MLB Sportsbook Consensus Picks — Sunday, August 2, 2026

MLB·August 2, 2026·3 min read

Built from five public projection models, Action Network free expert picks, and free handicapper sites (Sports Chat Place, StatSalt, Pickswise, Predictem, WagerTalk). Moneyline board: 169 source votes across 15 games. Totals board: 115 source votes from the four totals-publishing models plus expert Over/Under picks. One capper counts once per board per game. Consensus locked at approximately 12:25 PM ET, before first pitch on the full board. All start times Eastern.

Today’s slate is 15 games, none of which had started when the board was locked. 9 of 15 games reached STRONG consensus on the moneyline board and 6 of 15 reached STRONG on the totals board.

Strongest Overlay: MIN @ SEA — Minnesota at an average of +124, backed by 7 of 12 sources (Lean, 58% agreement). It is the only consensus side on the board still priced at plus money. Overlay applies to the moneyline board only.

Moneyline Consensus Board

MatchupStart (ET)ConsensusAgreeSourcesOddsTierOverlay
PHI @ BAL1:35 PMPHI81%9 of 11-131STRONG 
MIA @ NYM1:40 PMMIA76%10 of 13-114STRONG 
CWS @ TB1:40 PMTB77%7 of 9-139STRONG 
ARI @ CLE1:40 PMCLE71%10 of 14-151STRONG 
TEX @ HOU2:10 PMHOU75%9 of 12-127STRONG 
NYY @ CHC2:20 PMNYY81%9 of 11-115STRONG 
MIL @ LAA3:15 PMMIL90%10 of 11-213STRONG 
DET @ ATH4:05 PMDET75%9 of 12-107STRONG 
SF @ SD4:10 PMSD71%5 of 7-141STRONG 
WAS @ ATL1:35 PMATL63%7 of 11-116Lean 
PIT @ CIN1:40 PMCIN60%6 of 10-134Lean 
KC @ COL3:10 PMCOL58%7 of 12-116Lean 
MIN @ SEA4:10 PMMIN58%7 of 12+124Lean✓
BOS @ LAD7:20 PMLAD63%7 of 11-166Lean 
STL @ TOR1:37 PMTOR53%7 of 13-119Split 

Totals Consensus Board — Over/Under

MatchupStart (ET)ConsensusAgreeSourcesLineTier
PHI @ BAL1:35 PMUnder77%7 of 9U 8STRONG
TEX @ HOU2:10 PMUnder83%5 of 6U 8.5STRONG
NYY @ CHC2:20 PMUnder66%4 of 6U 6.5STRONG
KC @ COL3:10 PMOver70%7 of 10O 11.5STRONG
DET @ ATH4:05 PMUnder71%5 of 7U 11STRONG
BOS @ LAD7:20 PMOver71%5 of 7O 8.5STRONG
WAS @ ATL1:35 PMUnder60%3 of 5U 9Lean
MIA @ NYM1:40 PMOver57%4 of 7O 8.5Lean
PIT @ CIN1:40 PMOver55%5 of 9O 8.5Lean
CWS @ TB1:40 PMUnder63%7 of 11U 7.5Lean
ARI @ CLE1:40 PMUnder57%4 of 7U 8Lean
MIL @ LAA3:15 PMUnder62%5 of 8U 7.5Lean
MIN @ SEA4:10 PMUnder57%4 of 7U 7.5Lean
SF @ SD4:10 PMUnder62%5 of 8U 8.5Lean
STL @ TOR1:37 PMSplit50%4 of 8—Split

Graded Result

Moneyline consensus went 10–4 (71.4% right), +4.07u, +29.1% ROI. STRONG: 7–2. Overlays: 0–1.

Totals consensus went 6–6 (50.0% right), −0.54u, −4.5% ROI. STRONG: 2–2. Pushes: 2.

Note: odds verified against ESPN closing lines; all 14 moneyline prices matched ESPN in direction and magnitude, so no corrections were applied. One totals line diverged: DET @ ATH posted U 11 on this board vs. a closing total of 10 at ESPN’s book. Graded at the published board line of 11 (final total 11 = push); at ESPN’s 10 it would have been a loss.

Moneyline

MATCHUPCONSENSUSODDSRESULTUNITS
PHI @ BALPHI-131✓+0.76
MIA @ NYMMIA-114✓+0.88
CWS @ TBTB-139✗-1.00
ARI @ CLECLE-151✓+0.66
TEX @ HOUHOU-127✓+0.79
NYY @ CHCNYY-115✓+0.87
MIL @ LAAMIL-213✗-1.00
DET @ ATHDET-107✓+0.93
SF @ SDSD-141✓+0.71
WAS @ ATLATL-116✓+0.86
PIT @ CINCIN-134✓+0.75
KC @ COLCOL-116✓+0.86
MIN @ SEAMIN+124✗-1.00
BOS @ LADLAD-166✗-1.00
STL @ TORSplit — no pick——0.00

Totals

MATCHUPCONSENSUSLINEFINAL TOTALRESULTUNITS
PHI @ BALUnder88—0.00
TEX @ HOUUnder8.510✗-1.00
NYY @ CHCUnder6.53✓+0.91
KC @ COLOver11.59✗-1.00
DET @ ATHUnder1111—0.00
BOS @ LADOver8.512✓+0.91
WAS @ ATLUnder96✓+0.91
MIA @ NYMOver8.52✗-1.00
PIT @ CINOver8.512✓+0.91
CWS @ TBUnder7.510✗-1.00
ARI @ CLEUnder85✓+0.91
MIL @ LAAUnder7.53✓+0.91
MIN @ SEAUnder7.513✗-1.00
SF @ SDUnder8.59✗-1.00
STL @ TORSplit — no pick—6—0.00
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