MLB Sportsbook Consensus Picks — Wednesday, July 8, 2026
Moneyline board built from 123 inputs across 5 computer models, Action Network’s expert panel, and free-pick sites (Sports Chat Place, Pickswise). Totals board built from 80 inputs across 4 totals-publishing computer models, Action Network’s Over/Under picks, and free-site O/U calls. All start times Eastern.
10 of 15 games reached STRONG consensus on the Moneyline board today, while 5 of 15 reached STRONG on the Totals board.
Strongest Overlay
SEA @ MIA: consensus MIA at an average of +115 (plus-money) — 56% agreement, Lean tier.
BOS @ CHW: consensus BOS at an average of +36 (plus-money) — 55% agreement, Split tier.
Overlay applies to the moneyline board only.
SEA @ MIA: consensus MIA at an average of +115 (plus-money) — 56% agreement, Lean tier.
BOS @ CHW: consensus BOS at an average of +36 (plus-money) — 55% agreement, Split tier.
Overlay applies to the moneyline board only.
Moneyline Consensus Board
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Odds | Tier | Overlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR @ SF | 3:45 PM | TOR | 78% | 7/9 | -111 | STRONG | |
| ATH @ DET | 6:40 PM | DET | 90% | 9/10 | -108 | STRONG | |
| ATL @ PIT | 6:40 PM | PIT | 78% | 7/9 | -114 | STRONG | |
| NYY @ TB | 6:40 PM | TB | 86% | 6/7 | -116 | STRONG | |
| HOU @ WSH | 6:45 PM | WSH | 100% | 7/7 | -129 | STRONG | |
| PHI @ CIN | 7:10 PM | CIN | 83% | 5/6 | -136 | STRONG | |
| MIL @ STL | 7:45 PM | MIL | 89% | 8/9 | -136 | STRONG | |
| LAA @ TEX | 8:05 PM | TEX | 86% | 6/7 | -146 | STRONG | |
| COL @ LAD | 10:10 PM | LAD | 83% | 5/6 | -209 | STRONG | |
| ARI @ SD | 10:10 PM | SD | 71% | 5/7 | -137 | STRONG | |
| CHC @ BAL | 6:35 PM | BAL | 62% | 5/8 | -122 | Lean | |
| SEA @ MIA | 6:40 PM | MIA | 56% | 5/9 | +115 | Lean | ✓ |
| KC @ NYM | 7:10 PM | NYM | 62% | 5/8 | -164 | Lean | |
| CLE @ MIN | 7:40 PM | MIN | 60% | 6/10 | -125 | Lean | |
| BOS @ CHW | 7:40 PM | BOS | 55% | 6/11 | +36 | Split | ✓ |
Totals Consensus Board — Over/Under
| Matchup | Start (ET) | Consensus | Agree | Sources | Line | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL @ PIT | 6:40 PM | Over | 83% | 5/6 | 9 | STRONG |
| NYY @ TB | 6:40 PM | Over | 75% | 3/4 | 7 | STRONG |
| HOU @ WSH | 6:45 PM | Under | 67% | 4/6 | 9.5 | STRONG |
| KC @ NYM | 7:10 PM | Over | 75% | 3/4 | 9 | STRONG |
| ARI @ SD | 10:10 PM | Over | 83% | 5/6 | 8 | STRONG |
| TOR @ SF | 3:45 PM | Under | 57% | 4/7 | 7 | Lean |
| CHC @ BAL | 6:35 PM | Over | 62% | 5/8 | 9.5 | Lean |
| ATH @ DET | 6:40 PM | Over | 60% | 3/5 | 9 | Lean |
| SEA @ MIA | 6:40 PM | Over | 60% | 3/5 | 8.5 | Lean |
| CLE @ MIN | 7:40 PM | Over | 60% | 3/5 | 8.5 | Lean |
| MIL @ STL | 7:45 PM | Over | 60% | 3/5 | 8 | Lean |
| COL @ LAD | 10:10 PM | Over | 60% | 3/5 | 10 | Lean |
| PHI @ CIN | 7:10 PM | Split | 50% | 2/4 | — | Split |
| BOS @ CHW | 7:40 PM | Split | 50% | 2/4 | — | Split |
| LAA @ TEX | 8:05 PM | Split | 50% | 3/6 | — | Split |
Graded Result
Moneyline consensus went 11–4 (73.3% right), +4.33u, +28.9% ROI. STRONG: 7–3. Overlays: 2–0.
| Matchup | Consensus | Odds | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR @ SF | TOR | -111 | ✓ | +0.90u |
| ATH @ DET | DET | -108 | ✓ | +0.93u |
| ATL @ PIT | PIT | -114 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| NYY @ TB | TB | -116 | ✓ | +0.86u |
| HOU @ WSH | WSH | -129 | ✓ | +0.78u |
| PHI @ CIN | CIN | -136 | ✓ | +0.74u |
| MIL @ STL | MIL | -136 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| LAA @ TEX | TEX | -146 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| COL @ LAD | LAD | -209 | ✓ | +0.48u |
| ARI @ SD | SD | -137 | ✓ | +0.73u |
| CHC @ BAL | BAL | -122 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| SEA @ MIA | MIA | +115 | ✓ | +1.15u |
| KC @ NYM | NYM | -164 | ✓ | +0.61u |
| CLE @ MIN | MIN | -125 | ✓ | +0.80u |
| BOS @ CHW | BOS | +36 | ✓ | +0.36u |
Totals consensus went 3–9 (25.0% right), -6.27u, -52.3% ROI. STRONG: 1–4. Pushes: 0.
| Matchup | Consensus | Line | Final Total | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR @ SF | Under 7 | 7 | 10 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| ATH @ DET | Over 9 | 9 | 7 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| ATL @ PIT | Over 9 | 9 | 3 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| NYY @ TB | Over 7 | 7 | 3 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| HOU @ WSH | Under 9.5 | 9.5 | 10 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| PHI @ CIN | Split | — | 16 | NO_PICK | — |
| KC @ NYM | Over 9 | 9 | 8 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| BOS @ CHW | Split | — | 5 | NO_PICK | — |
| CLE @ MIN | Over 8.5 | 8.5 | 11 | ✓ | +0.91u |
| MIL @ STL | Over 8 | 8 | 6 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| LAA @ TEX | Split | — | 14 | NO_PICK | — |
| COL @ LAD | Over 10 | 10 | 7 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| ARI @ SD | Over 8 | 8 | 14 | ✓ | +0.91u |
| SEA @ MIA | Over 8.5 | 8.5 | 2 | ✗ | -1.00u |
| CHC @ BAL | Over 9.5 | 9.5 | 16 | ✓ | +0.91u |
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