NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of December 6th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
A couple of exerts sit above 6.0 after last week. We had our first COVID outbreak of the season with the Bulls postponing a couple of games this week. Let’s hope it’s the only ones we see this season. A short three-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Wed | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| DK Playbook – Values | – | – | – | – | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 6.50 | 16 | 8.83 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 7.67 | 3 | 10.00 | 1 | 6.50 | 16 | 8.06 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 10.00 | 1 | 6.13 | 12 | 6.78 | 13 | 7.64 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 7.63 | 6 | 7.00 | 6 | 8.25 | 4 | 7.63 |
| Sportsline | 6.80 | 9 | 6.00 | 13 | 10.00 | 1 | 7.60 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 6.00 | 18 | 8.80 | 3 | 7.25 | 8 | 7.35 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 6.50 | 12 | 6.63 | 7 | 7.88 | 5 | 7.00 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 7.67 | 3 | 6.22 | 10 | 7.09 | 9 | 6.99 |
| Rotoballer | 7.67 | 3 | 5.33 | 23 | 7.33 | 7 | 6.78 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 6.38 | 13 | 5.86 | 18 | 7.88 | 5 | 6.71 |
| RunPureSports | 7.00 | 8 | 6.23 | 9 | 6.65 | 15 | 6.63 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 6.63 | 11 | 6.16 | 11 | 6.95 | 11 | 6.58 |
| NBC Sports Edge – Pivots | 6.13 | 17 | 7.25 | 5 | 5.57 | 25 | 6.32 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 6.21 | 16 | 5.92 | 16 | 6.29 | 19 | 6.14 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 6.71 | 10 | 4.50 | 28 | 7.00 | 10 | 6.07 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 5.38 | 22 | 6.00 | 13 | 6.67 | 14 | 6.02 |
| FantasyLabs | 4.59 | 27 | 5.00 | 25 | 8.44 | 3 | 6.01 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 5.67 | 20 | 5.68 | 20 | 6.05 | 20 | 5.80 |
| Rotowire | 5.55 | 21 | 5.95 | 15 | 5.64 | 24 | 5.71 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 5.29 | 24 | 5.00 | 25 | 6.80 | 12 | 5.70 |
| NBC Sports Edge | 6.38 | 13 | 5.38 | 22 | 5.25 | 27 | 5.67 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 5.35 | 23 | 5.11 | 24 | 6.36 | 18 | 5.61 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 6.38 | 13 | 5.88 | 17 | 4.50 | 30 | 5.59 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 5.29 | 24 | 5.50 | 21 | 5.67 | 23 | 5.49 |
| EliteFantasy | 5.23 | 26 | 4.97 | 27 | 6.04 | 21 | 5.41 |
| FantasyPros | 4.44 | 29 | 6.41 | 8 | 5.35 | 26 | 5.40 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 4.50 | 28 | 5.80 | 19 | 5.07 | 28 | 5.12 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 7.56 | 7 | 3.33 | 29 | 4.33 | 31 | 5.07 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | – | – | – | – | 4.83 | 29 | 4.83 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 5.75 | 19 | 1.00 | 30 | 5.75 | 22 | 4.17 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 2.00 | 30 | 7.67 | 4 | 2.00 | 32 | 3.89 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Luguentz Dort (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
- Tobias Harris (DailyRoto Optimizer)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Franz Wagner (DFS Karma Game Theory)
- Cameron Johnson (DK Playbook Targets)
- Marcus Morris, Sr (DK Playbook Values)
- Lauri Markkanen (EliteFantasy)
- Danny Green (FantasyPros)
- Robert Covington (FantasyPros)
- Cody Zeller (FantasyPros)
- Darius Bazley (RG Consensus)
- Nick Richards (NBC Sports Edge Pivots)
- Javale McGee (NBC Sports Edge Pivots)
Wednesday
- Daniel Gafford (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
- Jonas Valanciunas (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Jerami Grant (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Marcus Morris, Sr (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Jordan Clarkson (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Luguentz Dort (EliteFantasy)
- Davion Mitchell (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Spencer Dinwiddie (FantasyPros)
- Ricky Rubio (FantasyPros)
- Chris Duarte (FantasyPros)
- Terrence Ross (FantasyPros)
- Joe Ingles (FantasyPros)
- Danny Green (FantasyPros)
- Harrison Barnes (FantasyPros)
- Bojan Bogdanovic (FantasyPros)
- Tristan Thompson (FantasyPros)
- Dennis Schroder (Rotoballer)
- Nassir Little (RunPureSports)
- Terence Davis (RunPureSports)
- Armoni Brooks (RunPureSports)
Friday
- Fred VanVleet (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Scottie Barnes (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Cameron Johnson (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Herbert Jones (EliteFantasy)
- Isaac Okoro (FantasyPros)
- Caris LeVert (FantasyPros)
- Aleksej Pokusevski (FantasyPros)
- Cameron Payne (RG 6-Pack)
- Pat Connaughton (Rotowire)
- Bobby Portis (NBC Sports Edge)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 76
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 28
- RunPureSports – 19
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 14
- EliteFantasy – 11
- NBC Sports Edge Pivots – 8
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 7
- Rotowire – 7
- DK Playbook Targets – 4
- NBC Sports Edge – 4
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 4
- RG Consensus – 3
- DFS Karma Game Theory – 3
- DK Playbook Values – 3
- Rotowire Optimizer – 2
- NumberFire Daily Helper – 2
- Sportsline – 2
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 2
- Rotoballer – 2
- Awesemo Cheat Sheet – 1
- DFS Army Domination Station – 1
- RG Lineup Builder – 1
- FantasyLabs – 1
- RG Grind Down – 1
- RG 6-Pack – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 6.61)
#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.04)
#3) Sportsline (Score: 5.88)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.46) moved up one spot into 5th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.76) fell a couple spots to 24th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 62.9% |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | 85.2% | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 66.8% | N/A | 89.1% | 68.1% |
| 21 | 84.0% | N/A | 87.4% | N/A |
| 20 | 41.3% | N/A | N/A | 57.5% |
| 19 | N/A | 71.4% | 71.2% | 79.8% |
| 18 | 71.3% | 36.9% | 64.4% | 87.6% |
| 17 | 81.2% | 76.0% | 66.7% | 66.3% |
| 16 | 35.8% | 51.6% | 51.8% | 71.0% |
| 15 | 39.2% | 43.8% | 53.9% | 55.0% |
| 14 | 51.9% | 43.4% | 48.6% | 55.9% |
| 13 | 32.7% | 44.5% | 51.8% | 36.8% |
| 12 | 33.0% | 35.8% | 41.6% | 55.1% |
| 11 | 22.9% | 19.2% | 28.5% | 28.5% |
| 10 | 31.6% | 28.2% | 35.1% | 31.6% |
| 9 | 15.2% | 18.1% | 23.8% | 29.7% |
| 8 | 16.7% | 13.7% | 29.1% | 37.3% |
| 7 | 15.8% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 22.5% |
| 6 | 10.3% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 19.3% |
| 5 | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% |
| 4 | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.2% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% |
| 2 | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 34.8% |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | 64.5% | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 41.0% | N/A | 68.0% | 50.1% |
| 21 | 54.4% | N/A | 67.5% | N/A |
| 20 | 18.4% | N/A | N/A | 37.9% |
| 19 | N/A | 48.2% | 49.9% | 50.9% |
| 18 | 34.5% | 31.3% | 39.3% | 54.2% |
| 17 | 49.60% | 37.90% | 43.1% | 47.9% |
| 16 | 26.1% | 32.0% | 34.5% | 44.2% |
| 15 | 25.9% | 29.8% | 25.3% | 42.2% |
| 14 | 32.1% | 32.5% | 36.8% | 35.1% |
| 13 | 22.2% | 28.1% | 36.0% | 25.6% |
| 12 | 23.5% | 23.8% | 26.8% | 33.7% |
| 11 | 20.3% | 15.70% | 21.4% | 24.4% |
| 10 | 21.7% | 21.0% | 22.0% | 22.9% |
| 9 | 16.1% | 14.3% | 19.8% | 22.5% |
| 8 | 15.4% | 14.3% | 24.5% | 26.7% |
| 7 | 13.1% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 16.2% |
| 6 | 9.9% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% |
| 5 | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 11.2% |
| 4 | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% |
| 3 | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% |
| 2 | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
