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Matt Butler
2021-12-21T19:49:37-06:00 2021-12-21T19:49:37-06:00 Another short week in the NBA last week and if COVID continues then we may be in for more short weeks with all the cancellations. https://dailyoverlay.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/NBA-Grading-POST.jpg
NBA Expert Grading

NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of December 13th

NBA DFS Picks & Grades

COVID has ravaged the NBA season in the last week. There are over 100 players in protocol at this time. We will see if the NBA pauses like NHL has through the weekend. A short three-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!

In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.

On to the grades!

Week in Review

Expert Mon Rk Wed Rk Fri Rk Avg
Sportsline 8.25 1 8.00 2 10.00 1 8.75
DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet 7.67 2 6.71 11 7.17 10 7.18
DFSArmy – Domination Station 5.75 12 6.86 7 8.83 3 7.15
DailyFantasyNerd 5.75 12 8.00 2 7.17 10 6.97
DK Playbook – Values 5.00 19 5.75 15 10.00 1 6.92
Awesemo – Building Blocks 5.33 15 7.00 5 7.50 6 6.61
Industry Consensus – Cash 6.22 6 5.70 16 7.80 4 6.57
FantasyLabs 6.30 4 6.11 14 7.25 8 6.55
Rotowire 6.20 7 6.18 12 6.80 14 6.39
Awesemo – Cheat Sheet 5.83 11 8.00 2 5.00 25 6.28
Rotogrinders Core Plays 2.50 30 10.00 1 – – 6.25
DailyRoto – Optimizer 5.63 14 6.86 7 5.83 20 6.11
RotoGrinders Lineup Builder 4.63 23 6.86 7 6.83 13 6.11
NumberFire – Daily Helper 6.33 3 4.11 28 7.57 5 6.00
RunPureSports 6.25 5 5.42 19 6.30 15 5.99
Rotoballer 5.25 16 6.88 6 5.75 21 5.96
RotoGrinders Consensus 6.05 9 5.50 18 6.16 16 5.90
Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down 4.21 24 5.42 19 7.31 7 5.65
DK Playbook – Targets 6.10 8 4.67 23 5.86 19 5.54
FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator 5.00 19 4.13 27 7.25 8 5.46
DailyFantasyInsider 6.00 10 4.67 23 – – 5.34
EliteFantasy 5.14 18 4.80 21 5.73 22 5.22
DailyFantasySportsRankings 5.25 16 3.38 30 6.86 12 5.16
NBC Sports Edge 4.86 21 6.75 10 3.57 28 5.06
DFSArmy – Full Court Press – – 4.00 29 6.08 17 5.04
FantasyAlarm – Playbook 3.47 29 5.55 17 6.03 18 5.02
Industry Consensus – GPP 4.78 22 4.67 23 5.20 23 4.88
DFSKarma – Game Theory 4.00 26 4.67 23 4.56 26 4.41
FantasyPros 3.89 27 4.79 22 4.17 27 4.28
Rotowire – Optimizer 3.88 28 6.13 13 2.60 29 4.20
NBC Sports Edge – Pivots 4.13 25 1.75 31 5.14 24 3.67
Awesemo – Building Blocks 2.00 30 7.67 4 2.00 32 3.89

Sleepers of the Week

Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.

Monday

  • Davion Mitchell (DK Playbook Values)
  • Steph Curry (DFS Alarm Playbook)
  • Alperen Sengun (FantasyLabs)
  • Reggie Bullock (FantasyPros)
  • KJ Martin (FantasyPros)
  • Malcolm Brogdon (RG Grind Down)

Wednesday

  • Davion Mitchell (DK Playbook Values)
  • Isaiah Hartenstein (DFS Alarm Playbook)
  • Hassan Whiteside (DFS Alarm Playbook)
  • Anthony Edwards (EliteFantasy)
  • Gordon Hayward (EliteFantasy)
  • Jaden McDaniels (FantasyPros)
  • Chimezie Metu (FantasyPros)
  • Tristan Thompson (FantasyPros)
  • Russel Westbrook (Rotowire)
  • Wayne Ellington (Rotowire)
  • Dewayne Dedmon (Rotowire Optimizer)
  • Josh Christopher (RunPureSports)

Friday

  • Patrick Beverley (DFS Alarm Playbook)
  • Devonte’ Graham (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
  • Jordan Clarkson (FantasyPros)
  • Josh Richardson (FantasyPros)
  • Robert Covington (FantasyPros)
  • Gary Harris (RunPureSports)
  • Sandro Mamukelashvili (RunPureSports)
  • Malik Beasley (RunPureSports)

Value Tracker

  • FantasyPros – 84
  • DFS Alarm Playbook – 32
  • RunPureSports – 23
  • DFS Army Full Court Press – 14
  • EliteFantasy – 13
  • Rotowire – 9
  • NBC Sports Edge Pivots – 8
  • DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 8
  • DK Playbook Values – 5
  • DK Playbook Targets – 4
  • NBC Sports Edge – 4
  • DailyFantasySportsRankings – 4
  • RG Consensus – 3
  • DFS Karma Game Theory – 3
  • Rotowire Optimizer – 3
  • NumberFire Daily Helper – 2
  • Sportsline – 2
  • DailyRoto Optimizer – 2
  • Rotoballer – 2
  • FantasyLabs – 2
  • RG Grind Down – 2
  • Awesemo Cheat Sheet – 1
  • DFS Army Domination Station – 1
  • RG Lineup Builder – 1
  • RG 6-Pack – 1

Overall Leaderboard

Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

#1) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 6.50)

#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.13)

#3) Sportsline (Score: 6.04)

The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.55) slid to 6th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.77) fell one spot to a 25th place.

Ownership Percentage Tracking

A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.

Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.

Cash

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
25 N/A N/A N/A 62.9%
24 N/A N/A 85.2% N/A
23 N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 73.2% N/A 89.1% 68.1%
21 84.0% N/A 87.4% N/A
20 41.3% N/A 91.3% 57.5%
19 64.6% 71.4% 67.7% 79.8%
18 71.3% 59.1% 64.4% 87.6%
17 81.2% 64.2% 66.7% 69.5%
16 25.3% 51.6% 51.8% 71.0%
15 44.5% 43.8% 53.9% 55.0%
14 51.9% 43.4% 48.6% 55.9%
13 32.7% 49.0% 51.8% 50.8%
12 30.2% 35.8% 46.2% 53.7%
11 22.9% 19.2% 28.5% 28.5%
10 29.5% 26.9% 35.3% 31.6%
9 15.2% 22.5% 26.9% 27.3%
8 16.7% 14.3% 27.1% 35.9%
7 15.8% 16.1% 15.6% 23.2%
6 10.0% 16.4% 14.8% 18.2%
5 4.9% 8.5% 10.9% 12.5%
4 6.3% 6.3% 7.5% 11.2%
3 4.3% 5.9% 6.9% 8.5%
2 2.2% 3.9% 3.9% 4.6%
1 2.0% 3.2% 2.8% 1.7%

GPP

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
25 N/A N/A N/A 34.8%
24 N/A N/A 64.5% N/A
23 N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 43.0% N/A 68.0% 50.1%
21 54.4% N/A 67.5% N/A
20 18.4% N/A 64.1% 37.9%
19 46.7% 48.2% 41.2% 50.9%
18 34.5% 41.1% 39.3% 54.2%
17 49.6% 30.7% 43.1% 48.2%
16 20.1% 32.0% 34.5% 44.2%
15 28.2% 29.8% 25.3% 42.2%
14 32.1% 32.5% 36.8% 35.1%
13 22.2% 30.6% 36.0% 31.9%
12 22.3% 23.8% 28.8% 32.8%
11 20.3% 15.7% 21.4% 24.4%
10 21.0% 20.5% 21.8% 22.9%
9 16.1% 15.5% 20.2% 21.2%
8 15.4% 14.3% 22.2% 25.8%
7 13.1% 14.3% 16.2% 16.8%
6 10.0% 15.5% 13.9% 12.1%
5 7.5% 10.1% 13.3% 11.4%
4 7.4% 8.3% 9.3% 10.3%
3 6.6% 7.8% 8.4% 7.9%
2 4.2% 5.1% 6.0% 5.0%
1 3.1% 4.4% 4.8% 2.2%

We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.

 

Tags: DraftKings, FanDuel, nba, NBA DFS, nba dfs expert grades
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