NBA Consensus Weekly Recap — Who’s Hot / Who’s Not — Week of Nov 2–Nov 8, 2026
Who was hot in the NBA this week: Tamberlyn Richardson (Cappers Picks) went 14-2-0 for +9.94u (season with us: 30-8-0, +18.50u). Right behind: Freddy Diaz (HispanosNBA) went 17-5-0 for +8.36u (season with us: 22-6-0, +10.82u), and Kim Smith (StatsAlt) went 38-19-1 for +8.19u (season with us: 52-33-1, +5.29u). Graded game days: Nov 2 and Nov 4–8.
The card this week
STRONG plays went 27-19-0 for +2.91u. LEAN plays went 6-6-0 for -1.07u. Together the card finished 33-25-0, +1.84u; FADE-WATCH (0 units, tracked only) went 1-0-0. Every graded play is on the consensus record page.
Market check
Spreads carried the STRONG tier at 14-7-0 (+5.70u), and STRONG moneylines were perfect at 5-0-0 (+1.84u). STRONG totals were the drag at 8-12-0 (-4.63u). In the LEAN tier it flipped: LEAN totals went 3-0-0 (+2.74u), LEAN spreads 2-5-0 (-3.17u) and LEAN moneylines 1-1-0 (-0.64u). Across all 87 experts we track, the field hit 55.3% (551-445-5, +30.62u); the card hit 56.9%.
Hot this week
| Expert | Outlet | W-L-P | Hit rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamberlyn Richardson | Cappers Picks | 14-2-0 | 87.5% | +9.94u |
| Freddy Diaz | HispanosNBA | 17-5-0 | 77.3% | +8.36u |
| Kim Smith | StatsAlt | 38-19-1 | 66.7% | +8.19u |
| Peter Tran | Sports Chat Place | 15-7-0 | 68.2% | +6.65u |
| David Anicetti | Winners and Whiners | 15-6-0 | 71.4% | +6.54u |
| Guy Bruhn | Doc’s Sports | 11-4-0 | 73.3% | +6.04u |
| Eddie Kline | Picks and Parlays | 24-17-0 | 58.5% | +4.84u |
| iHeart Model | iHeart Model | 54-36-0 | 60.0% | +4.69u |
| Ben Dezell | Pickswise | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | +3.94u |
| Kim Smith | Picks and Parlays | 11-5-0 | 68.8% | +3.79u |
Minimum 3 graded picks.
Season leaders
| Expert | Record | Units | Consensus weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cappers Picks – Tamberlyn Richardson | 30-8-0 | +18.50u | 1.36 |
| Picks and Parlays – Kim Smith | 80-50-0 | +16.13u | 1.23 |
| HispanosNBA – Freddy Diaz | 22-6-0 | +10.82u | 1.28 |
| WagerTalk – Kyle Kargel | 27-16-0 | +7.76u | 1.15 |
| Doc’s Sports – Tony Sink | 28-18-0 | +7.52u | 1.13 |
| Doc’s Sports – Josh Schonwald | 22-13-0 | +7.06u | 1.13 |
| Winners and Whiners – David Anicetti | 15-6-0 | +6.54u | 1.17 |
| Pick Dawgz – Peter Tran | 37-27-0 | +6.51u | 1.10 |
| Doc’s Sports – Guy Bruhn | 25-17-0 | +5.78u | 1.10 |
| StatsAlt – Kim Smith | 52-33-1 | +5.29u | 1.19 |
| SportsLine Model | 11-5-0 | +5.01u | 1.11 |
| Winners and Whiners – Alex MacMillan | 19-12-0 | +4.72u | 1.10 |
| Sports Illustrated – Ryan Gilbert | 10-5-0 | +4.08u | 1.10 |
| Sports Chat Place – Peter Tran | 34-27-0 | +3.98u | 1.06 |
| Picks and Parlays – Eddie Kline | 27-21-0 | +3.57u | 1.06 |
| Picks and Parlays – Cameron Ross | 10-6-0 | +3.10u | 1.07 |
| Sportsgambler – Kyrone Jones | 9-6-0 | +2.43u | 1.05 |
| Pick Dawgz – Randy Chambers | 40-34-0 | +2.39u | 1.03 |
| Bleacher Nation | 40-28-0 | +2.21u | 1.12 |
| Doc’s Sports – Parlay’s Pundit | 11-9-0 | +1.01u | 1.02 |
| StatsAlt – David Anicetti | 32-24-0 | +0.98u | 1.08 |
| WagerTalk – GoldSheet | 20-15-0 | +0.62u | 1.06 |
| FanDuel Research | 10-9-0 | +0.28u | 1.00 |
Minimum 15 graded picks, in profit. The full graded record for every source, good weeks and bad, is public on the grading pages.
What we’re watching
Totals. When enough experts lined up on a total to reach STRONG, it went 8-12-0 this week, while the smaller LEAN totals went 3-0-0. Season-to-date STRONG totals sit at 27-24-0, so we are watching whether heavy agreement on totals is actually adding value next week, while STRONG spreads (28-18-0 on the season) keep doing the heavy lifting.
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Season to date — the card
Live from the grading ledger, so it includes every game graded since this recap went up.
NBA consensus card
Graded Oct 20 – Nov 9 · 20 graded days| Tier | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| STRONG | 31-20 +8.15u | 13-3 +3.39u | 28-26 -0.56u |
| LEAN | 13-13 -1.32u | 1-3 -2.64u | 6-3 +2.45u |
FADE-WATCH (tracked, not staked, kept out of the card record): 2-3.
Every sport’s consensus record →
Flat 1-unit stakes at the line and price we posted before the game. STRONG and LEAN are tiered before the game starts and graded against the confirmed final the next morning. Updated automatically from the grading ledger.