MLB Sportsbook Consensus Picks — Friday, July 10, 2026
Moneyline board: 5 computer models (Dimers, OddsShark, DRatings, OddsTrader, MyGameSim), 12 Action Network experts, Sports Chat Place, and Pickswise — 111 total votes. Totals board: 4 of those computer models (Dimers has no totals feed), Action Network, Sports Chat Place, Pickswise, and Covers — 88 total votes. All start times Eastern.
Of today’s 15-game slate, 14 games reached STRONG on the moneyline consensus board (1 additional Lean), while the totals board saw 6 STRONG, 4 Lean, and 5 Split games — a choppier night for run totals than for game winners.
Moneyline Consensus Board
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Odds | Tier | Overlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers @ Pirates | 6:40 PM | Pirates | 75% | 6/8 | -121 | STRONG | |
| Phillies @ Tigers | 6:40 PM | Tigers | 70% | 7/10 | -118 | STRONG | |
| Yankees @ Nationals | 6:45 PM | Yankees | 67% | 4/6 | -151 | STRONG | |
| Royals @ Orioles | 7:05 PM | Orioles | 71% | 5/7 | -149 | STRONG | |
| Cubs @ Reds | 7:10 PM | Cubs | 75% | 6/8 | -66 | STRONG | |
| Mariners @ Rays | 7:10 PM | Rays | 80% | 8/10 | -111 | STRONG | |
| Guardians @ Marlins | 7:10 PM | Marlins | 89% | 8/9 | -116 | STRONG | |
| Red Sox @ Mets | 7:15 PM | Mets | 83% | 5/6 | -130 | STRONG | |
| Athletics @ White Sox | 7:40 PM | White Sox | 86% | 6/7 | -155 | STRONG | |
| Astros @ Rangers | 8:05 PM | Astros | 67% | 4/6 | -136 | STRONG | |
| Angels @ Twins | 8:10 PM | Twins | 83% | 5/6 | -147 | STRONG | |
| Braves @ Cardinals | 8:15 PM | Braves | 100% | 7/7 | -156 | STRONG | |
| Blue Jays @ Padres | 9:40 PM | Padres | 67% | 4/6 | -116 | STRONG | |
| Rockies @ Giants | 10:15 PM | Giants | 86% | 6/7 | -87 | STRONG | |
| D-Backs @ Dodgers | 10:10 PM | Dodgers | 62% | 5/8 | -221 | Lean |
Totals Consensus Board — Over/Under
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Line | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers @ Pirates | 6:40 PM | Over | 75% | 3/4 | Over 8 | STRONG |
| Cubs @ Reds | 7:10 PM | Under | 83% | 5/6 | Under 9.5 | STRONG |
| Mariners @ Rays | 7:10 PM | Over | 83% | 5/6 | Over 8 | STRONG |
| Angels @ Twins | 8:10 PM | Over | 67% | 4/6 | Over 9.25 | STRONG |
| Blue Jays @ Padres | 9:40 PM | Over | 75% | 6/8 | Over 8 | STRONG |
| D-Backs @ Dodgers | 10:10 PM | Under | 75% | 3/4 | Under 8.5 | STRONG |
| Royals @ Orioles | 7:05 PM | Under | 57% | 4/7 | Under 10.5 | Lean |
| Guardians @ Marlins | 7:10 PM | Over | 57% | 4/7 | Over 7 | Lean |
| Athletics @ White Sox | 7:40 PM | Over | 60% | 3/5 | Over 9 | Lean |
| Astros @ Rangers | 8:05 PM | Over | 60% | 3/5 | Over 8 | Lean |
| Phillies @ Tigers | 6:40 PM | Split | 50% | 3/6 | 9 | Split |
| Yankees @ Nationals | 6:45 PM | Split | 50% | 4/8 | 10 | Split |
| Red Sox @ Mets | 7:15 PM | Split | 50% | 3/6 | 7.5 | Split |
| Braves @ Cardinals | 8:15 PM | Split | 50% | 2/4 | 8 | Split |
| Rockies @ Giants | 10:15 PM | Split | 50% | 3/6 | 8.5 | Split |
Graded Result
Moneyline consensus went 5–9 (35.7% right), -5.27u, -37.7% ROI. STRONG: 5–8. Overlays: 0–0.
Moneyline
| Matchup | Consensus | Odds | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers @ Pirates | Pirates | -121 | — PENDING | — |
| Phillies @ Tigers | Tigers | -118 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.85u |
| Yankees @ Nationals | Yankees | -151 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.66u |
| Royals @ Orioles | Orioles | -149 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.67u |
| Cubs @ Reds | Cubs | -66 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| Mariners @ Rays | Rays | -111 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.90u |
| Guardians @ Marlins | Marlins | -116 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| Red Sox @ Mets | Mets | -130 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| Athletics @ White Sox | White Sox | -155 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.65u |
| Astros @ Rangers | Astros | -136 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| Angels @ Twins | Twins | -147 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| Braves @ Cardinals | Braves | -156 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| Blue Jays @ Padres | Padres | -116 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| Rockies @ Giants | Giants | -87 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| D-Backs @ Dodgers | Dodgers | -221 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
Totals consensus went 5–3 (62.5% right), +1.55u, +17.2% ROI. STRONG: 2–2. Pushes: 1.
Totals
| Matchup | Consensus | Line | Final Total | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers @ Pirates | Over | 8 | — | — PENDING | — |
| Cubs @ Reds | Under | 9.5 | 4 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.91u |
| Mariners @ Rays | Over | 8 | 9 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.91u |
| Angels @ Twins | Over | 9.25 | 7 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| Blue Jays @ Padres | Over | 8 | 8 | — PUSH | 0.00u |
| D-Backs @ Dodgers | Under | 8.5 | 12 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| Royals @ Orioles | Under | 10.5 | 8 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.91u |
| Guardians @ Marlins | Over | 7 | 5 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| Athletics @ White Sox | Over | 9 | 15 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.91u |
| Astros @ Rangers | Over | 8 | 10 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.91u |
| Phillies @ Tigers | Split | 9 | 12 | — NO PICK | — |
| Yankees @ Nationals | Split | 10 | 8 | — NO PICK | — |
| Red Sox @ Mets | Split | 7.5 | 8 | — NO PICK | — |
| Braves @ Cardinals | Split | 8 | 3 | — NO PICK | — |
| Rockies @ Giants | Split | 8.5 | 7 | — NO PICK | — |
Brewers @ Pirates postponed (inclement weather, makeup July 11) — excluded from both boards, marked pending.
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