NFL DFS Showdown – Week 6 (Monday) – DET vs GB
My showdown lineups on Thursday got into the win column including a GPP lineup that flirted with the top of the leaderboard but finished with just a 3x profit when Tom Brady instead of Sony Michael scored all the rushing touchdowns late in the game. Anyway, enough about the past, let’s zero in on Monday night’s showdown between the Lions and Packers, which should be a good game in a battle for the division lead.
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Note: DVOA referenced in this article stands for Defense-adjusted Value Over Average which is a metric from FootballOutsiders.com.
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
|Green Bay Packers||48||63||50||40||54||53||60||68||-4|
- Aaron Jones – Jones will continue to be the focal point of the Packers offense as the passing game takes a hit with Davante Adams still out. Jones has at least 15 DraftKings points in four straight games. The Lions run defense has been middle of the road in most categories this season but has yielded 1.25 rushing TDs (30th) per game to RBs and Jones leads the league with eight rushing scores.
- Kerryon Johnson – The way to attack the Packers defense has been on the ground this season as they rank 28th DVOA while allowing 121 rushing yards (28th), 1.2 TDs (27th), and 5.27 YPC (30th) to RBs. Johnson racked up the touches in the two games before the bye with 28 and 21 respectively.
- Aaron Rodgers – It is hard to leave Rodgers off of your cash game lineup in a single game showdown, so I won’t. Touchdown passes might be hard to come by, but he should still compile good yardage against a Lions secondary that has allowed 294 yards (29th) through the air per game. He is also capable of picking up some hidden yardage with his legs.
- Kickers – Temperatures will be cool in Green Bay on Monday night (low 40s) but with almost no wind both kickers, Mason Crosby and Matt Prater, should have no problem booming some long-distance field goals. I’m expecting 2-3 field goals each, which should give both of them solid fantasy production at a low price.
Jake Kumerow played on 67.6% of the Packers offensive snaps last week with Davante Adams out. With Adams unable to give it a go again this week, Kumerow will see plenty of time on the field in three wide receiver sets. He has big-play potential and might have the best individual matchup of any of the Packers pass-catchers, so plug him into the King slot. After that get a balanced lineup with both QBs, Kenny Golladay, and a piece of each team’s running game (hint: Jamaal Williams instead of Jones).
I’d give a slight lean toward the Lions +4
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