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Matt Butler
2019-12-31T22:25:13-06:00 2019-12-31T22:25:13-06:00 We're back after taking the Christmas week off. Check out the experts that are making the grades! https://dailyoverlay.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/NBA-Grading-POST.jpg
NBA Expert Grading

NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of December 23rd

NBA Expert Recap and Grades for Week of December 23rd

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We took last week off as Christmas being in the middle of the week threw everything off.  Our top-3 remains the same but things are getting tighter! And don’t forget that our Premium Content gets you all our NFL, CFB, PGA and NBA content. A four slate week is recapped below. Enjoy!

In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.

On to the grades!

Week in Review

Monday (December 23rd)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.45 (13th of 31)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 5.00 (20th of 31)
Total GPP Plays – 18

A+ – Ten of the 29 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – None

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Fansided (Score: 8.00) scored four “A+” grades with their six plays.

#2) Awesemo (Score: 7.33) also scored four “A+” grades with six plays.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Awesemo (6.94 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Rudy Gobert (DFS Army – Full Court Press)
A+ – Myles Turner (FantasyPros)
A+ – Aaron Gordon (Rotowire Optimizer)
A+ – Aaron Holiday (Sportsline)

Wednesday (December 25th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.00 (18th of 20)
Total Cash Plays – 12
GPP DO Score – 7.25 (1st of 20)
Total GPP Plays – 8

A+ – Eight of the 20 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Paul Millsap

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Daily Overlay Consensus – GPP Plays (Score: 7.25) scored an “A+” grade with five of the eight plays on Christmas Day.

#2) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 7.00) also scored five “A+” grades with eight plays.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Awesemo (5.75 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Monte Morris (DailyRoto)
A+ – Josh Richardson (DailyRoto)
A+ – Gordon Hayward (DailyRoto)
A+ – Ivica Zubac (DailyRoto)
A+ – Ky Bowman (FantasyPros)
A+ – Jerami Grant (FantasyPros)
A+ – Gary Harris (RG Grind Down)

Thursday (December 26th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.45 (7th of 26)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 3.14 (20th of 26)
Total GPP Plays – 7

A+ – Five of the 18 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Bradley Beal, Hassan Whiteside, De’Aaron Fox, Jarrett Allen

Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyLabs (Score: 5.00) scored an “A+” with five of their 11 total plays.

#2) DFS Army – Full Court Press (Score: 4.92) scored “A” or better with half of their 12 selections including four “A+” grades.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotowire Optimizer (5.03 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Gorgui Dieng (DailyRoto)
A+ – Svi Mykhailiuk (DK Playbook)

Friday (December 27th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 6.77 (7th of 23)
Total Cash Plays – 13
GPP DO Score – 3.36 (21st of 23)
Total GPP Plays – 11

A+ – Nine of the 24 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Trae Young, Kelly Oubre

Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 10.00) made two “A+” selections to cap the week.

#2) Fansided (Score: 8.60) scored an “A+” with four of their five plays on Friday.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider (8.37 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Evan Fournier (DailyRoto)
A+ – Duncan Robinson (DailyRoto)
A+ – Aaron Gordon (DailyRoto)

Overall Leaderboard

Everything stayed status-quo. The race for the 3rd spot is getting tight. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

#1) DFS Karma (Score: 6.15)

#2) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 5.73)

#3) Daily Overlay Industry Consensus – Cash Plays (Score: 5.62)

The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.62) stays in the top-3. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.38) stayed in 31st place.

Ownership Percentage Tracking

A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.

Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.

Cash

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
25 N/A 83.2% N/A N/A
24 N/A 79.1% N/A N/A
23 N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 N/A 75.0% N/A N/A
21 78.5% 69.8% N/A N/A
20 70.7% 53.7% N/A 74.7%
19 71.7% 49.2% N/A 83.0%
18 67.6% 49.5% 69.9% 89.0%
17 47.8% 56.7% 74.5% 70.9%
16 55.0% 37.6% 67.7% N/A
15 42.7% 49.7% 73.6% 52.6%
14 33.2% 60.6% 51.0% 74.9%
13 33.5% 36.6% 61.0% 63.9%
12 19.0% 35.4% 44.9% 45.2%
11 16.0% 30.2% 40.8% 46.4%
10 13.9% 24.5% 41.1% 35.7%
9 10.1% 15.7% 30.6% 36.6%
8 10.5% 12.7% 18.4% 24.5%
7 9.3% 9.1% 20.9% 34.3%
6 5.8% 9.5% 13.4% 26.2%
5 2.7% 5.9% 9.0% 20.4%
4 3.0% 5.0% 7.9% 15.6%
3 2.1% 3.4% 4.6% 7.4%
2 1.4% 2.0% 3.8% 5.6%
1 0.0% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0%

GPP

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
25 N/A 57.3% N/A N/A
24 N/A 54.9% N/A N/A
23 N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 N/A 39.7% N/A N/A
21 57.6% 48.7% N/A N/A
20 41.9% 42.4% N/A 46.4%
19 49.2% 37.2% N/A 58.7%
18 38.9% 33.8% 41.1% 60.2%
17 36.6% 35.3% 48.8% 45.7%
16 33.7% 28.8% 35.9% N/A
15 30.7% 36.7% 43.9% 29.5%
14 25.9% 39.7% 31.7% 47.0%
13 29.2% 29.5% 37.3% 38.6%
12 18.0% 24.9% 29.8% 27.7%
11 16.5% 22.0% 29.1% 25.7%
10 14.6% 22.0% 28.9% 23.2%
9 11.9% 15.8% 22.9% 22.9%
8 12.3% 14.6% 17.5% 18.6%
7 11.4% 11.7% 19.0% 22.3%
6 7.6% 9.9% 13.2% 19.6%
5 5.7% 8.4% 11.0% 14.3%
4 4.5% 7.6% 9.4% 11.2%
3 5.3% 6.0% 6.9% 7.4%
2 3.3% 4.2% 5.7% 5.5%
1 0.3% 2.7% 3.5% 2.6%

We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.

 

Tags: NBA DFS, nba dfs expert grades
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