NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of December 12th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
The holiday season is upon us which means we’re just days away from the Christmas Day NBA exstravaganza. As always, it’s a great NBA DFS day. Some of our top experts took a pretty big slide backwards this past week. A four-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 6.91 | 8 | 7.14 | 3 | 5.71 | 5 | 7.00 | 2 | 6.69 |
| Stokastic – Building Blocks | 2.50 | 28 | 10.00 | 1 | 3.00 | 23 | 10.00 | 1 | 6.38 |
| Rotowire | 6.91 | 8 | 5.64 | 5 | 6.09 | 2 | 6.20 | 4 | 6.21 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 8.83 | 1 | 5.57 | 6 | 4.75 | 9 | 5.00 | 18 | 6.04 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 6.94 | 6 | 5.38 | 7 | 3.36 | 21 | 6.38 | 3 | 5.52 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.43 | 24 | 5.00 | 9 | 6.05 | 3 | – | – | 5.49 |
| FantasyLabs | 7.22 | 3 | 5.67 | 4 | 3.00 | 23 | 5.75 | 9 | 5.41 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 5.00 | 25 | 4.50 | 18 | 6.13 | 1 | 5.75 | 9 | 5.35 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 6.36 | 13 | 4.85 | 12 | 4.24 | 14 | 5.72 | 13 | 5.29 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 7.14 | 4 | 4.00 | 24 | 4.50 | 11 | 5.50 | 14 | 5.29 |
| RunPureSports | 6.00 | 18 | 5.06 | 8 | 5.73 | 4 | 4.17 | 23 | 5.24 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 6.25 | 15 | 4.44 | 19 | 5.00 | 7 | 4.89 | 19 | 5.15 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 6.00 | 18 | 4.56 | 17 | 4.00 | 15 | 6.00 | 5 | 5.14 |
| DFSKarma – Building Blocks | 7.33 | 2 | 4.80 | 13 | – | – | 3.00 | 26 | 5.04 |
| Rotoballer | 5.75 | 20 | 3.63 | 26 | 5.22 | 6 | 5.50 | 14 | 5.03 |
| FantasyGuru | 6.37 | 12 | 4.21 | 21 | 4.71 | 10 | 4.74 | 20 | 5.01 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 5.65 | 23 | 4.74 | 14 | 3.60 | 20 | 5.95 | 7 | 4.99 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 5.71 | 21 | 4.00 | 24 | 4.38 | 13 | 5.75 | 9 | 4.96 |
| Sportsline | 6.33 | 14 | 7.67 | 2 | 2.33 | 28 | 3.33 | 25 | 4.92 |
| Stokastic – Cheat Sheet | 6.92 | 7 | 4.14 | 23 | 2.47 | 27 | 5.93 | 8 | 4.87 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 6.50 | 10 | 3.00 | 28 | 4.82 | 8 | 5.06 | 16 | 4.85 |
| FantasyPros | 6.06 | 17 | 4.17 | 22 | 4.50 | 11 | 4.56 | 22 | 4.82 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 6.43 | 11 | 5.00 | 9 | 2.50 | 25 | 5.06 | 16 | 4.75 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 6.10 | 16 | 3.45 | 27 | 3.67 | 19 | 5.75 | 9 | 4.74 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | – | – | 4.33 | 20 | 3.75 | 18 | 6.00 | 5 | 4.69 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 5.71 | 21 | 3.00 | 28 | 3.88 | 17 | 4.63 | 21 | 4.31 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 3.33 | 27 | 4.67 | 15 | 4.00 | 15 | 4.00 | 24 | 4.00 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 5.00 | 25 | 5.00 | 9 | 2.50 | 25 | 2.00 | 28 | 3.63 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 2.50 | 28 | 4.67 | 15 | – | – | 2.50 | 27 | 3.22 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Jalen Williams (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Justise Winslow (FantasyPros)
- Maxi Kleber (FantasyPros)
- Tyus Jones (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
- John Konchar (Rotowire)
- Aaron Holiday (Rotowire Optimizer)
- Jalen Johnson (Sportsline)
Tuesday
- Donte DiVincenzo (DK Playbook Values)
- Jayson Tatum (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Tobias Harris (FantasyGuru)
- Anthony Lamb (FantasyPros)
Wednesday
- Onyeka Okongwu (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
- Malik Monk (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Monte Morris (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Terrence Ross (FantasyPros)
- Duncan Robinson (FantasyPros)
- Bol Bol (FantasyPros)
- Bennedict Mathurian (NumberFire)
- Isaiah Stewart (NumberFire)
- Terence Davis (RunPureSports)
Friday
- Dennis Schroder (FantasyPros)
- Patrick Beverley (FantasyPros)
- Nick Richards (FantasyPros)
- Bruce Brown (NumberFire)
- Alex Caruso (Rotowire)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 41
- NumberFire – 29
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 25
- RunPureSports – 19
- Rotowire – 15
- FantasyGuru – 14
- DK Playbook Values – 8
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 8
- Rotoballer – 5
- Rotowire Optimizer – 4
- Stokastic Cheat Sheet – 3
- DK Playbook Targets – 3
- RG Grind Down – 3
- RG Consensus – 2
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 2
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 2
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 2
- FantasyLabs – 1
- DailyFantasyNerd – 1
- RG 6-Pack – 1
- Sportsline – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) Stokastic Building Blocks (Score: 6.79)
#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.07)
#3) DFS Karma Building Blocks (Score: 5.57)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.37) is tied for 6th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.87) made a big jump to 18th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | NA | 85.9% |
| 22 | NA | NA | 86.7% | NA |
| 21 | 78.0% | NA | NA | NA |
| 20 | 46.7% | 79.7% | 87.9% | 82.0% |
| 19 | NA | 41.3% | 82.1% | 64.5% |
| 18 | 55.6% | 77.0% | 69.1% | 73.1% |
| 17 | 54.4% | 47.0% | 57.7% | 79.5% |
| 16 | 43.2% | 64.5% | 65.3% | 53.7% |
| 15 | 72.7% | 45.0% | 46.5% | 66.2% |
| 14 | 38.3% | 56.2% | 73.4% | 73.6% |
| 13 | 33.6% | 35.8% | 49.1% | 56.5% |
| 12 | 26.2% | 55.8% | 39.9% | 29.0% |
| 11 | 24.1% | 28.7% | 36.0% | 37.6% |
| 10 | 25.8% | 33.7% | 32.4% | 37.7% |
| 9 | 10.1% | 13.8% | 29.3% | 32.4% |
| 8 | 19.4% | 24.8% | 32.1% | 38.3% |
| 7 | 11.1% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 21.1% |
| 6 | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 19.8% |
| 5 | 5.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 13.1% |
| 4 | 7.6% | 5.6% | 16.2% | 12.6% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 11.3% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | NA | 62.4% |
| 22 | NA | NA | 57.7% | NA |
| 21 | 50.7% | NA | NA | NA |
| 20 | 32.7% | 43.4% | 62.7% | 52.4% |
| 19 | NA | 21.3% | 48.0% | 38.6% |
| 18 | 37.2% | 44.8% | 43.2% | 41.9% |
| 17 | 31.8% | 28.4% | 39.1% | 49.0% |
| 16 | 32.4% | 36.2% | 36.6% | 42.1% |
| 15 | 27.6% | 27.8% | 32.9% | 36.4% |
| 14 | 24.7% | 26.8% | 40.7% | 44.1% |
| 13 | 31.0% | 22.2% | 34.1% | 38.3% |
| 12 | 20.5% | 28.8% | 28.9% | 26.0% |
| 11 | 18.3% | 17.0% | 26.6% | 27.5% |
| 10 | 16.0% | 20.7% | 22.8% | 26.8% |
| 9 | 11.1% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 21.8% |
| 8 | 15.3% | 17.2% | 20.5% | 24.3% |
| 7 | 10.9% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 17.4% |
| 6 | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 15.4% |
| 5 | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 12.8% |
| 4 | 8.6% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 13.0% |
| 3 | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% |
| 2 | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
