NHL Sportsbook Consensus Grading Recap — Sunday, November 8, 2026

iHeart Model went 10-1 for +8.43 units on Sunday’s six-game NHL slate, cashing Bruins -1.5 (+180), Ducks -1.5 (+195), the Flames on the moneyline and the puck line, and the Over in Anaheim; its only miss was the Lightning moneyline. That runs iHeart Model to 105-69-2 (+13.30u) on our NHL ledger, the deepest winning record we track.

Behind it, four experts went a perfect 2-0: Covers – Phil Naessens (+1.87u, Bruins and Golden Knights, now 4-0 with us), Pick Dawgz – Nikos Lagouretos (+1.76u, Flames and Ducks, now 16-9), Doc’s Sports – Josh Schonwald (+1.59u, Devils and Ducks, now 17-11) and Sportsgambler – Kevin Thompson (+1.55u, Bruins and Ducks). The full field went 36-24 (+7.97u) across 60 graded picks from 27 experts.

The consensus card went 4-4 for -0.81u. STRONG 4-2 (+1.19u), LEAN 0-2 (-2.00u). Every play is graded at the line we posted.

What actually happened

Boston beat Florida 4-1 behind a three-goal first period (Lindholm, Eyssimont, Geekie on the power play) and 40 saves from Jeremy Swayman, cashing the STRONG Bruins moneyline. In Calgary, the STRONG Flames moneyline needed overtime: the lead changed hands repeatedly, Farabee tied it 3-3 with a short-handed breakaway in the third, and Coronato won it at 4:08 of overtime on a 3-on-1, with Devin Cooley making 32 saves in his return from injury.

Anaheim handled Pittsburgh 5-2 to cash the STRONG Ducks moneyline, with Cutter Gauthier scoring a hat trick. The STRONG Over 6.5 in that game came down to the final minute: Pittsburgh scored twice on 6-on-4 power plays with Arturs Silovs pulled to cut it to 4-2, and Gauthier’s empty-net goal at 19:26 made it 5-2 and seven total goals.

The two STRONG losses were beaten on the merits. Vegas won 4-1 in Buffalo with Tomas Hertl scoring twice and Adin Hill stopping 28 of 29; Colten Ellis, not the expected Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, started for the Sabres. In Winnipeg, Andrei Vasilevskiy did start for Tampa Bay, and the Lightning came back from 3-0 down with three goals in 4:07, but Mark Scheifele scored on a 5-on-3 power play with 1.6 seconds left for a 4-3 Jets win; Winnipeg went 3-for-5 on the power play.

Both LEAN plays came from Devils-Maple Leafs, where Connor Hellebuyck stopped all 23 shots in a 4-0 New Jersey win. Timo Meier scored twice, Nico Hischier added a power-play goal for his 500th career point, and the four total goals left the Over 6.5 well short.

The card, by tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	Units
STRONG	4-2-0	67%	+1.19u
LEAN	0-2-0	0%	-2.00u
Card (STRONG + LEAN)	4-4-0	50%	-0.81u

Every play is graded at the line we posted.

Every play

Result	Tier	Play	Line	Final	Grading
✅ WIN	STRONG	Panthers @ Bruins — Bruins ML -142	-142 · DraftKings	Panthers 1-4 Bruins	Bruins 4; Panthers 1 → Bruins win ✅ · +0.70u
❌ LOSS	STRONG	Golden Knights @ Sabres — Sabres ML -108	-108 · DraftKings	Golden Knights 4-1 Sabres	Sabres 1; Golden Knights 4 → Sabres lose ❌ · -1.00u
❌ LOSS	STRONG	Lightning @ Jets — Lightning ML -148	-148 · DraftKings	Lightning 3-4 Jets	Lightning 3; Jets 4 → Lightning lose ❌ · -1.00u
✅ WIN	STRONG	Flyers @ Flames — Flames ML -102	-102 · DraftKings	Flyers 3-4 Flames (OT)	Flames 4; Flyers 3 → Flames win ✅ · +0.98u
✅ WIN	STRONG	Penguins @ Ducks — Ducks ML -120	-120 · DraftKings	Penguins 2-5 Ducks	Ducks 5; Penguins 2 → Ducks win ✅ · +0.83u
✅ WIN	STRONG	Penguins @ Ducks — Over 6.5 (-148)	-148 · DraftKings	Penguins 2-5 Ducks	2 + 5 = 7; Over 6.5 cashes ✅ (Gauthier empty-net goal at 19:26 took it from 6 to 7) · +0.68u
❌ LOSS	LEAN	Devils @ Maple Leafs — Maple Leafs ML +130	+130 · DraftKings	Devils 4-0 Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs 0; Devils 4 → Maple Leafs lose ❌ · -1.00u
❌ LOSS	LEAN	Devils @ Maple Leafs — Over 6.5 (+105)	+105 · DraftKings	Devils 4-0 Maple Leafs	4 + 0 = 4; Over 6.5 loses ❌ · -1.00u

Best call: iHeart Model’s Ducks -1.5 at +195: Anaheim led 4-0 before Pittsburgh’s two late power-play goals, and Gauthier’s empty-netter sealed a three-goal margin for +1.95u.

Worst beat: The STRONG Lightning moneyline at -148: Tampa Bay erased a 3-0 deficit with three goals in just over four minutes, then lost 4-3 on a Scheifele 5-on-3 power-play goal with 1.6 seconds left in regulation.

Expert scoreboard — Sunday, Nov 8

We graded 60 picks from 27 experts and models. The field went 36-24 (60%) against the consensus card’s 4-4 (50%).

Top of the day	Pick	Record	Units
iHeart Model	Bruins -1.5 (+180); Ducks -1.5 (+195); Flames ML/+1.5; Overs in CGY and ANA	10-1-0	+8.43u
Covers – Phil Naessens	Bruins ML; Golden Knights ML (-104)	2-0-0	+1.87u
Pick Dawgz – Nikos Lagouretos	Flames ML (-108); Ducks ML (-120)	2-0-0	+1.76u
Doc's Sports – Josh Schonwald	Devils ML (-136); Ducks ML (-118)	2-0-0	+1.59u
Sportsgambler – Kevin Thompson	Bruins ML (-133); Ducks ML (-125)	2-0-0	+1.55u

Also on the right side with 1-0 days: The Hockeynomist and WagerTalk – Ben Burns (Flames, +0.98u each), Sportsgambler – Paul Boucher and WagerTalk – Tokyo Brandon (Flames), SportsBettingDime – Brady Trettenero, Covers – Chris Faria and Covers – Luc LeBlanc (Bruins), and Action Network – Nick Griffith (Ducks Over). At the bottom of the day: Dimers Model 1-3 (-2.09u), Pick Dawgz – David Racey 0-2 and Doc’s Sports – Guy Bruhn 0-2 (-2.00u each), and Ultimate Capper – Jay Cooper 2-4 (-1.88u).

Season leaders (NHL, graded with us)	Record	Units	Consensus weight
CBS Sports	79-45-2	+15.00u	1.28
iHeart Model	105-69-2	+13.30u	1.22
RotoWire – Daniel Dobish	10-2	+6.33u	1.00 (12 of 15 decided)
Doc's Sports – Josh Schonwald	17-11	+5.76u	1.09
Sportsgambler – Robert Carter	16-9	+5.23u	1.12
Pick Dawgz – Nikos Lagouretos	16-9	+4.98u	1.12
WagerTalk – Ben Burns	9-3	+4.81u	1.00 (12 of 15 decided)

How this changes the card

iHeart Model’s weight in the consensus rises from 1.16 to 1.22 on its 105-69-2 record, and Pick Dawgz – Nikos Lagouretos (16-9) climbs from 1.08 to 1.12 and Doc’s Sports – Josh Schonwald (17-11) from 1.05 to 1.09. Dimers Model slips from 0.82 to 0.79 at 33-45, Ultimate Capper – Jay Cooper from 0.90 to 0.88 at 44-50, and Pick Dawgz – Chris Ruffolo from 0.92 to 0.90 at 12-16. Two more experts crossed the 15-decided-pick threshold, bringing the rated pool to 28.

Season to date

Tier	All	Puck line	Moneyline	Total	Units
STRONG	46-34	10-3	24-18	12-13	+2.17u
LEAN	18-24	3-3	8-10	7-11	-7.91u
FADE-WATCH (not staked)	0-3	0-1	0-2	—	—
Card (STRONG + LEAN)	64-58				-5.74u

Every card, every sport: the full consensus record.

Overtime and the shootout count for every market. Expert rows with no posted price are graded at -110. Doc’s Sports – Parlays Pundit’s Under 6 on Flyers-Flames carried no price and was graded at 6: 3 + 4 = 7 including overtime, a loss.

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