NHL Sportsbook Consensus Grading Recap — Tuesday, November 10, 2026
David Anicetti of Winners and Whiners swept Tuesday’s NHL slate, going 4-0 for +3.35u with the Avalanche moneyline, the Over in Colorado-Toronto, the Panthers moneyline and the Under in Florida-Columbus. That takes him to 11-7 (+1.98u) with us this season. Braden Morrison of Last Word on Sports went 3-0 (+3.14u), cashing the Avalanche -1.5 at +158 on top of the Colorado moneyline and Over, and is now 5-3 (+1.88u). Pickswise’s Mark Lammey went 3-0 (+2.69u) and is 15-6 (+6.21u) on the season, one of the best hit rates in our NHL ledger.
Doc’s Sports’ Josh Schonwald went 2-0 (+2.21u), including the Jets at +130, to reach 19-11 (+7.97u). The iHeart Model went 11-8 (+2.21u) across all seven games. We logged 139 picks from 40 experts, and the field finished 81-57-1.
The consensus card went 6-3 for +2.44u. STRONG went 5-2 (+2.39u) and LEAN went 1-1 (+0.05u). The FADE-WATCH note on the Jets went the Jets’ way and carries no units. Every play is graded at the line we posted.
What actually happened
Colorado beat Toronto 6-3, and all three STRONG reads on that game landed. It was 3-3 until Gabriel Landeskog scored his second of the night 5:02 into the third. Artturi Lehkonen added another, and Martin Necas finished it with an empty-netter after Sergei Bobrovsky was pulled. That made nine goals, well clear of the 6.5 Over.
In Montreal, Jesper Wallstedt made 27 saves and Minnesota won 2-1 in overtime. That covered both the Wild moneyline and the Under 6.5. Nick Suzuki tied it with 1:38 left. Kirill Kaprizov then won it on a 4-on-3 power play 21 seconds into overtime, after Cole Caufield was called for slashing late in regulation. Nashville won 3-0 in Los Angeles, which covered both the Predators moneyline and the Under. Filip Forsberg scored twice at even strength and Juuse Saros made 30 saves for the shutout. Adam Wilsby added an empty-netter.
The STRONG Senators moneyline lost 3-2 in overtime. Ottawa outshot Washington 17-2 in the second period and led 2-1. Pierre-Luc Dubois tied it at 12:31 of the third, and Cole Hutson won it 1:14 into overtime. The card expected Linus Ullmark in Ottawa’s net, but Samuel Ersson started, so part of the premise was gone before puck drop. The STRONG Over 6.5 in Devils-Jets lost because only six goals were scored, 4-2 for Winnipeg with Kyle Connor’s empty-netter as the sixth. Jake Allen started as expected. Nico Daws held New Jersey to two goals in his first win with the Jets.
The LEAN Blue Jackets moneyline lost 4-1. Columbus outshot Florida 38-28, but Jacob Markstrom made 37 saves and Sam Bennett scored twice. The consensus was beaten on the merits by a hot goalie. The LEAN Under 5.5 in St. Louis cashed. The Blues won 3-2 behind 30 saves from Joel Hofer, and Moritz Seider’s late goal with Detroit’s net empty brought the total to five.
The card, by tier
| Tier | Record | Hit rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| STRONG | 5-2-0 | 71% | +2.39u |
| LEAN | 1-1-0 | 50% | +0.05u |
| Card (STRONG + LEAN) | 6-3-0 | 67% | +2.44u |
| FADE-WATCH (tracked, not staked) | 1-0-0 | 100% | +0.00u |
Every play is graded at the line we posted.
Every play
| Result | Tier | Play | Line | Final | Grading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ WIN | STRONG | Avalanche @ Maple Leafs — Over 6.5 | Over 6.5 (-118) DraftKings | Avalanche 6-3 Maple Leafs | Avalanche 6-3 Maple Leafs; 6 + 3 = 9; Over 6.5 cashes · +0.85u |
| ✅ WIN | STRONG | Wild @ Canadiens — Wild ML | Wild ML -125 DraftKings | Wild 2-1 Canadiens (OT) | Wild 2-1 Canadiens (OT); Wild win · +0.80u |
| ✅ WIN | STRONG | Wild @ Canadiens — Under 6.5 | Under 6.5 (-125) DraftKings | Wild 2-1 Canadiens (OT) | Wild 2-1 Canadiens (OT); 2 + 1 = 3; Under 6.5 cashes · +0.80u |
| ❌ LOSS | STRONG | Capitals @ Senators — Senators ML | Senators ML -108 DraftKings | Capitals 3-2 Senators (OT) | Capitals 3-2 Senators (OT); Senators lose · -1.00u |
| ❌ LOSS | STRONG | Devils @ Jets — Over 6.5 | Over 6.5 (-105) DraftKings | Devils 2-4 Jets | Devils 2-4 Jets; 2 + 4 = 6; Over 6.5 misses · -1.00u |
| ✅ WIN | STRONG | Predators @ Kings — Predators ML | Predators ML +114 DraftKings | Predators 3-0 Kings | Predators 3-0 Kings; Predators win · +1.14u |
| ✅ WIN | STRONG | Predators @ Kings — Under 6.5 | Under 6.5 (-125) DraftKings | Predators 3-0 Kings | Predators 3-0 Kings; 3 + 0 = 3; Under 6.5 cashes · +0.80u |
| ❌ LOSS | LEAN | Panthers @ Blue Jackets — Blue Jackets ML | Blue Jackets ML +100 DraftKings | Panthers 4-1 Blue Jackets | Panthers 4-1 Blue Jackets; Blue Jackets lose · -1.00u |
| ✅ WIN | LEAN | Red Wings @ Blues — Under 5.5 | Under 5.5 (+105) DraftKings | Red Wings 2-3 Blues | Red Wings 2-3 Blues; 2 + 3 = 5; Under 5.5 cashes · +1.05u |
| ✅ WIN | FADE-WATCH | Devils @ Jets — Jets ML | Jets ML +124 DraftKings | Devils 2-4 Jets | Devils 2-4 Jets; Jets win · +0.00u |
Best call: Predators ML +114 (STRONG). Nashville won 3-0 in Los Angeles behind two even-strength goals from Filip Forsberg and a 30-save shutout from Juuse Saros. Eight of 10 experts were on Nashville even though DraftKings money was 93% the other way, and the plus-money price paid +1.14u. The Under 6.5 in the same game cashed too.
Worst beat: Senators ML -108 (STRONG). Ottawa outshot Washington 17-2 in the second period and led 2-1 in the third, then lost 3-2 when Cole Hutson scored 1:14 into overtime. Samuel Ersson started in place of the expected Linus Ullmark.
Expert scoreboard — Tuesday, Nov 10
We graded 139 picks from 40 experts and models. The field went 81-57 (58.7%) against the consensus card’s 6-3 (67%).
| Top of the day | Pick | Record | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winners and Whiners – David Anicetti | Avalanche ML -153; Over 6.5 COL-TOR; Panthers ML -113; Under 5.5 FLA-CBJ | 4-0-0 | +3.35u |
| Last Word on Sports – Braden Morrison | Avalanche -1.5 +158; Avalanche ML -154; Over 6.5 COL-TOR | 3-0-0 | +3.14u |
| Pickswise – Mark Lammey | Over 6.5 COL-TOR -110; Under 6.5 MIN-MTL -115; Panthers ML -110 | 3-0-0 | +2.69u |
| Doc's Sports – Josh Schonwald | Wild ML -110; Jets ML +130 | 2-0-0 | +2.21u |
| iHeart Model | 14 sides and totals across 7 games | 11-8-0 | +2.21u |
Others with clean days included Sports Chat Place’s Nikos Lagouretos (2-0, +2.05u), Pickswise’s Tyler Mortimer and Pick Dawgz’s David Racey (each 2-0, +1.92u), Action Network’s Nick Martin (2-0, +1.86u), Doc’s Sports’ Tony Sink (2-0, +1.85u), Winners and Whiners’ Cameron Ross (2-0, +1.71u) and Sportsgambler’s Robert Carter (2-0, +1.67u). At the bottom were Ultimate Capper’s Jay Cooper (1-6, -4.68u) and Sports Chat Place’s Randy Chambers (0-4, -4.00u). Doc’s Sports’ Guy Bruhn and Pick Dawgz’s Nikos Lagouretos each went 0-2.
| Season leaders (NHL, graded with us) | Record | Units | Consensus weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBS Sports | 87-51-2 | +15.95u | 1.28 |
| iHeart Model | 116-77-2 | +15.51u | 1.22 |
| Doc's Sports – Josh Schonwald | 19-11 | +7.97u | 1.12 |
| Sportsgambler – Robert Carter | 18-9 | +6.90u | 1.15 |
| RotoWire – Daniel Dobish | 10-2 | +6.33u | 1.00 (12 of 15 decided) |
| Pickswise – Mark Lammey | 15-6 | +6.21u | 1.17 |
| Doc's Sports – Parlays Pundit | 12-8 | +4.07u | 1.06 |
How this changes the card
32 NHL experts now have the 15 decided picks needed to move the consensus. CBS Sports (87-51-2, weight 1.28), the iHeart Model (116-77-2, 1.22) and Pickswise’s Mark Lammey (15-6, 1.17) carry the most weight, and Lammey’s 3-0 night strengthens his position. Pickswise’s Nate Duffett reached exactly 15 decided picks at 9-6 and is now rated at 1.05. Ultimate Capper’s Jay Cooper (47-57, 0.83) and Sports Chat Place’s Randy Chambers (15-23, 0.83) sit at the low end and count for less in future consensus reads.
Season to date
| Tier | All | Puck line | Moneyline | Total | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STRONG | 53-37 | 10-3 | 28-19 | 15-15 | +4.95u |
| LEAN | 19-28 | 3-3 | 8-12 | 8-13 | -10.86u |
| FADE-WATCH (not staked) | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Card (STRONG + LEAN) | 72-65 | -5.91u |
Every card, every sport: the full consensus record.
Overtime counts for every market, and neither OT game on the slate went to a shootout. Expert rows logged without odds are graded at -110. Two experts took whole-number alternate totals: Action Network’s Wags Wins had Over 6 in Devils-Jets, which pushed on 6 goals, and CBS Sports had Over 6 in Wild-Canadiens, which lost on 3.
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