MLB Sportsbook Consensus — Weekly Report Card (Aug 3 – Aug 9, 2026)
The house lines split the week. Daily Overlay — Moneyline (every game at ≥75% book-and-expert agreement) went 20–20, 50.0%, for −6.63u and a −16.6% ROI — favorite-heavy consensus plays that kept getting the price wrong. Daily Overlay — Totals was the opposite story: 13–5–1, 72.2%, +6.83u, +37.9% ROI.
Week’s best moneyline source was Chris Ruffolo (SCP/PD) at 9–5, +4.31u. Best totals source was SS: Kim Smith at 47–31–3, +11.77u. All 7 slate days (Mon Aug 3 – Sun Aug 9) are included, covering 937 graded moneyline picks and 666 graded totals picks across 54 and 36 sources respectively.
Moneyline — Per-Source Leaderboard
| Source | Picks | Record | Hit % | Net Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Ruffolo (SCP/PD) | 14 | 9–5 | 64.3% | +4.31u | +30.8% |
| AN: Adam Kaufman | 46 | 26–20 | 56.5% | +3.99u | +8.7% |
| SS: Kim Smith | 81 | 46–35 | 56.8% | +3.77u | +4.7% |
| WT: Drew Martin | 6 | 4–2 | 66.7% | +2.04u | +34.0% |
| Pickswise | 66 | 37–29 | 56.1% | +1.89u | +2.9% |
| AN: Frank Ammirante | 26 | 14–12 | 53.8% | +1.83u | +7.0% |
| AN: Collin Whitchurch | 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | +1.70u | +170.0% |
| SBR: Corey Scott | 2 | 2–0 | 100.0% | +1.53u | +76.7% |
| AN: Kevin Thomas | 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | +1.33u | +133.0% |
| WT: The Mad Russian | 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | +1.17u | +117.0% |
| AN: Nick Martin | 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | +1.11u | +111.0% |
| WT: Jimmy Adams | 7 | 5–2 | 71.4% | +1.07u | +15.2% |
| SBR: Mike Spector | 3 | 2–1 | 66.7% | +0.91u | +30.4% |
| WT: Ben Burns | 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | +0.85u | +84.7% |
| AN: Anthony Dabbundo | 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | +0.33u | +33.3% |
| Nikos Lagouretos (SCP/PD) | 14 | 7–7 | 50.0% | +0.22u | +1.6% |
| AN: The Degenerates | 3 | 2–1 | 66.7% | +0.22u | +7.3% |
| AN: Jake | 4 | 2–2 | 50.0% | +0.17u | +4.2% |
| AN: Mike McNamara | 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | +0.16u | +8.0% |
| AN: tonysartori99 | 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | +0.13u | +6.5% |
| AN: Topper | 6 | 3–3 | 50.0% | +0.03u | +0.5% |
| Predictem | 14 | 7–7 | 50.0% | -0.08u | -0.6% |
| AN: Wags Wins | 6 | 3–3 | 50.0% | -0.09u | -1.5% |
| AN: Sean Paul | 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | -0.09u | -4.5% |
| AN: Brian Bitler | 22 | 10–12 | 45.5% | -0.10u | -0.4% |
| WT: Bruce Marshall | 4 | 2–2 | 50.0% | -0.19u | -4.7% |
| WT: Dwayne Bryant | 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | -0.21u | -10.6% |
| WT: Oskeim Sports | 5 | 3–2 | 60.0% | -0.23u | -4.6% |
| AN: Alex Hinton | 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | -0.60u | -30.1% |
| Randy Chambers (SCP/PD) | 21 | 11–10 | 52.4% | -0.69u | -3.3% |
| AN: Matt Trollo | 10 | 5–5 | 50.0% | -0.70u | -7.0% |
| AN: OldSchool0909 | 8 | 3–5 | 37.5% | -0.77u | -9.6% |
| SS: David Anicetti | 11 | 6–5 | 54.5% | -0.97u | -8.8% |
| PD: Hans Geevers | 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | -1.00u | -100.0% |
| WT: Bryan Power | 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | -1.00u | -100.0% |
| AN: Sandy Plashkes | 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | -1.00u | -100.0% |
| AN: Picks Office | 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | -1.00u | -100.0% |
| AN: Lock & Cash | 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | -1.00u | -100.0% |
| AN: Markus Markets | 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | -1.00u | -100.0% |
| AN: Payoff Pitch Podcast | 3 | 1–2 | 33.3% | -1.26u | -42.0% |
| AN: Anders | 5 | 2–3 | 40.0% | -1.43u | -28.7% |
| WT: Tokyo Brandon | 4 | 1–3 | 25.0% | -1.96u | -49.0% |
| AN: YBK Picks.com | 2 | 0–2 | 0.0% | -2.00u | -100.0% |
| AN: Austin Pendergrass | 2 | 0–2 | 0.0% | -2.00u | -100.0% |
| WT: Steve Merril | 7 | 3–4 | 42.9% | -2.20u | -31.5% |
| David Racey (SCP/PD) | 19 | 9–10 | 47.4% | -2.50u | -13.2% |
| AN: Ryan Minion | 13 | 6–7 | 46.2% | -3.46u | -26.6% |
| WT: Teddy Covers | 4 | 0–4 | 0.0% | -4.00u | -100.0% |
| DRatings | 94 | 52–42 | 55.3% | -4.03u | -4.3% |
| MyGameSim | 94 | 48–46 | 51.1% | -4.37u | -4.7% |
| AN: Sean Zerillo | 11 | 3–8 | 27.3% | -5.32u | -48.3% |
| OddsTrader | 94 | 39–55 | 41.5% | -7.82u | -8.3% |
| Covers | 94 | 48–46 | 51.1% | -9.04u | -9.6% |
| Dimers | 90 | 46–44 | 51.1% | -11.31u | -12.6% |
Totals — Per-Source Leaderboard
| Source | Picks | Record (W–L–P) | Hit % | Net Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS: Kim Smith | 81 | 47–31–3 | 60.3% | +11.77u | +15.1% |
| AN: Frank Ammirante | 28 | 18–10–0 | 64.3% | +6.38u | +22.8% |
| Chris Ruffolo (SCP/PD) | 6 | 5–1–0 | 83.3% | +3.55u | +59.2% |
| DRatings | 93 | 47–40–6 | 54.0% | +2.77u | +3.2% |
| WT: Don Buster | 2 | 2–0–0 | 100.0% | +1.82u | +91.0% |
| AN: Collin Whitchurch | 2 | 2–0–0 | 100.0% | +1.82u | +91.0% |
| Nikos Lagouretos (SCP/PD) | 8 | 5–3–0 | 62.5% | +1.55u | +19.4% |
| David Racey (SCP/PD) | 8 | 5–3–0 | 62.5% | +1.55u | +19.4% |
| WT: Bryan Power | 1 | 1–0–0 | 100.0% | +0.91u | +91.0% |
| PD: Hans Geevers | 1 | 1–0–0 | 100.0% | +0.91u | +91.0% |
| Randy Chambers (SCP/PD) | 1 | 1–0–0 | 100.0% | +0.91u | +91.0% |
| WT: Teddy Covers | 1 | 1–0–0 | 100.0% | +0.91u | +91.0% |
| AN: Babs | 1 | 1–0–0 | 100.0% | +0.91u | +91.0% |
| AN: Anders | 1 | 1–0–0 | 100.0% | +0.91u | +91.0% |
| SBR: Mike Spector | 1 | 1–0–0 | 100.0% | +0.91u | +91.0% |
| WT: Bruce Marshall | 3 | 2–1–0 | 66.7% | +0.82u | +27.3% |
| AN: Jake | 5 | 3–2–0 | 60.0% | +0.73u | +14.6% |
| AN: Sean Zerillo | 13 | 7–6–0 | 53.8% | +0.37u | +2.8% |
| WT: Joe Raineri | 2 | 1–1–0 | 50.0% | -0.09u | -4.5% |
| WT: Dwayne Bryant | 4 | 2–2–0 | 50.0% | -0.18u | -4.5% |
| AN: Brandon Kravitz | 10 | 5–5–0 | 50.0% | -0.45u | -4.5% |
| WT: Will Rogers | 1 | 0–1–0 | 0.0% | -1.00u | -100.0% |
| AN: Player Prop Savant | 1 | 0–1–0 | 0.0% | -1.00u | -100.0% |
| AN: Austin Pendergrass | 1 | 0–1–0 | 0.0% | -1.00u | -100.0% |
| AN: Payoff Pitch Podcast | 1 | 0–1–0 | 0.0% | -1.00u | -100.0% |
| WT: Bryan Leonard | 3 | 1–2–0 | 33.3% | -1.09u | -36.3% |
| SS: David Anicetti | 11 | 5–6–0 | 45.5% | -1.45u | -13.2% |
| AN: Matt Trollo | 4 | 1–3–0 | 25.0% | -2.09u | -52.2% |
| AN: Wags Wins | 19 | 8–10–1 | 44.4% | -2.72u | -15.1% |
| MyGameSim | 89 | 42–41–6 | 50.6% | -2.78u | -3.3% |
| AN: The Degenerates | 5 | 1–4–0 | 20.0% | -3.09u | -61.8% |
| Covers | 94 | 45–45–4 | 50.0% | -4.05u | -4.5% |
| AN: Topper | 8 | 2–6–0 | 25.0% | -4.18u | -52.2% |
| Predictem | 41 | 19–22–0 | 46.3% | -4.71u | -11.5% |
| OddsTrader | 92 | 43–44–5 | 49.4% | -4.87u | -5.6% |
| Pickswise | 24 | 7–15–2 | 31.8% | -8.63u | -39.2% |
Daily Overlay (≥75% consensus)
| Segment | Record | Hit % | Net Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily Overlay — Moneyline | 20–20 | 50.0% | -6.63u | -16.6% |
| Daily Overlay — Totals | 13–5–1 | 72.2% | +6.83u | +37.9% |
| Season-to-Date — Moneyline | 50–45 | 52.6% | -9.36u | -9.8% |
| Season-to-Date — Totals | 41–25–2 | 62.1% | +12.31u | +18.7% |
Per-Day Results
| Date | Daily Overlay Moneyline (≥75%) | Units | Daily Overlay Totals (≥75%) | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Aug 3 | 2–3 | -1.27u | 2–1–1 | +0.82u |
| Tue, Aug 4 | 4–2 | +0.41u | 2–0–0 | +1.82u |
| Wed, Aug 5 | 2–3 | -1.47u | 1–1–0 | -0.09u |
| Thu, Aug 6 | 4–0 | +2.42u | 0–1–0 | -1.00u |
| Fri, Aug 7 | 5–4 | -0.84u | 3–0–0 | +2.73u |
| Sat, Aug 8 | 2–5 | -3.52u | 4–1–0 | +2.64u |
| Sun, Aug 9 | 1–3 | -2.36u | 1–1–0 | -0.09u |
Moneyline graded at each source’s posted price, 1u flat; totals graded at −110 (win +0.91u), pushes excluded from hit %. Daily Overlay totals graded at the median posted line on the consensus side. Sources merged across sites where the same handicapper appears twice: Chris Ruffolo, David Racey, Nikos Lagouretos and Randy Chambers each appear once as (SCP/PD).
DailyOverlay Premium
Get the full graded consensus — every slate.
Free for 5 days, then $19.99/mo. Cancel anytime.