MLB Sportsbook Consensus Picks — Tuesday, August 4, 2026
Sources: 5 computer-model sites (Dimers, Covers/OddsShark, DRatings, OddsTrader, MyGameSim), Action Network expert picks, and free handicapping sites (Sports Chat Place, Pickswise, StatSalt, WagerTalk). Moneyline board: 133 picks from 24 distinct models & handicappers. Totals board: 91 picks from 17 — Dimers publishes win probability only, so it does not vote on totals. Flat equal weighting; one handicapper counts once per board per game. All 15 games on the slate were unstarted at lock. All start times Eastern.
All 15 games on Tuesday’s card are included — first pitch runs 6:35 PM to 9:40 PM ET, so nothing had started when the board was locked. The moneyline board produced 9 STRONG reads, 4 Leans and 2 Splits. The totals board is thinner and more divided: 4 STRONG, 7 Leans and 4 outright Splits.
Moneyline Consensus Board
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Odds | Tier | Overlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA @ BAL | 6:35 PM | BAL | 80% | 5 | -141 | STRONG | |
| WSH @ PHI | 6:40 PM | PHI | 87% | 8 | -257 | STRONG | |
| NYM @ CLE | 6:40 PM | CLE | 84% | 13 | -144 | STRONG | |
| STL @ NYY | 7:05 PM | NYY | 87% | 8 | -180 | STRONG | |
| MIA @ ATL | 7:15 PM | ATL | 85% | 7 | -133 | STRONG | |
| PIT @ MIL | 7:40 PM | MIL | 71% | 7 | -138 | STRONG | |
| MIN @ KC | 7:40 PM | MIN | 80% | 10 | -135 | STRONG | |
| SF @ TEX | 8:05 PM | TEX | 70% | 10 | -186 | STRONG | |
| TOR @ HOU | 8:10 PM | HOU | 71% | 7 | -122 | STRONG | |
| CWS @ BOS | 7:10 PM | BOS | 63% | 11 | -125 | Lean | |
| TB @ COL | 8:40 PM | TB | 62% | 8 | -156 | Lean | |
| SD @ ARI | 9:40 PM | ARI | 60% | 10 | -108 | Lean | |
| DET @ SEA | 9:40 PM | DET | 62% | 8 | +116 | Lean | ✓ |
| ATH @ CIN | 6:40 PM | CIN | 54% | 11 | -127 | Split | |
| LAD @ CHC | 8:05 PM | LAD | 50% | 10 | -194 | Split |
Totals Consensus Board — Over/Under
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Line | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL @ NYY | 7:05 PM | Under | 75% | 4 | U 8.5 | STRONG |
| CWS @ BOS | 7:10 PM | Over | 66% | 6 | O 8.5 | STRONG |
| MIA @ ATL | 7:15 PM | Over | 71% | 7 | O 9 | STRONG |
| MIN @ KC | 7:40 PM | Under | 71% | 7 | U 9 | STRONG |
| ATH @ CIN | 6:40 PM | Over | 57% | 7 | O 9 | Lean |
| NYM @ CLE | 6:40 PM | Over | 60% | 5 | O 7.5 | Lean |
| PIT @ MIL | 7:40 PM | Under | 55% | 9 | U 7.5 | Lean |
| TOR @ HOU | 8:10 PM | Over | 100% | 3 | O 8.5 | Lean |
| TB @ COL | 8:40 PM | Over | 57% | 7 | O 11 | Lean |
| SD @ ARI | 9:40 PM | Under | 57% | 7 | U 9 | Lean |
| DET @ SEA | 9:40 PM | Under | 60% | 5 | U 7.5 | Lean |
| LAA @ BAL | 6:35 PM | Split | 50% | 8 | — | Split |
| WSH @ PHI | 6:40 PM | Split | 50% | 6 | — | Split |
| SF @ TEX | 8:05 PM | Split | 50% | 4 | — | Split |
| LAD @ CHC | 8:05 PM | Split | 50% | 6 | — | Split |
Tiers: STRONG = ≥66% agreement with ≥4 sources • Lean = ≥55% with ≥3 sources • Split = no clear majority. Totals line shown is the median posted number on the consensus side.
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