MLB Sportsbook Consensus Picks — Thursday, July 9, 2026

MLB·July 9, 2026·3 min read

Moneyline consensus draws on 5 computer model sites (Dimers, OddsShark, DRatings, OddsTrader, MyGameSim), 13 Action Network experts contributing 27 individual picks, and 6 free-pick sites (Sports Chat Place, Pickswise, Covers, Predictem, Pickdawgz, WagerTalk). Totals consensus draws on 4 totals-publishing model sites (Dimers does not publish totals), 8 Action Network experts contributing 24 O/U picks, and the same 6 free-pick sites. All start times Eastern.

Of today’s 13 MLB games, 10 of 13 reached STRONG agreement on the moneyline board, and 7 of 13 reached STRONG agreement on the totals board.

Strongest Overlay: Colorado Rockies (COL @ SF, 9:45 PM ET) carry the day’s clearest plus-money moneyline overlay — consensus favors Colorado at an average of +33 on 4 of 7 sources (Lean tier). A second plus-money lean surfaced on Athletics @ Tigers (Oakland averaging +82), but that game split 7-6 across sources and falls short of Lean-tier agreement, so it’s noted here rather than featured. Overlay applies to the moneyline board only — totals are priced close to -110 on both sides and carry no overlay flag.

Moneyline Consensus Board

Matchup Start (ET) Consensus Agree Sources Odds Tier Overlay
ATL @ PIT 12:35 PM ATL 71.4% (5/7) 7 -65 STRONG  
KC @ NYM 1:10 PM NYM 72.7% (8/11) 11 -89 STRONG  
NYY @ TB 1:10 PM TB 100% (10/10) 10 -116 STRONG  
CHC @ BAL 1:35 PM BAL 73.3% (11/15) 15 -98 STRONG  
BOS @ CWS 2:10 PM CWS 66.7% (6/9) 9 -111 STRONG  
SEA @ MIA 6:40 PM SEA 78.6% (11/14) 14 -59 STRONG  
PHI @ CIN 7:10 PM PHI 100% (8/8) 8 -103 STRONG  
MIL @ STL 7:45 PM MIL 75% (6/8) 8 -129 STRONG  
LAA @ TEX 8:05 PM TEX 77.8% (7/9) 9 -132 STRONG  
ARI @ SD 9:40 PM SD 83.3% (5/6) 6 -72 STRONG  
COL @ SF 9:45 PM COL 57.1% (4/7) 7 +33 Lean ✓
CLE @ MIN 1:40 PM CLE 50% (4/8) 8 -112 Split  
ATH @ DET 6:40 PM ATH 53.8% (7/13) 13 +82 Split ✓

Totals Consensus Board — Over/Under

Matchup Start (ET) Consensus Agree Sources Line Tier
CHC @ BAL 1:35 PM Over 75% (6/8) 8 Over 9.5 STRONG
CLE @ MIN 1:40 PM Over 66.7% (4/6) 6 Over 8.5 STRONG
ATH @ DET 6:40 PM Over 71.4% (5/7) 7 Over 9 STRONG
PHI @ CIN 7:10 PM Under 83.3% (5/6) 6 Under 9.5 STRONG
LAA @ TEX 8:05 PM Under 66.7% (6/9) 9 Under 7 STRONG
ARI @ SD 9:40 PM Over 70% (7/10) 10 Over 8.5 STRONG
COL @ SF 9:45 PM Over 80% (4/5) 5 Over 8.5 STRONG
ATL @ PIT 12:35 PM Over 57.1% (4/7) 7 Over 9.25 Lean
NYY @ TB 1:10 PM Over 60% (3/5) 5 Over 7.5 Lean
BOS @ CWS 2:10 PM Under 55.6% (5/9) 9 Under 9 Lean
SEA @ MIA 6:40 PM Under 57.1% (4/7) 7 Under 8.25 Lean
MIL @ STL 7:45 PM Under 57.1% (4/7) 7 Under 8.5 Lean
KC @ NYM 1:10 PM Split 50% (4/8) 8 — Split

Graded Result

Moneyline consensus went 7–6 (53.8% right), +1.08u, +8.3% ROI. STRONG: 6–4. Overlays: 0–2.

Totals consensus went 5–7 (41.7% right), -2.45u, -20.4% ROI. STRONG: 2–5. Pushes: 0.

Matchup Consensus Odds Result Units
ATL @ PITATL-65✓+1.54u
KC @ NYMNYM-89✓+1.12u
NYY @ TBTB-116✗-1.00u
CHC @ BALBAL-98✓+1.02u
BOS @ CWSCWS-111✗-1.00u
SEA @ MIASEA-59✗-1.00u
PHI @ CINPHI-103✓+0.97u
MIL @ STLMIL-129✓+0.78u
LAA @ TEXTEX-132✓+0.76u
ARI @ SDSD-72✗-1.00u
COL @ SFCOL (Lean, Overlay)+33✗-1.00u
CLE @ MINCLE (Split)-112✓+0.89u
ATH @ DETATH (Split, Overlay)+82✗-1.00u
Matchup Consensus Line Final Total Result Units
CHC @ BALOver9.55✗-1.00u
CLE @ MINOver8.57✗-1.00u
ATH @ DETOver95✗-1.00u
PHI @ CINUnder9.51✓+0.91u
LAA @ TEXUnder713✗-1.00u
ARI @ SDOver8.54✗-1.00u
COL @ SFOver8.510✓+0.91u
ATL @ PITOver9.2515✓+0.91u
NYY @ TBOver7.516✓+0.91u
BOS @ CWSUnder93✓+0.91u
SEA @ MIAUnder8.2512✗-1.00u
MIL @ STLUnder8.512✗-1.00u
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