NBA – Expert Grading Recap – Week of November 3rd
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
Once again this season, we’ll recap each week’s expert plays and hand out the grades. Welcome in to the first recap of the season! Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Stokastic – Cheat Sheet | 5.83 | 1 | 4.92 | 5 | 6.73 | 2 | 5.80 | 6 | 5.82 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 4.50 | 3 | 4.88 | 6 | 6.00 | 4 | 5.88 | 5 | 5.32 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 5.67 | 2 | 3.50 | 19 | 5.00 | 9 | 6.17 | 3 | 5.09 |
| FantasyGuru | 4.32 | 6 | 4.60 | 10 | 5.26 | 7 | 5.38 | 10 | 4.89 |
| FantasyLabs | 4.40 | 5 | 3.90 | 14 | 4.60 | 15 | 6.60 | 1 | 4.88 |
| RunPureSports | – | – | 4.36 | 11 | 5.36 | 6 | – | – | 4.86 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 4.17 | 8 | 4.09 | 12 | 4.82 | 14 | 6.09 | 4 | 4.79 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 4.30 | 7 | 5.00 | 3 | 5.14 | 8 | 4.60 | 14 | 4.76 |
| Sportsline | 3.75 | 10 | 4.75 | 8 | 4.00 | 17 | 5.75 | 8 | 4.56 |
| Rotowire | 3.69 | 12 | 5.00 | 3 | 3.67 | 21 | 5.80 | 6 | 4.54 |
| FanDuel Research | 3.73 | 11 | 4.79 | 7 | 5.00 | 9 | – | – | 4.51 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 4.50 | 3 | 3.50 | 19 | 4.45 | 16 | 5.40 | 9 | 4.46 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 1.00 | 21 | 6.50 | 1 | 8.33 | 1 | 2.00 | 19 | 4.46 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 3.17 | 13 | 3.83 | 15 | 6.29 | 3 | 3.75 | 15 | 4.26 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 2.33 | 18 | 5.50 | 2 | 4.00 | 17 | 5.00 | 12 | 4.21 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 3.00 | 15 | 3.67 | 17 | 5.00 | 9 | 5.00 | 12 | 4.17 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 3.00 | 15 | 3.57 | 18 | 5.75 | 5 | 3.75 | 15 | 4.02 |
| FantasyPros | 2.00 | 19 | 3.68 | 16 | 4.94 | 13 | 5.11 | 11 | 3.93 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 1.83 | 20 | 4.75 | 8 | 2.50 | 22 | 6.25 | 2 | 3.83 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | 3.83 | 9 | – | – | 3.83 | 19 | – | – | 3.83 |
| Rotoballer | 2.89 | 17 | 4.00 | 13 | 3.71 | 20 | 3.75 | 15 | 3.59 |
| DailyFantasyFuel | 3.14 | 14 | 3.50 | 19 | 5.00 | 9 | 2.25 | 18 | 3.47 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- None
Tuesday
- Tristan da Silva (DK Playbook Values)
- Scottie Barnes (FantasyPros)
- Sandro Mamukelashvili (Stokastic Cheat Sheet)
Wednesday
- Sadiq Bey (FantasyPros)
- Ronald Holland II (Stokastic Cheat Sheet)
Friday
- Ja Morant (DFS Army Cheat Sheet)
- Anthony Edwards (FantasyGuru)
- Stephon Castle (FantasyGuru)
- Reed Sheppard (FantasyPros)
- Ryan Rollins (FantasyPros)
- Tre Johnson (FantasyPros)
- Zaccharie Risacher (FantasyPros)
- Cedric Coward (FantasyPros)
- Jaime Jaquez (Rotowire)
- Matas Buzelis (Rotowire Optimizer)
- Kon Knueppel (Sportsline)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 7
- Stokastic Cheat Sheet – 2
- FantasyGuru – 2
- Rotowire – 1
- Rotowire Optimizer – 1
- DK Playbook Values – 1
- DFS Army Cheat Sheet – 1
- Sportsline – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) Sportsline (Score: 6.21)
#2) DK Playbook Targets (Score: 5.69)
#3) RunPureSports (Score: 5.44)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.06) is in 8th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.76) is in 16th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 20 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 19 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 18 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 17 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 16 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 15 | NA | NA | 87.8% | NA |
| 14 | 69.7% | NA | NA | 88.1% |
| 13 | 76.8% | NA | NA | 78.0% |
| 12 | 56.6% | 79.2% | NA | 50.9% |
| 11 | 55.9% | 67.9% | 72.9% | 60.5% |
| 10 | 42.3% | 76.2% | NA | 67.0% |
| 9 | 42.3% | 50.4% | 20.0% | 52.3% |
| 8 | NA | 31.2% | 52.8% | 40.1% |
| 7 | 9.7% | 6.9% | 21.7% | 39.8% |
| 6 | 9.6% | 23.1% | 38.8% | 33.6% |
| 5 | 37.5% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 51.6% |
| 4 | 6.1% | 6.7% | 23.2% | 23.8% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% |
| 2 | 1.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 11.0% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 20 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 19 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 18 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 17 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 16 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 15 | NA | NA | 70.0% | NA |
| 14 | 44.8% | NA | NA | 61.0% |
| 13 | 44.8% | NA | NA | 54.8% |
| 12 | 29.7% | 51.2% | NA | 35.1% |
| 11 | 30.7% | 41.3% | 47.6% | 34.9% |
| 10 | 34.8% | 40.8% | NA | 49.3% |
| 9 | 31.7% | 29.9% | 29.9% | 42.5% |
| 8 | NA | 22.1% | 33.4% | 28.4% |
| 7 | 15.9% | 11.6% | 26.2% | 25.8% |
| 6 | 15.0% | 10.9% | 30.2% | 26.1% |
| 5 | 17.4% | 15.5% | 22.3% | 34.4% |
| 4 | 9.4% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 18.5% |
| 3 | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 9.9% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
