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Matt Butler
2019-12-10T21:15:53-06:00 2019-12-10T21:15:53-06:00 NBA Expert Recap and Grades for Week of December 2nd We had a flip-flop with our top-2 in our season long scoreboard. Even with that, our Consensus Cash plays remain in the #3 slot. I’ll say it again…If you’re not reading our Consensus article each day, you should be! And don’t forget that our Premium […] https://dailyoverlay.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/NBA-Grading-POST.jpg
NBA Expert Grading

NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of December 2nd

NBA Expert Recap and Grades for Week of December 2nd

Image result for lebron james

We had a flip-flop with our top-2 in our season long scoreboard. Even with that, our Consensus Cash plays remain in the #3 slot. I’ll say it again…If you’re not reading our Consensus article each day, you should be! And don’t forget that our Premium Content gets you all our NFL, CFB, PGA and NBA content. A full five slate week is recapped below. Enjoy!

In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.

On to the grades!

Week in Review

Monday (December 2nd)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.75 (T-4th of 31)
Total Cash Plays – 12
GPP DO Score – 3.67 (25th of 31)
Total GPP Plays – 12

A+ – Eight of the 24 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Robin Lopez, Bruno Caboclo, Glenn Robinson III

Top Experts of the Day
#1) DFS Army – Full Court Press (Score: 6.45) scored “A” or better with seven of 11 plays including five “A+” scores.

#2) DFS Karma (Score: 6.33) scored “A” or better with four of six plays including three “A+” grades.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyRoto (4.98 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Bismack Biyombo (DailyRoto)
A+ – Mitchell Robinson (FantasyLabs)
A+ – Ty Jerome (FantasyPros)
A+ – Nemanja Bjelica (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Ricky Rubio (Rotowire)

Tuesday (December 3rd)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 6.75 (6th of 32)
Total Cash Plays – 12
GPP DO Score – 5.40 (21st of 32)
Total GPP Plays – 15

A+ – Twelve of the 27 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – There were no Consensus players that scored a failing grade.

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Fansided (Score: 8.33) scored four “A+” grades and two “A’s” with their six plays.

#2) DFS Karma (Score: 7.83) finds the top-2 again on Tuesday as five of their six plays scored “A” or better.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DFS Karma (6.15 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Jamal Murray (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Norman Powell (EliteFantasy)
A+ – JJ Barea (FantasyPros)
A+ – Seth Curry (FantasyPros)
A+ – Dwight Howard (FantasyPros)
A+ – Kevin Porter Jr. (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Patty Mills (Rotowire Optimizer)
A+ – Trey Lyles (Sportsline)

Wednesday (December 4th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.67 (15th of 33)
Total Cash Plays – 12
GPP DO Score – 5.73 (5th of 33)
Total GPP Plays – 15

A+ – Nine of the 27 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Emmanuel Mudiay, Jabari Parker

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotoworld (Score: 8.00) scored three “A+’s” and two “A” grades with five selections.

#2) Daily Overlay – Value Index (Score: 7.40) scored “A” or better with four of five plays including three “A+” grades.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotoworld (6.93 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – CJ McCollum (DailyRoto)
A+ – Mo Bamba (DailyRoto)
A+ – Kyle Kuzma (FantasyPros)
A+ – Daniel Theis (FullTimeFantasy)
A+ – Garrett Temple (RG 6-Pack)

Thursday (December 5th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.08 (12th of 27)
Total Cash Plays – 12
GPP DO Score – 4.17 (20th of 27)
Total GPP Plays – 12

A+ – Seven of the 24 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Julius Randle

Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 7.00) scored four “A+” grades with their seven plays.

#2) Sportsline (Score: 6.75) scored “A” or better with six of eight plays including four “A+” grades.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (6.88 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Ben McLemore (EliteFantasy)

Friday (December 6th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 8.08 (7th of 28)
Total Cash Plays – 13
GPP DO Score – 4.53 (25th of 28)
Total GPP Plays – 15

A+ – Twelve of the 28 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – There were no Consensus plays that scored a failing grade.

Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 10.00) scored “A+” with both of their plays.

#2) Rotowire – Optimizer (Score: 9.00) scored six “A+” grades and one “B” on Friday.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider (8.57 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Dejounte Murray (DailyRoto)
A+ – Bruce Brown Jr. (DailyRoto)
A+ – Harrison Barnes (DailyRoto)
A+ – Steven Adams (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Michael Carter-Williams (FantasyPros)
A+ – Ivica Zubac (Rotoballer)
A+ – Cedi Osman (Rotowire – Optimizer)

Overall Leaderboard

The DO Consensus is in the top-3. If you’re not already, you should be reading our Daily Consensus. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

#1) DFS Karma (Score: 6.24)

#2) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 5.98)

#3) Daily Overlay Industry Consensus – Cash Plays (Score: 5.72)

The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.72) stays in the top-3. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.14) fell to 31st place despite improving score.

Ownership Percentage Tracking

A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.

Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.

Cash

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
19 71.7% N/A N/A 84.7%
18 67.8% N/A N/A 89.0%
17 32.9% 55.3% 75.5% 74.1%
16 55.0% 40.8% 67.7% N/A
15 42.7% 41.8% 60.3% 40.1%
14 33.2% 60.3% 61.2% 68.7%
13 33.5% 44.3% 58.2% 65.2%
12 12.2% 34.9% 46.9% 46.1%
11 17.6% 31.9% 42.1% 51.6%
10 10.9% 23.4% 31.8% 25.3%
9 10.1% 17.3% 37.0% 38.7%
8 9.9% 13.5% 19.9% 27.2%
7 4.1% 8.7% 19.6% 28.8%
6 2.9% 9.4% 13.8% 24.1%
5 3.0% 5.8% 8.0% 16.8%
4 1.8% 4.9% 7.7% 15.9%
3 2.3% 2.4% 5.0% 7.8%
2 1.4% 1.5% 4.2% 5.9%
1 N/A 1.0% 1.8% 2.1%

GPP

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
19 49.9% N/A N/A 61.4%
18 39.0% N/A N/A 60.2%
17 32.6% 35.3% 48.7% 48.7%
16 32.6% 30.2% 35.9% N/A
15 33.2% 33.6% 33.9% 25.9%
14 25.9% 37.7% 33.8% 40.0%
13 29.2% 33.7% 38.4% 40.2%
12 14.0% 25.2% 28.9% 28.4%
11 15.4% 21.9% 29.4% 28.2%
10 13.5% 21.5% 22.2% 17.2%
9 11.6% 17.2% 25.7% 23.1%
8 12.1% 15.2% 17.3% 20.3%
7 8.5% 10.9% 18.4% 18.9%
6 5.9% 9.9% 12.8% 19.1%
5 6.5% 7.7% 9.7% 12.5%
4 4.2% 7.7% 8.7% 11.8%
3 5.0% 5.2% 7.1% 7.2%
2 3.3% 3.8% 5.8% 5.6%
1 N/A 2.3% 3.4% 2.6%

We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.

 

Tags: dfs expert grading, NBA DFS
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