NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of March 2nd
NBA Expert Recap and Grades for Week of March 2nd
With the season winding down, it’s looking more likely that NumberFire is going to take the top spot for the season. After them, things are heating up in our 3rd place slot. Don’t forget that our Premium Content gets you all our PGA and NBA content along with our MLB content which will be kicking off shortly. A full, five slate week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (March 2nd)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.67 (17th of 28)
Total Cash Plays – 12
GPP DO Score – 5.64 (10th of 28)
Total GPP Plays – 14
A+ – Nine of the 26 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Trae Young, John Collins
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotowire – Optimizer (Score: 7.63) scored “A” or better with seven of eight plays including five “A+” grades.
#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 7.33) had two “A+” grades with their three plays on Monday.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider (6.42 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Gorgui Dieng (DailyRoto)
A+ – RJ Barrett (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Frank Ntilikina (FantasyPros)
A+ – Danuel House, Jr (FantasyPros)
A+ – Gary Trent, Jr (Rotoballer)
A+ – Denzel Valentine (RG Consensus)
A+ – Tyus Jones (RG Lineup Builder)
Tuesday (March 3rd)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 3.50 (6th of 31)
Total Cash Plays – 10
GPP DO Score – 3.44 (27th of 31)
Total GPP Plays – 16
A+ – Four of the 26 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Gordon Hayward
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Fansided (Score: 6.83) scored “B” or better with all six plays including three “A+” grades.
#2) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 6.67) hauled in an “A+” and two “A” grades on Tuesday.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Awesemo (6.29 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Dejounte Murray (DailyRoto)
A+ – Caris Levert (DailyRoto)
A+ – Naz Reid (DailyRoto)
A+ – Mason Plumlee (DailyRoto)
A+ – MyChal Mulder (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Glenn Robinson III (FantasyPros)
A+ – Paul Millsap (FantasyPros)
A+ – Thomas Bryant (FantasyPros)
A+ – James Johnson (Rotoballer)
Wednesday (March 4th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.64 (10th of 28)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 6.00 (9th of 28)
Total GPP Plays – 7
A+ – Eight of the 18 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Kevin Porter Jr.
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Awesemo (Score: 10.00) made two plays and both scored “A+” grades.
#2) DFS Karma (Score: 8.40) scored four “A+” grades with five total plays on Wednesday.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Awesemo (6.31 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Dennis Schroder (DailyRoto)
A+ – Donte DiVincenzo (DailyRoto)
A+ – Bobby Portis (DK Playbook)
A+ – Enes Kanter (FantasyLabs)
A+ – Troy Brown, Jr. (FantasyPros)
A+ – Terrence Ross (Rotowire)
Thursday (March 5th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.91 (9th of 27)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 1.80 (27th of 27)
Total GPP Plays – 5
A+ – Three of the 16 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – None
Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 10.00) scored two “A+” grades to take the top spot.
#2) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 6.18) scored “A” or better with six of their 11 plays on Thursday.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider (6.86 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Damion Lee (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
A+ – Marquese Chriss (Fantasy Alarm)
Friday (March 6th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 6.18 (4th of 30)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 3.08 (25th of 30)
Total GPP Plays – 13
A+ – Six of the 24 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – TJ McConnell, Shabazz Napier
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Awesemo (Score: 7.67) scored two “A+’s” and a “B” grade to finish out the week.
#2) Fansided (Score: 7.17) scored “B” or better with all six of their plays including three “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Awesemo (8.89 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Chris Paul (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jerome Robinson (FantasyLabs)
Overall Leaderboard
Number Studs plays came back towards the field a bit but still sits north of 6.0 which is remarkable. The race for 3rd is getting hot and heavy. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 6.02)
#2) DFS Karma (Score: 5.91)
#3A) Daily Overlay Industry Consensus – Cash Plays (Score: 5.48)
#3B) Awesemo (Score: 5.48)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.48) are now in a 3rd place tie. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.31) slides to 31st place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 27 | 87.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | N/A | 83.2% | 91.7% | N/A |
| 24 | 82.3% | 79.1% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | 85.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 63.5% | 76.1% | N/A | 89.3% |
| 21 | 79.8% | 74.6% | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 74.7% | 67.9% | 47.4% | 75.3% |
| 19 | 67.9% | 71.2% | 85.3% | 79.1% |
| 18 | 61.9% | 67.5% | 69.9% | 65.2% |
| 17 | 40.0% | 45.2% | 72.2% | 74.1% |
| 16 | 48.6% | 39.8% | 68.4% | 76.0% |
| 15 | 40.0% | 48.4% | 61.6% | 63.1% |
| 14 | 27.1% | 48.3% | 55.0% | 63.3% |
| 13 | 30.6% | 30.2% | 54.4% | 58.6% |
| 12 | 21.1% | 35.8% | 40.9% | 48.2% |
| 11 | 16.8% | 29.2% | 37.3% | 42.4% |
| 10 | 15.5% | 22.9% | 39.5% | 37.7% |
| 9 | 10.2% | 15.5% | 25.6% | 40.4% |
| 8 | 11.9% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 29.4% |
| 7 | 7.2% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 31.3% |
| 6 | 5.0% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 25.5% |
| 5 | 3.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 15.3% |
| 4 | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 13.9% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% |
| 2 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 27 | 63.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | N/A | 57.3% | 63.4% | N/A |
| 24 | 55.5% | 54.9% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | 51.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 36.7% | 43.3% | N/A | 58.1% |
| 21 | 52.8% | 51.3% | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 46.3% | 46.3% | 37.8% | 50.4% |
| 19 | 46.2% | 45.1% | 56.9% | 56.7% |
| 18 | 39.9% | 45.8% | 41.1% | 43.1% |
| 17 | 32.5% | 33.5% | 45.1% | 48.3% |
| 16 | 30.9% | 29.0% | 40.3% | 50.2% |
| 15 | 28.6% | 30.8% | 38.6% | 36.2% |
| 14 | 24.4% | 32.8% | 34.3% | 39.3% |
| 13 | 26.8% | 24.2% | 35.6% | 36.6% |
| 12 | 20.0% | 25.7% | 28.1% | 31.3% |
| 11 | 16.5% | 22.7% | 27.9% | 28.7% |
| 10 | 15.4% | 20.4% | 27.8% | 25.1% |
| 9 | 12.3% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 26.4% |
| 8 | 13.4% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 20.3% |
| 7 | 11.3% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 21.3% |
| 6 | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 18.8% |
| 5 | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% |
| 4 | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% |
| 2 | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
