MLB Sportsbook Consensus Picks — Wednesday, July 29, 2026

MLB·July 29, 2026·2 min read

Sources: model projection sites, Action Network expert picks and free handicapper sites. Moneyline board — 91 source picks across 11 games (54 model-site, 22 Action Network experts, 15 free-site). Totals board — 60 source picks (44 model-site, 11 Action Network, 5 free-site). Consensus locked at approximately 3:00 PM ET, before first pitch on the full board. All start times Eastern.

Today’s slate produced 8 of 11 games at STRONG consensus on the moneyline board and 7 of 11 at STRONG on the totals board. Games already underway when the board was built are excluded.

Strongest Overlay: Cubs +100 at Cardinals (7:45 PM ET) — STRONG tier, 77% of 9 sources on Chicago at plus money. One other plus-money consensus side: Rockies +150 at Padres, but that game is only a Split (54% of 11 sources), so it carries far less weight. Overlay applies to the moneyline board only.

Moneyline Consensus Board

MatchupStart (ET)ConsensusAgreeSourcesOddsTierOverlay
Rangers @ Rays6:40 PMRays71%5/7-135STRONG 
Braves @ Mets7:10 PMBraves80%4/5-147STRONG 
Royals @ Twins7:40 PMTwins83%5/6-190STRONG 
Yankees @ White Sox7:40 PMYankees100%7/7-141STRONG 
Cubs @ Cardinals7:45 PMCubs77%7/9+100STRONG✓
Astros @ Angels9:38 PMAstros100%7/7-125STRONG 
Red Sox @ Athletics9:40 PMRed Sox75%6/8-141STRONG 
Mariners @ Dodgers10:10 PMDodgers80%8/10-160STRONG 
Brewers @ Giants3:45 PMBrewers64%9/14-102Lean 
Guardians @ Reds7:10 PMGuardians57%4/7-130Lean 
Rockies @ Padres4:10 PMRockies54%6/11+150Split✓

Totals Consensus Board — Over/Under

MatchupStart (ET)ConsensusAgreeSourcesLineTier
Rockies @ Padres4:10 PMUnder83%5/6U 8.5STRONG
Rangers @ Rays6:40 PMOver66%4/6O 7.5STRONG
Guardians @ Reds7:10 PMOver83%5/6O 9STRONG
Braves @ Mets7:10 PMOver100%4/4O 7STRONG
Royals @ Twins7:40 PMUnder71%5/7U 9STRONG
Cubs @ Cardinals7:45 PMUnder66%4/6U 8STRONG
Astros @ Angels9:38 PMOver83%5/6O 9.5STRONG
Yankees @ White Sox7:40 PMUnder60%3/5U 7.5Lean
Brewers @ Giants3:45 PMSplit50%2/4—Split
Red Sox @ Athletics9:40 PMSplit50%2/4—Split
Mariners @ Dodgers10:10 PMSplit50%3/6—Split

Graded Result

Moneyline consensus went 6–4 (60.0% right), +0.32u, +3.2% ROI. STRONG: 5–3. Leans: 1–1. Overlays: 0–1.

Totals consensus went 4–4 (50.0% right), −0.36u, −4.5% ROI. STRONG: 4–3. Pushes: 0.

Note: no odds corrections were required — every posted consensus price was a valid American line and matched ESPN’s closing favorite/underdog direction. Braves @ Mets was a doubleheader; the 7:10 PM ET nightcap (Atlanta 1, New York 0) was graded, per the board’s listed start time. Rockies @ Padres moneyline was a Split-tier board row and is scored as no action.

Moneyline

MatchupConsensusOddsResultUnits
Rangers @ RaysRays-135✓+0.74
Braves @ MetsBraves-147✓+0.68
Royals @ TwinsTwins-190✗-1.00
Yankees @ White SoxYankees-141✗-1.00
Cubs @ CardinalsCubs+100✗-1.00
Astros @ AngelsAstros-125✓+0.80
Red Sox @ AthleticsRed Sox-141✓+0.71
Mariners @ DodgersDodgers-160✓+0.63
Brewers @ GiantsBrewers-102✗-1.00
Guardians @ RedsGuardians-130✓+0.77
Rockies @ PadresRockies (Split — no action)+150—0.00

Totals

MatchupConsensusLineFinal TotalResultUnits
Rockies @ PadresUnder8.54✓+0.91
Rangers @ RaysOver7.53✗-1.00
Guardians @ RedsOver97✗-1.00
Braves @ MetsOver71✗-1.00
Royals @ TwinsUnder94✓+0.91
Cubs @ CardinalsUnder85✓+0.91
Astros @ AngelsOver9.511✓+0.91
Yankees @ White SoxUnder7.511✗-1.00
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