computer-model sites (Dimers, Covers, DRatings, OddsTrader, MyGameSim), individual Action Network expert picks, and free handicapper sites (Sports Chat Place, Pickswise, StatSalt, Predictem, WagerTalk, Sportsbook Review). Totals board: 114 source votes from the four totals-publishing model sites (Covers, DRatings, OddsTrader, MyGameSim) plus Action Network and free-site Over/Under picks. Consensus locked at approximately 12:30 PM ET, before first pitch on the full board. All start times Eastern.

All 15 games on today’s MLB card were still unstarted when this board was built, so the full slate is included — no in-progress games were counted. On the moneyline board, 10 of 15 games reached STRONG consensus. On the totals board, 5 of 15 reached STRONG, and three games split evenly between Over and Under.

Strongest Overlay: None today. Every moneyline consensus side is priced as a favorite, so there are no plus-money overlay plays on this card. Overlay applies to the moneyline board only — Over/Under is priced near even on both sides, so the totals board shows the consensus Line instead.

Moneyline Consensus Board

MatchupStart (ET)ConsensusAgreeSourcesOddsTierOverlay
NYM @ CLE6:40 PMGuardians87%7/8-103STRONG 
MIN @ KC7:40 PMRoyals81%9/11-113STRONG 
TB @ COL3:10 PMRays77%7/9-151STRONG 
SD @ ARI9:40 PMPadres76%10/13-115STRONG 
WSH @ PHI6:40 PMPhillies75%6/8-177STRONG 
TOR @ HOU2:10 PMAstros72%8/11-206STRONG 
LAD @ CHC2:20 PMCubs69%9/13-116STRONG 
ATH @ CIN6:40 PMReds66%6/9-141STRONG 
CHW @ BOS7:10 PMRed Sox66%6/9-121STRONG 
DET @ SEA9:40 PMMariners66%8/12-146STRONG 
SF @ TEX2:35 PMRangers62%5/8-150Lean 
STL @ NYY7:05 PMYankees60%6/10-151Lean 
LAA @ BAL6:35 PMOrioles58%7/12-120Lean 
MIA @ ATL7:15 PMBraves55%5/9-118Lean 
PIT @ MIL7:40 PMBrewers55%5/9-124Lean 

Totals Consensus Board — Over/Under

MatchupStart (ET)ConsensusAgreeSourcesLineTier
MIN @ KC7:40 PMOver80%4/5O 8.5STRONG
WSH @ PHI6:40 PMOver77%7/9O 9.5STRONG
LAA @ BAL6:35 PMUnder71%5/7U 8STRONG
NYM @ CLE6:40 PMUnder70%7/10U 8.5STRONG
CHW @ BOS7:10 PMUnder70%7/10U 8.5STRONG
TOR @ HOU2:10 PMUnder62%5/8U 8Lean
SF @ TEX2:35 PMUnder60%3/5U 8.5Lean
TB @ COL3:10 PMOver60%6/10O 11.5Lean
ATH @ CIN6:40 PMOver60%3/5O 9.5Lean
LAD @ CHC2:20 PMOver57%4/7O 9.5Lean
MIA @ ATL7:15 PMOver57%4/7O 8.5Lean
SD @ ARI9:40 PMOver57%4/7O 8.5Lean
STL @ NYY7:05 PMSplit50%4/8—Split
PIT @ MIL7:40 PMSplit50%5/10—Split
DET @ SEA9:40 PMSplit50%3/6—Split

Graded Result

Moneyline consensus went 10–5 (66.7% right), +2.78u, +18.6% ROI. STRONG: 6–4. Leans: 4–1. Overlays: none on the card.

Totals consensus went 6–6 (50.0% right), −0.54u, −4.5% ROI. STRONG: 3–2. Pushes: 0.

MATCHUPCONSENSUSODDSRESULTUNITS
NYM @ CLEGuardians-103✗ Wrong-1.00
MIN @ KCRoyals-113✓ Right+0.88
TB @ COLRays-151✓ Right+0.66
SD @ ARIPadres-115✗ Wrong-1.00
WSH @ PHIPhillies-177✗ Wrong-1.00
TOR @ HOUAstros-206✗ Wrong-1.00
LAD @ CHCCubs-116✓ Right+0.86
ATH @ CINReds-141✓ Right+0.71
CHW @ BOSRed Sox-121✓ Right+0.83
DET @ SEAMariners-146✓ Right+0.68
SF @ TEXRangers-150✓ Right+0.67
STL @ NYYYankees-151✗ Wrong-1.00
LAA @ BALOrioles-120✓ Right+0.83
MIA @ ATLBraves-118✓ Right+0.85
PIT @ MILBrewers-124✓ Right+0.81
MATCHUPCONSENSUSLINEFINAL TOTALRESULTUNITS
MIN @ KCOver8.53✗ Wrong-1.00
WSH @ PHIOver9.514✓ Right+0.91
LAA @ BALUnder87✓ Right+0.91
NYM @ CLEUnder8.511✗ Wrong-1.00
CHW @ BOSUnder8.54✓ Right+0.91
TOR @ HOUUnder89✗ Wrong-1.00
SF @ TEXUnder8.56✓ Right+0.91
TB @ COLOver11.54✗ Wrong-1.00
ATH @ CINOver9.55✗ Wrong-1.00
LAD @ CHCOver9.513✓ Right+0.91
MIA @ ATLOver8.55✗ Wrong-1.00
SD @ ARIOver8.514✓ Right+0.91

Totals graded at standard −110 juice. STL @ NYY, PIT @ MIL and DET @ SEA were Split on the totals board and are no-action. Board odds were cross-checked against ESPN closing lines; no corrections were required.

DailyOverlay Premium

Get the full graded consensus — every slate.

Free for 5 days, then $19.99/mo. Cancel anytime.

Start your free trial →