MLB Sportsbook Consensus Picks — Sunday, July 12, 2026
Moneyline board built from 5 computer model sites, 10 Action Network experts (33 picks), and 3 free-pick sites (Sports Chat Place, Covers, Pickswise) — 132 total picks across 15 games. Totals board built from the 4 model sites that publish totals, 11 Action Network experts (23 picks), and 3 free-pick sites — 89 total picks across 15 games. All start times Eastern.
Sunday’s 15-game MLB slate: 10 of 15 games reached STRONG on the moneyline board, and 6 of 15 reached STRONG on the totals board.
Moneyline Consensus Board
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Odds | Tier | Overlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA @ TB | 1:40 PM | Rays (TB) | 9/10 (90%) | 10 | -135 | STRONG | |
| CLE @ MIA | 1:40 PM | Marlins (MIA) | 8/9 (89%) | 9 | -74 | STRONG | |
| TOR @ SD | 4:10 PM | Blue Jays (TOR) | 8/9 (89%) | 9 | -122 | STRONG | |
| KC @ BAL | 1:35 PM | Orioles (BAL) | 7/8 (88%) | 8 | -143 | STRONG | |
| LAA @ MIN | 2:10 PM | Twins (MIN) | 6/7 (86%) | 7 | -125 | STRONG | |
| ATL @ STL | 2:15 PM | Cardinals (STL) | 7/9 (78%) | 9 | -127 | STRONG | |
| CHC @ CIN | 1:40 PM | Cubs (CHC) | 5/7 (71%) | 7 | -123 | STRONG | |
| ATH @ CWS | 2:10 PM | White Sox (CWS) | 7/10 (70%) | 10 | -127 | STRONG | |
| MIL @ PIT | 12:15 PM | Pirates (PIT) | 6/9 (67%) | 9 | -120 | STRONG | |
| HOU @ TEX | 2:35 PM | Rangers (TEX) | 6/9 (67%) | 9 | -131 | STRONG | |
| BOS @ NYM | 1:40 PM | Red Sox (BOS) | 7/11 (64%) | 11 | -112 | Lean | |
| ARI @ LAD | 4:10 PM | Dodgers (LAD) | 5/8 (62%) | 8 | -183 | Lean | |
| PHI @ DET | 1:40 PM | Tigers (DET) | 6/10 (60%) | 10 | -118 | Lean | |
| COL @ SF | 4:05 PM | Giants (SF) | 3/5 (60%) | 5 | -132 | Lean | |
| NYY @ WSH | 1:35 PM | Yankees (NYY) | 6/11 (55%) | 11 | +20 | Split | ✓ |
Totals Consensus Board — Over/Under
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Line | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC @ BAL | 1:35 PM | Under | 5/6 (83%) | 6 | 9.5 | STRONG |
| PHI @ DET | 1:40 PM | Under | 9/11 (82%) | 11 | 7.5 | STRONG |
| HOU @ TEX | 2:35 PM | Under | 3/4 (75%) | 4 | 9.0 | STRONG |
| COL @ SF | 4:05 PM | Over | 6/8 (75%) | 8 | 8.75 | STRONG |
| TOR @ SD | 4:10 PM | Over | 6/8 (75%) | 8 | 8.5 | STRONG |
| ARI @ LAD | 4:10 PM | Under | 4/6 (67%) | 6 | 9.5 | STRONG |
| NYY @ WSH | 1:35 PM | Under | 3/5 (60%) | 5 | 9.5 | Lean |
| LAA @ MIN | 2:10 PM | Over | 3/5 (60%) | 5 | 9.0 | Lean |
| ATL @ STL | 2:15 PM | Over | 3/5 (60%) | 5 | 7.5 | Lean |
| CHC @ CIN | 1:40 PM | Over | 4/7 (57%) | 7 | 9.0 | Lean |
| MIL @ PIT | 12:15 PM | Split | 3/6 (50%) | 6 | – | Split |
| BOS @ NYM | 1:40 PM | Split | 2/4 (50%) | 4 | – | Split |
| CLE @ MIA | 1:40 PM | Split | 2/4 (50%) | 4 | – | Split |
| SEA @ TB | 1:40 PM | Split | 2/4 (50%) | 4 | – | Split |
| ATH @ CWS | 2:10 PM | Split | 3/6 (50%) | 6 | – | Split |
Graded Result
Moneyline consensus went 9–6 (60.0% right), +1.28u, +8.54% ROI. STRONG: 6–4. Overlays: 1–0.
Totals consensus went 5–5 (50.0% right), −0.45u, −4.50% ROI. STRONG: 3–3. Pushes: 0.
Correction: Cleveland @ Miami moneyline odds corrected from board's posted −74 (an invalid/implausible price) to ESPN DraftKings close −105 for Miami — no unit impact (pick graded WRONG either way). New York @ Washington moneyline odds corrected from board's posted +20 (Yankees as underdog, also an implausible sub-100 magnitude) to ESPN DraftKings close −107 for the Yankees, which had actually closed as a narrow favorite — this changed the Yankees' graded units from +0.20u to +0.93u.
Moneyline — Graded
| Matchup | Consensus | Odds | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA @ TB | Rays (TB) | -135 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| CLE @ MIA | Marlins (MIA) | -105 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| TOR @ SD | Blue Jays (TOR) | -122 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| KC @ BAL | Orioles (BAL) | -143 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.70u |
| LAA @ MIN | Twins (MIN) | -125 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.80u |
| ATL @ STL | Cardinals (STL) | -127 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| CHC @ CIN | Cubs (CHC) | -123 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.81u |
| ATH @ CWS | White Sox (CWS) | -127 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.79u |
| MIL @ PIT | Pirates (PIT) | -120 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.83u |
| HOU @ TEX | Rangers (TEX) | -131 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.76u |
| BOS @ NYM | Red Sox (BOS) | -112 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.89u |
| ARI @ LAD | Dodgers (LAD) | -183 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| PHI @ DET | Tigers (DET) | -118 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| COL @ SF | Giants (SF) | -132 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.76u |
| NYY @ WSH | Yankees (NYY) | -107 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.93u |
Totals — Graded
| Matchup | Consensus | Line | Final Total | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC @ BAL | Under 9.5 | 9.5 | 10 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| PHI @ DET | Under 7.5 | 7.5 | 5 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.91u |
| HOU @ TEX | Under 9.0 | 9.0 | 11 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| COL @ SF | Over 8.75 | 8.75 | 4 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| TOR @ SD | Over 8.5 | 8.5 | 9 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.91u |
| ARI @ LAD | Under 9.5 | 9.5 | 8 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.91u |
| NYY @ WSH | Under 9.5 | 9.5 | 8 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.91u |
| LAA @ MIN | Over 9.0 | 9.0 | 6 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| ATL @ STL | Over 7.5 | 7.5 | 7 | ✗ WRONG | -1.00u |
| CHC @ CIN | Over 9.0 | 9.0 | 12 | ✓ RIGHT | +0.91u |
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