NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of February 17th
NBA Expert Recap and Grades for Week of February 17th
We spoke about some experts nipping on the heels of our leaders and we got a change in the top-3 this past week. Should be a fun stretch run in the NBA. Don’t forget that our Premium Content gets you all our PGA and NBA content along with our MLB content which will be kicking off shortly. A short, two slate week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Thursday (February 20th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 6.75 (4th of 30)
Total Cash Plays – 12
GPP DO Score – 3.56 (30th of 30)
Total GPP Plays – 9
A+ – Seven of the 21 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Dewayne Dedmon
Top Experts of the Day
#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 10.00) came out of the break hot with three “A+” grades.
#2) Fansided (Score: 7.83) scored “A” or better with five of six plays including four “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
NumberFire – Studs (7.12 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – De’Anthony Melton (DailyRoto)
A+ – Harrison Barnes (DailyRoto)
A+ – DeAndre Jordan (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Kent Bazemore (FantasyPros)
Friday (February 21st)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.07 (13th of 31)
Total Cash Plays – 14
GPP DO Score – 3.40 (29th of 31)
Total GPP Plays – 10
A+ – Five of the 24 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Donovan Mitchell
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 10.00) scored an “A+” with their only play.
#2) Fansided (Score: 8.67) scored an “A+” grade with five of six plays on Friday.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Core Plays (7.58 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Dejounte Murray (Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet)
Overall Leaderboard
Our Consensus Cash plays dropped out of the top-3 for the first time this season and NumberFire jumped over the 6.0 threshold. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 6.01)
#2) DFS Karma (Score: 5.91)
#3) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 5.49)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.48) slips outside the top-3 for the first time all year and sits in 4th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.28) remained in 31st place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 27 | 87.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | N/A | 83.2% | 91.7% | N/A |
| 24 | 82.3% | 79.1% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 72.2% | 76.1% | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 73.3% | 74.6% | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 74.7% | 67.9% | 47.4% | 75.3% |
| 19 | 67.3% | 65.4% | 83.6% | 79.1% |
| 18 | 64.0% | 67.5% | 69.9% | 65.2% |
| 17 | 40.0% | 41.6% | 72.2% | 70.9% |
| 16 | 48.0% | 40.5% | 60.5% | 76.0% |
| 15 | 40.0% | 47.5% | 61.6% | 52.6% |
| 14 | 28.6% | 48.9% | 55.0% | 61.8% |
| 13 | 33.0% | 32.1% | 59.1% | 60.8% |
| 12 | 20.5% | 34.7% | 40.2% | 50.5% |
| 11 | 16.4% | 29.8% | 36.3% | 45.9% |
| 10 | 14.4% | 22.5% | 38.3% | 38.9% |
| 9 | 9.6% | 15.7% | 27.5% | 41.6% |
| 8 | 9.8% | 11.0% | 18.3% | 28.3% |
| 7 | 7.3% | 10.6% | 18.4% | 32.0% |
| 6 | 5.1% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 25.7% |
| 5 | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 15.7% |
| 4 | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 14.0% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 27 | 63.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | N/A | 57.3% | 63.4% | N/A |
| 24 | 55.5% | 54.9% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 38.8% | 43.3% | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 51.8% | 51.3% | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 46.3% | 46.3% | 37.8% | 50.4% |
| 19 | 46.4% | 42.4% | 55.6% | 56.7% |
| 18 | 40.8% | 45.8% | 41.1% | 43.1% |
| 17 | 32.5% | 31.5% | 44.6% | 45.7% |
| 16 | 30.9% | 30.6% | 35.7% | 50.2% |
| 15 | 28.6% | 31.3% | 38.6% | 29.5% |
| 14 | 24.9% | 33.5% | 34.3% | 39.0% |
| 13 | 28.5% | 25.5% | 37.3% | 39.1% |
| 12 | 19.6% | 26.1% | 28.4% | 32.3% |
| 11 | 16.0% | 22.3% | 27.0% | 30.2% |
| 10 | 14.7% | 20.4% | 27.6% | 25.2% |
| 9 | 11.7% | 15.6% | 20.9% | 27.0% |
| 8 | 12.5% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 20.0% |
| 7 | 10.8% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 21.2% |
| 6 | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 18.9% |
| 5 | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% |
| 4 | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.2% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
