NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of January 23rd
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
Things continue to move and shake in the overall leaderboard. This feels like the closest things have been this late in an NBA season in many years. It should be a fun sprint to the finish. A full week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Sportsline | 5.00 | 8 | 7.00 | 14 | 7.67 | 1 | 7.50 | 3 | 10.00 | 1 | 7.43 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 6.25 | 2 | 8.33 | 5 | 7.67 | 1 | 6.67 | 4 | 7.57 | 3 | 7.30 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 2.50 | 26 | 10.00 | 1 | 6.50 | 8 | 10.00 | 1 | – | – | 7.25 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 6.00 | 3 | 10.00 | 1 | 2.50 | 28 | 10.00 | 1 | 6.60 | 12 | 7.02 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 4.75 | 11 | 7.75 | 7 | 7.50 | 3 | 6.67 | 4 | 7.00 | 6 | 6.73 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 4.63 | 15 | 9.13 | 3 | 7.00 | 4 | 6.43 | 6 | 6.13 | 18 | 6.66 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 6.43 | 1 | 6.44 | 15 | 6.57 | 7 | 5.55 | 10 | 7.38 | 5 | 6.47 |
| FantasyLabs | 5.00 | 8 | 7.50 | 11 | 6.22 | 13 | 5.75 | 7 | 7.60 | 2 | 6.41 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 5.17 | 7 | 7.38 | 13 | 7.00 | 4 | 5.25 | 12 | 6.64 | 10 | 6.29 |
| DFSKarma – Building Blocks | 4.75 | 11 | 8.75 | 4 | 6.25 | 11 | 4.50 | 18 | 6.00 | 19 | 6.05 |
| Rotoballer | 4.67 | 14 | 7.75 | 7 | 6.25 | 11 | 5.57 | 9 | 5.86 | 21 | 6.02 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 5.71 | 5 | 7.75 | 7 | 6.13 | 16 | 4.13 | 23 | 6.38 | 15 | 6.02 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 4.38 | 16 | 8.25 | 6 | 5.38 | 19 | 5.25 | 12 | 6.00 | 19 | 5.85 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 6.00 | 3 | 5.78 | 20 | 6.86 | 6 | 3.89 | 25 | 6.57 | 14 | 5.82 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 4.68 | 13 | 7.45 | 12 | 5.68 | 18 | 4.40 | 21 | 6.60 | 12 | 5.76 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 3.00 | 24 | 6.44 | 15 | 6.17 | 15 | 4.89 | 16 | 7.40 | 4 | 5.58 |
| FantasyGuru | 3.85 | 18 | 5.77 | 21 | 6.28 | 10 | 5.21 | 14 | 6.14 | 17 | 5.45 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 3.38 | 22 | 4.88 | 25 | 6.50 | 8 | 5.75 | 7 | 6.63 | 11 | 5.43 |
| Stokastic – Cheat Sheet | 3.40 | 21 | 6.40 | 17 | 4.07 | 25 | 5.29 | 11 | 6.93 | 8 | 5.22 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 4.83 | 10 | 5.57 | 23 | 3.30 | 27 | 4.50 | 18 | 7.00 | 6 | 5.04 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 3.70 | 19 | 6.07 | 18 | 5.70 | 17 | 3.86 | 26 | 5.00 | 24 | 4.87 |
| RunPureSports | 3.38 | 22 | 5.88 | 19 | 4.95 | 22 | 4.38 | 22 | 5.73 | 22 | 4.86 |
| Rotowire | 4.27 | 17 | 3.00 | 27 | 6.18 | 14 | 4.45 | 20 | 6.18 | 16 | 4.82 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 3.50 | 20 | 5.00 | 24 | 4.98 | 21 | 4.81 | 17 | 4.85 | 25 | 4.63 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 1.67 | 29 | 7.56 | 10 | 5.22 | 20 | 4.00 | 24 | 4.67 | 26 | 4.62 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 1.75 | 28 | 4.38 | 26 | 4.82 | 23 | 4.92 | 15 | 6.85 | 9 | 4.54 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 5.33 | 6 | 1.67 | 28 | 4.67 | 24 | 3.00 | 27 | 5.33 | 23 | 4.00 |
| FantasyPros | 2.06 | 27 | 5.65 | 22 | 3.80 | 26 | 2.75 | 28 | 3.47 | 27 | 3.55 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | 2.67 | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.67 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Jusuf Nurkic (NumberFire)
- Mark Williams (RG Lineup Builder)
Tuesday
- Donovan Mitchell (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Corey Kispert (FantasyPros)
- Max Strus (FantasyPros)
- Nicolas Batum (FantasyPros)
- Robert Covington (FantasyPros)
- Dorian Finney-Smith (RG Consensus)
- Josh Green (Stokastic Cheat Sheet)
Wednesday
- Dennis Schroder (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Jarred Vanderbilt (DK Playbook Values)
- Chris Boucher (FantasyPros)
- Drew Eubanks (FantasyPros)
- Seth Curry (NumberFire)
- Aaron Gordon (RunPureSports)
- Jeff Green (RunPureSports)
Thursday
- None
Friday
- Chris Boucher (FantasyPros)
- Chris Duarte (RunPureSports)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 55
- NumberFire – 38
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 32
- RunPureSports – 29
- Rotowire – 17
- FantasyGuru – 16
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 9
- DK Playbook Values – 9
- Rotoballer – 8
- Rotowire Optimizer – 5
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 5
- RG Grind Down – 4
- Stokastic Cheat Sheet – 4
- RG Consensus – 4
- DK Playbook Targets – 3
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 3
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 3
- FantasyLabs – 1
- DailyFantasyNerd – 1
- RG 6-Pack – 1
- Sportsline – 1
- DFS Army Domination Station – 1
- RG Lineup Builder – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 5.90)
#2) Sportsline (Score: 5.65)
#3) DFS Army Cheat Sheet (Score: 5.62)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.46) fell a spot to 7th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.90) is now in 17th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | NA | 85.9% |
| 22 | NA | NA | 86.7% | 78.6% |
| 21 | 80.7% | NA | NA | NA |
| 20 | 46.7% | 79.7% | 87.9% | 82.0% |
| 19 | 79.8% | 41.3% | 82.4% | 64.5% |
| 18 | 47.9% | 77.0% | 74.6% | 74.8% |
| 17 | 50.9% | 56.5% | 57.7% | 73.8% |
| 16 | 43.2% | 45.9% | 65.5% | 53.7% |
| 15 | 45.2% | 48.9% | 50.0% | 72.6% |
| 14 | 35.8% | 54.7% | 73.4% | 61.1% |
| 13 | 30.6% | 46.8% | 49.2% | 47.4% |
| 12 | 24.3% | 47.0% | 39.9% | 31.7% |
| 11 | 20.1% | 30.3% | 37.4% | 46.4% |
| 10 | 20.6% | 34.6% | 33.8% | 36.1% |
| 9 | 15.6% | 13.4% | 29.4% | 36.0% |
| 8 | 16.7% | 26.2% | 29.1% | 29.6% |
| 7 | 9.9% | 12.3% | 20.7% | 25.7% |
| 6 | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 20.7% |
| 5 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 16.2% |
| 4 | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | NA | 62.4% |
| 22 | NA | NA | 57.7% | 50.4% |
| 21 | 48.4% | NA | NA | NA |
| 20 | 32.7% | 43.4% | 62.7% | 52.4% |
| 19 | 47.9% | 21.3% | 51.8% | 38.6% |
| 18 | 39.8% | 44.8% | 47.2% | 44.0% |
| 17 | 30.4% | 34.0% | 39.1% | 47.8% |
| 16 | 32.4% | 28.9% | 36.7% | 42.1% |
| 15 | 28.2% | 27.3% | 34.3% | 40.0% |
| 14 | 26.1% | 30.4% | 40.7% | 41.8% |
| 13 | 24.8% | 27.2% | 34.8% | 33.1% |
| 12 | 20.1% | 28.5% | 28.0% | 24.0% |
| 11 | 17.2% | 18.6% | 24.9% | 31.6% |
| 10 | 15.2% | 21.3% | 23.5% | 25.8% |
| 9 | 14.2% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 23.3% |
| 8 | 14.4% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 19.9% |
| 7 | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 19.5% |
| 6 | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 16.0% |
| 5 | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.4% |
| 4 | 7.9% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% |
| 3 | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
