NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of April 12th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
As is typical with the NBA, we’ve reached the point in the season when you never know who is playing and who isn’t. Knowing that, we will grade ONE MORE WEEK of NBA for this regular season. We’ll be back for some Consensus action in the 1st round of the playoffs. A full, five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 10.00 | 1 | 6.00 | 4 | 8.33 | 1 | 4.33 | 26 | 7.00 | 8 | 7.13 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | – | – | 1.50 | 32 | 6.50 | 13 | 7.00 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 10.00 | 1 | 7.00 | 2 | 5.50 | 21 | 4.44 | 25 | 7.60 | 4 | 6.91 |
| DailyRoto | 7.00 | 5 | – | – | 7.58 | 4 | – | – | 5.85 | 18 | 6.81 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 6.36 | 11 | 5.00 | 6 | 7.77 | 2 | 5.86 | 10 | 6.46 | 14 | 6.29 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 4.36 | 28 | 3.45 | 20 | 7.20 | 5 | 7.33 | 2 | 8.11 | 2 | 6.09 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 6.67 | 8 | 3.25 | 26 | 6.25 | 11 | 6.38 | 5 | 7.86 | 3 | 6.08 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 6.67 | 8 | 5.00 | 6 | 5.50 | 21 | 4.00 | 28 | 8.71 | 1 | 5.98 |
| Sportsline | 10.00 | 1 | 5.00 | 6 | 7.67 | 3 | 5.67 | 12 | 1.50 | 32 | 5.97 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 6.80 | 7 | 3.42 | 21 | 6.77 | 6 | 5.71 | 11 | 7.11 | 6 | 5.96 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 6.50 | 10 | 3.57 | 18 | 6.75 | 7 | 6.13 | 6 | 6.43 | 15 | 5.88 |
| RunPureSports | 5.57 | 19 | 4.93 | 9 | 6.36 | 9 | 5.92 | 8 | 6.57 | 11 | 5.87 |
| FantasyLabs | 7.00 | 5 | 4.55 | 11 | 4.90 | 29 | 5.92 | 8 | 6.80 | 9 | 5.83 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 5.75 | 16 | 5.13 | 5 | 5.43 | 23 | 6.13 | 6 | 6.38 | 16 | 5.76 |
| Rotowire | 6.30 | 12 | 4.75 | 10 | 5.88 | 15 | 5.00 | 23 | 6.57 | 11 | 5.70 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 5.50 | 20 | 3.50 | 19 | 6.25 | 11 | 5.29 | 20 | 7.43 | 5 | 5.59 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 5.00 | 26 | 6.67 | 3 | – | – | 5.50 | 15 | 5.00 | 23 | 5.54 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 6.13 | 13 | 4.00 | 13 | 4.11 | 30 | 5.50 | 15 | 6.80 | 9 | 5.31 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 5.08 | 25 | 3.29 | 25 | 5.13 | 25 | 5.62 | 14 | 7.07 | 7 | 5.24 |
| Rotoballer | 5.88 | 15 | 3.40 | 22 | 5.60 | 18 | 6.60 | 3 | 4.64 | 25 | 5.22 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 5.96 | 14 | 3.69 | 16 | 5.86 | 16 | 5.05 | 22 | 5.55 | 19 | 5.22 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.20 | 22 | 5.20 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 5.45 | 22 | 3.68 | 17 | 5.74 | 17 | 5.42 | 17 | 5.37 | 20 | 5.13 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 5.67 | 18 | 3.07 | 27 | 6.36 | 9 | 5.40 | 18 | – | – | 5.13 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 5.50 | 20 | 4.50 | 12 | 5.90 | 14 | 4.00 | 28 | 4.25 | 29 | 4.83 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 5.69 | 17 | 3.79 | 15 | 5.04 | 27 | 4.28 | 27 | 5.24 | 21 | 4.81 |
| EliteFantasy | 5.22 | 24 | 2.88 | 28 | 5.58 | 19 | 5.31 | 19 | 4.97 | 24 | 4.79 |
| FantasyPros | 3.73 | 29 | 3.37 | 24 | 5.56 | 20 | 6.50 | 4 | 4.30 | 28 | 4.69 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 4.44 | 27 | 3.40 | 22 | 6.56 | 8 | 5.00 | 23 | 3.30 | 30 | 4.54 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 5.38 | 23 | 1.83 | 30 | 5.17 | 24 | 5.67 | 12 | 4.63 | 26 | 4.54 |
| Rotoworld | 2.75 | 31 | 4.00 | 13 | 6.13 | 13 | 5.13 | 21 | 4.63 | 26 | 4.53 |
| Rotoworld – Pivots | – | – | 1.83 | 30 | 5.13 | 25 | – | – | 6.38 | 16 | 4.45 |
| DFSKarma – GPP Plays | 3.00 | 30 | 0.00 | 32 | 5.00 | 28 | 10.00 | 1 | 2.00 | 31 | 4.00 |
| SportsGamblingPodcast | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.86 | 31 | – | – | 3.86 |
| DK Playbook – Values | – | – | 2.00 | 29 | – | – | 4.00 | 28 | – | – | 3.00 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Nerlens Noel (Fantasy Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Harrison Barnes (EliteFantasy)
- Cameron Johnson (FantasyPros)
- Brandon Clarke (FantasyPros)
- Jae Crowder (RG Consensus)
Tuesday
- Caris Levert (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Bismack Biyombo (FantasyLabs)
Wednesday
- Derrick White (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
- Terry Rozier (DailyRoto)
- Luka Doncic (DailyRoto)
- DeAndre Jordan (DailyRoto)
- Elfrid Payton (DK Playbook Targets)
- Khem Birch (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Hassan Whiteside (EliteFantasy)
- Patty Mills (FantasyPros)
- Daniel Theis (FantasyPros)
- Landry Shamet (RG Lineup Builder)
- Davis Bertans (Rotoworld Pivots)
Thursday
- Tristan Thompson (FantasyPros)
Friday
- Trevor Ariza (Awesemo Cheat Sheet)
- Paul Watson (DailyRoto Optimizer)
- DeMar DeRozan (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Dillon Brooks (EliteFantasy)
- Steven Adams (EliteFantasy)
- Cody Martin (FantasyPros)
- Miles Bridges (Rotoworld Pivots)
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) Awesemo Building Blocks (Score: 5.64)
#2) DFS Army Full Court Press (Score: 5.61)
#3) Sportsline (Score: 5.55)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.45) reamains in 4th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.56) is in 25th place after last week.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 76.6% | N/A | N/A | 45.1% |
| 25 | 87.00% | 77.0% | 78.80% | 91.6% |
| 24 | 74.5% | 82.9% | N/A | 84.4% |
| 23 | 70.6% | 81.5% | 55.1% | 73.4% |
| 22 | 67.5% | 81.6% | 78.3% | 71.2% |
| 21 | 67.2% | 63.2% | 33.3% | 63.8% |
| 20 | 60.8% | N/A | 41.9% | 70.8% |
| 19 | 58.9% | 56.4% | 54.6% | 58.3% |
| 18 | 60.4% | 66.2% | 37.55% | 70.2% |
| 17 | 47.9% | 62.3% | 51.8% | 77.7% |
| 16 | 38.5% | 50.5% | 44.0% | 71.6% |
| 15 | 44.3% | 42.2% | 58.0% | 45.3% |
| 14 | 32.2% | 38.8% | 38.5% | 42.1% |
| 13 | 32.4% | 34.3% | 36.5% | 62.0% |
| 12 | 20.4% | 29.2% | 31.9% | 44.0% |
| 11 | 22.0% | 26.6% | 31.0% | 39.4% |
| 10 | 16.1% | 21.4% | 24.6% | 37.2% |
| 9 | 12.9% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 28.6% |
| 8 | 10.3% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 30.4% |
| 7 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 21.1% |
| 6 | 5.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 19.3% |
| 5 | 4.8% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 16.9% |
| 4 | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 12.3% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 10.2% |
| 2 | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 43.2% | N/A | N/A | 33.6% |
| 25 | 60.80% | 51.9% | 40.20% | 70.0% |
| 24 | 43.0% | 47.7% | N/A | 55.8% |
| 23 | 38.8% | 46.2% | 41.6% | 51.0% |
| 22 | 45.8% | 55.7% | 52.6% | 53.3% |
| 21 | 40.2% | 37.8% | 29.2% | 44.4% |
| 20 | 38.0% | N/A | 31.4% | 44.9% |
| 19 | 33.7% | 32.8% | 38.6% | 36.8% |
| 18 | 35.5% | 37.4% | 33.20% | 45.1% |
| 17 | 35.5% | 39.2% | 37.7% | 50.7% |
| 16 | 29.0% | 32.0% | 31.3% | 48.7% |
| 15 | 28.0% | 29.3% | 34.7% | 29.7% |
| 14 | 25.3% | 28.2% | 27.1% | 30.7% |
| 13 | 24.1% | 23.0% | 26.8% | 41.6% |
| 12 | 17.8% | 21.8% | 24.2% | 27.8% |
| 11 | 19.7% | 20.9% | 24.3% | 27.2% |
| 10 | 14.6% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 24.9% |
| 9 | 13.7% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 20.2% |
| 8 | 11.5% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 19.7% |
| 7 | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 16.4% |
| 6 | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 14.6% |
| 5 | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.1% |
| 4 | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
