NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of December 28th
NBA Expert Recap Week of December 28th
The NBA kicked off with a bang this holiday season. There have been some COVID issues so far but let’s keep fingers crossed those are kept to a minimum. A full week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| DK Playbook – Values | 10.00 | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.25 | 17 | 7.13 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 10.00 | 1 | – | – | 3.00 | 23 | 4.00 | 11 | 7.50 | 1 | 6.13 |
| Sportsline | 10.00 | 1 | 3.00 | 26 | 10.00 | 1 | 2.67 | 30 | 3.67 | 26 | 5.87 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 8.25 | 6 | 4.80 | 9 | 7.00 | 2 | 4.25 | 9 | 4.00 | 21 | 5.66 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 8.60 | 4 | 10.00 | 1 | 1.25 | 32 | 1.33 | 32 | 6.67 | 2 | 5.57 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 7.67 | 11 | 5.50 | 3 | 7.00 | 2 | 2.00 | 31 | 5.25 | 6 | 5.48 |
| FanSided | 7.75 | 10 | 5.80 | 2 | 3.00 | 23 | 5.20 | 4 | – | – | 5.44 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 7.83 | 8 | 5.00 | 5 | – | – | 3.57 | 19 | 4.27 | 16 | 5.17 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 6.07 | 20 | 4.14 | 23 | 4.53 | 11 | 4.30 | 8 | 6.00 | 4 | 5.01 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 6.64 | 17 | 4.69 | 14 | 4.93 | 7 | 3.14 | 26 | 5.60 | 5 | 5.00 |
| DFSKarma – GPP Plays | 7.50 | 12 | 4.25 | 21 | 1.67 | 31 | 7.50 | 1 | 3.75 | 24 | 4.93 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 5.71 | 25 | 4.50 | 17 | 6.50 | 4 | 5.29 | 3 | 2.63 | 33 | 4.93 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 7.86 | 7 | 5.00 | 5 | 2.86 | 27 | 4.63 | 6 | 4.13 | 18 | 4.90 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 6.05 | 21 | 4.26 | 20 | 5.10 | 6 | 3.53 | 20 | 5.20 | 7 | 4.83 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 7.13 | 13 | 3.00 | 26 | 4.38 | 12 | 4.57 | 7 | 4.63 | 9 | 4.74 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 7.80 | 9 | 4.78 | 13 | 3.00 | 23 | 4.10 | 10 | 4.00 | 21 | 4.74 |
| DailyOverlay – Hot Sheet | 8.33 | 5 | 4.20 | 22 | 3.90 | 18 | 3.00 | 27 | 4.00 | 21 | 4.69 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 7.08 | 14 | 3.91 | 24 | 4.29 | 14 | 3.82 | 15 | 4.30 | 15 | 4.68 |
| Rotowire | 5.55 | 27 | 4.60 | 16 | 5.19 | 5 | 4.00 | 11 | 3.67 | 26 | 4.60 |
| DailyRoto | 5.92 | 22 | 4.67 | 15 | 4.15 | 17 | 3.38 | 23 | – | – | 4.53 |
| DailyRoto | 5.92 | 22 | 4.67 | 15 | 4.15 | 17 | 3.38 | 23 | – | – | 4.53 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 5.30 | 31 | 5.20 | 4 | 4.64 | 10 | 3.00 | 27 | 4.47 | 12 | 4.52 |
| EliteFantasy | 6.37 | 18 | 4.79 | 12 | 3.55 | 21 | 3.28 | 24 | 4.58 | 10 | 4.51 |
| Rotoworld | 7.00 | 15 | – | – | 2.67 | 28 | 4.75 | 5 | 3.63 | 28 | 4.51 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 6.75 | 16 | 4.38 | 18 | 1.13 | 33 | 3.50 | 21 | 6.63 | 3 | 4.48 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 5.35 | 29 | 4.91 | 7 | 4.28 | 15 | 3.63 | 16 | 4.06 | 20 | 4.45 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 4.06 | 34 | 4.83 | 8 | 4.28 | 15 | 3.94 | 13 | 4.35 | 14 | 4.29 |
| Rotoworld – Pivots | 6.20 | 19 | 4.80 | 9 | 3.00 | 23 | – | – | 3.00 | 30 | 4.25 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 5.57 | 26 | 4.38 | 18 | 2.25 | 30 | 3.63 | 16 | 4.88 | 8 | 4.14 |
| Rotoballer | 4.13 | 32 | 2.71 | 29 | 3.83 | 19 | 5.43 | 2 | 4.57 | 11 | 4.13 |
| FantasyLabs | 5.85 | 24 | 3.68 | 25 | 3.30 | 22 | 3.27 | 25 | 4.36 | 13 | 4.09 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 5.50 | 28 | 2.00 | 31 | 4.67 | 9 | 3.40 | 22 | 4.11 | 19 | 3.94 |
| FantasyPros | 5.35 | 29 | 2.77 | 28 | 3.56 | 20 | 3.87 | 14 | 3.70 | 25 | 3.85 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 5.90 | 23 | 4.80 | 9 | 2.50 | 29 | 2.86 | 29 | 3.00 | 30 | 3.81 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 4.13 | 32 | 2.43 | 30 | 4.75 | 8 | 3.63 | 16 | 3.13 | 29 | 3.61 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | – | – | – | – | 4.33 | 13 | – | – | 2.00 | 34 | 3.17 |
| SportsGamblingPodcast | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.75 | 32 | 2.75 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Mike Conley (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Rajon Rondo (FantasyPros)
- Saddiq Bey (FantasyPros)
Tuesday
- Tomas Satoransky (Awesemo Cheat Sheet)
- Hamidou Diallo (DFS Karma Game Theory)
- Kyle Lowry (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Harrison Barnes (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Seth Curry (FantasyLabs)
- Nerlens Noel (FantasyPros)
- Reggie Bullock (Rotowire Optimizer)
Wednesday
- LaMelo Ball (FantasyPros)
- James Johnson (FantasyPros)
- Desmond Bane (Rotowire)
Thursday
- Cole Anthony (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Jae Crowder (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker (FantasyPros)
- Kevin Knox II (FantasyPros)
Friday
- Jamal Murray (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Paul George (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Bobby Portis (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Clint Capela (FantasyPros)
Overall Leaderboard
One week in and we already have a heated race for the top spot. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) Sportsline (Score: 5.74)
#2) Fansided (Score: 5.67)
#3) DK Playbook (Score: 5.29)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 4.84) is in 14th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.48) slides to 22nd place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 27 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 66.3% |
| 22 | 79.0% | 71.5% | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 86.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 62.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 | 66.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 | N/A | N/A | 73.2% | 71.9% |
| 16 | 33.2% | 71.8% | 78.6% | N/A |
| 15 | N/A | 65.4% | 29.1% | N/A |
| 14 | 49.6% | 38.0% | 43.1% | N/A |
| 13 | 48.3% | 43.9% | 54.7% | 77.2% |
| 12 | 19.6% | 48.6% | 31.3% | 44.0% |
| 11 | 12.3% | 34.1% | N/A | 33.3% |
| 10 | N/A | 9.4% | 18.8% | 71.0% |
| 9 | 8.4% | 29.5% | 45.7% | 17.2% |
| 8 | 3.7% | 20.4% | 23.0% | 32.8% |
| 7 | 6.3% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 33.5% |
| 6 | 4.7% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% |
| 5 | 2.2% | 3.7% | 9.8% | 14.0% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 14.6% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% |
| 2 | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% |
| 1 | N/A | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 27 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 47.9% |
| 22 | 53.6% | 43.3% | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 55.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 | 32.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 | N/A | N/A | 50.1% | 50.2% |
| 16 | 26.5% | 46.4% | 41.1% | N/A |
| 15 | N/A | 36.0% | 26.2% | N/A |
| 14 | 36.3% | 27.3% | 35.1% | N/A |
| 13 | 25.9% | 31.7% | 29.1% | 45.0% |
| 12 | 20.4% | 24.9% | 22.2% | 24.9% |
| 11 | 14.4% | 27.1% | N/A | 25.7% |
| 10 | N/A | 17.9% | 17.6% | 27.9% |
| 9 | 14.5% | 21.7% | 28.7% | 20.0% |
| 8 | 7.4% | 17.5% | 20.5% | 18.4% |
| 7 | 9.8% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 21.7% |
| 6 | 6.8% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 7.2% |
| 5 | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 14.2% |
| 4 | 3.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% |
| 1 | N/A | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
