NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of December 5th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
The NBA season always begin to heat up for me right around Christmas time. Plenty of time left in the season for some experts to make moves but a couple of guys have dashed out to an early lead. A three-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Wed | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Stokastic – Building Blocks | 6.50 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 8.83 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 5.50 | 7 | 7.67 | 5 | 10.00 | 1 | 7.72 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 5.00 | 13 | 7.67 | 5 | 10.00 | 1 | 7.56 |
| Sportsline | 6.00 | 2 | 8.33 | 3 | 8.33 | 5 | 7.55 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 5.71 | 5 | 6.38 | 10 | 7.38 | 7 | 6.49 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 4.70 | 18 | 6.64 | 8 | 7.10 | 8 | 6.15 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 3.75 | 23 | 8.60 | 2 | 5.92 | 19 | 6.09 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 5.14 | 9 | 6.50 | 9 | 6.50 | 12 | 6.05 |
| DFSKarma – Building Blocks | 4.00 | 22 | 8.00 | 4 | – | – | 6.00 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.82 | 4 | 6.18 | 14 | 5.65 | 22 | 5.88 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 6.00 | 2 | 6.20 | 13 | 5.25 | 24 | 5.82 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 3.50 | 24 | 6.38 | 10 | 7.50 | 6 | 5.79 |
| FantasyGuru | 4.93 | 14 | 6.29 | 12 | 6.13 | 16 | 5.78 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 5.71 | 5 | 5.13 | 18 | 6.50 | 12 | 5.78 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 4.75 | 17 | 6.00 | 15 | 6.50 | 12 | 5.75 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 4.89 | 15 | 5.44 | 17 | 6.75 | 9 | 5.69 |
| RunPureSports | 5.19 | 8 | 5.08 | 19 | 6.54 | 11 | 5.60 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 5.11 | 12 | 5.50 | 16 | 6.10 | 17 | 5.57 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 1.00 | 30 | – | – | 10.00 | 1 | 5.50 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 5.13 | 10 | 4.90 | 21 | 5.93 | 18 | 5.32 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 5.13 | 10 | 5.00 | 20 | 5.78 | 21 | 5.30 |
| FantasyLabs | 4.89 | 15 | 4.30 | 24 | 6.60 | 10 | 5.26 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 4.11 | 21 | 4.67 | 22 | 5.87 | 20 | 4.88 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 4.41 | 20 | 3.63 | 27 | 6.32 | 15 | 4.79 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 4.56 | 19 | 3.44 | 28 | 4.88 | 25 | 4.29 |
| Rotowire | 2.90 | 26 | 3.90 | 26 | 5.45 | 23 | 4.08 |
| Stokastic – Cheat Sheet | 2.80 | 27 | 4.46 | 23 | 4.57 | 26 | 3.94 |
| Rotoballer | 2.44 | 28 | 4.13 | 25 | 4.29 | 28 | 3.62 |
| FantasyPros | 3.33 | 25 | 2.87 | 29 | 4.47 | 27 | 3.56 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Moritz Wagner (DK Playbook Values)
- Jalen Smith (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Nicolas Batum (FantasyPros)
Wednesday
- Terance Mann (DK Playbook Values)
- Deni Avdija (DK Playbook Values)
- Tyrese Haliburton (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Alex Caruso (FantasyGuru)
- Kendrick Nunn (FantasyGuru)
- Seth Curry (FantasyPros)
- Jalen McDaniels (NumberFire)
- Donte DiVincenzo (RG 6-Pack)
- Nicolas Batum (RunPureSports)
Friday
- Keegan Murray (DK Playbook Values)
- Harrison Barnes (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Buddy Hield (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Malik Beasley (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Khris Middleton (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker (FantasyGuru)
- Cole Anthony (FantasyPros)
- Patrick Beverley (FantasyPros)
- Larry Nance, Jr (FantasyPros)
- Brandon Clarke (FantasyPros)
- Franz Wagner (NumberFire)
- Kyle Anderson (NumberFire)
- Domantas Sabonis (NumberFire)
- Jarred Vanderbilt (Rotowire)
- Jordan Goodwin (Rotowire)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 32
- NumberFire – 26
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 22
- RunPureSports – 18
- Rotowire – 13
- FantasyGuru – 13
- DK Playbook Values – 7
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 6
- Rotoballer – 5
- Stokastic Cheat Sheet – 3
- DK Playbook Targets – 3
- RG Grind Down – 3
- Rotowire Optimizer – 3
- RG Consensus – 2
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 2
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 2
- FantasyLabs – 1
- DailyFantasyNerd – 1
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 1
- RG 6-Pack – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) Stokastic Building Blocks (Score: 6.92)
#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.38)
#3) DFS Karma Building Blocks (Score: 5.73)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.46) stayed in 6th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.66) held steady in 23rd place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | NA | 85.9% |
| 22 | NA | NA | 83.5% | NA |
| 21 | 78.0% | NA | NA | NA |
| 20 | 46.7% | 79.7% | 88.0% | 75.50% |
| 19 | NA | 41.3% | 82.1% | 64.5% |
| 18 | 55.6% | NA | 69.1% | 73.5% |
| 17 | 54.4% | 47.8% | 64.5% | 79.5% |
| 16 | 43.2% | NA | 65.3% | 53.7% |
| 15 | 72.7% | 69.9% | 46.5% | NA |
| 14 | 50.0% | 56.2% | 73.4% | 73.6% |
| 13 | 32.7% | 35.8% | 49.1% | 56.5% |
| 12 | 26.2% | 55.8% | 38.2% | 29.0% |
| 11 | 16.8% | 33.4% | 36.0% | 30.9% |
| 10 | 27.5% | 34.3% | 34.3% | 37.7% |
| 9 | 6.0% | 14.7% | 26.9% | 33.2% |
| 8 | 19.9% | 28.3% | 30.6% | 37.4% |
| 7 | 11.7% | 9.7% | 22.2% | 19.9% |
| 6 | 8.5% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 21.5% |
| 5 | 4.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 11.2% |
| 4 | 7.8% | 4.1% | 17.1% | 7.3% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 11.1% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | NA | 62.4% |
| 22 | NA | NA | 52.4% | NA |
| 21 | 50.7% | NA | NA | NA |
| 20 | 32.7% | 43.4% | 62.7% | 45.8% |
| 19 | NA | 21.3% | 48.0% | 38.6% |
| 18 | 37.2% | NA | 43.2% | 41.8% |
| 17 | 31.8% | 28.2% | 40.4% | 49.0% |
| 16 | 32.4% | NA | 36.6% | 42.1% |
| 15 | 27.6% | 31.8% | 32.9% | NA |
| 14 | 26.5% | 26.8% | 40.7% | 44.1% |
| 13 | 31.1% | 22.2% | 34.1% | 38.3% |
| 12 | 20.5% | 28.8% | 28.4% | 26.0% |
| 11 | 16.0% | 17.7% | 26.6% | 19.8% |
| 10 | 15.4% | 21.6% | 23.6% | 26.8% |
| 9 | 9.4% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 22.3% |
| 8 | 15.7% | 18.7% | 20.0% | 22.3% |
| 7 | 11.0% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 18.0% |
| 6 | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 15.7% |
| 5 | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% |
| 4 | 8.4% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 10.6% |
| 3 | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% |
| 2 | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
