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Matt Butler
2021-02-08T16:46:44-06:00 2021-02-08T16:46:44-06:00 Our Consensus Cash Plays are now in the top-3 on the overall leaderboard. The gap between the top-3 continues to get tighter. https://dailyoverlay.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/NBA-Grading-POST.jpg
NBA Expert Grading

NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of February 1st

NBA DFS Picks & Grades

Our Consensus Cash plays continue to work their way up the leaderboard and now sit in 3rd place. As I’ve said the last few weeks, you should be taking advantage of our Daily Consensus so you can get a good start for your lineups. A full, five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!

In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.

On to the grades!

Week in Review

Expert Mon Rk Tues Rk Wed Rk Thur Rk Fri Rk Avg
Rotogrinders Core Plays 10.00 1 5.00 3 10.00 1 6.50 2 3.75 17 7.05
DFSArmy – Full Court Press 4.61 7 4.85 4 7.06 12 5.50 14 4.50 6 5.30
DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet 3.60 12 3.25 21 7.33 10 7.00 1 5.00 1 5.24
DailyRoto 3.56 13 4.42 5 7.62 9 5.33 15 – – 5.23
DFSKarma – Game Theory 5.27 4 4.00 8 8.36 4 3.93 26 3.50 21 5.01
Industry Consensus – Cash 2.60 20 3.57 15 7.92 8 5.92 10 5.00 1 5.00
Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down 3.56 13 5.10 2 6.67 16 6.13 8 3.14 27 4.92
RotoGrinders Lineup Builder 2.80 19 3.57 15 8.00 6 6.13 8 3.86 15 4.87
DK Playbook – Targets 2.56 21 2.80 24 8.11 5 6.30 5 4.11 11 4.78
Rotowire 2.50 23 3.25 21 7.33 10 6.36 4 3.55 20 4.60
Rotoballer 5.71 2 1.67 32 7.00 13 4.60 19 3.71 18 4.54
RotoGrinders Consensus 2.13 26 3.75 12 6.80 14 5.68 12 4.21 10 4.51
Rotoworld 3.67 11 4.25 7 6.13 19 3.63 28 4.86 4 4.51
DailyFantasyNerd 1.40 31 2.38 28 8.00 6 6.25 6 3.86 15 4.38
EliteFantasy 2.53 22 3.75 12 6.38 18 5.65 13 3.29 23 4.32
Awesemo – Building Blocks 1.50 30 3.80 11 6.00 22 6.20 7 4.00 12 4.30
DailyRoto – Optimizer 4.67 5 3.25 21 6.63 17 2.43 29 4.29 8 4.25
DFSKarma – GPP Plays 3.00 18 1.00 33 10.00 1 – – 3.00 28 4.25
FantasyLabs 2.47 24 3.55 17 6.70 15 4.58 20 3.89 13 4.24
Awesemo – Cheat Sheet 2.07 27 3.67 14 6.13 19 4.43 22 4.58 5 4.18
FantasyPros 4.18 8 3.94 10 6.11 21 – – 2.37 31 4.15
FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator 1.88 28 5.11 1 3.88 30 5.86 11 3.88 14 4.12
FantasyAlarm – Playbook 4.08 9 3.53 18 5.08 24 4.56 21 3.21 26 4.09
DailyFantasyInsider 5.50 3 2.33 29 1.00 32 6.50 2 5.00 1 4.07
DFSArmy – Domination Station 0.83 32 2.50 27 9.00 3 4.63 17 3.29 23 4.05
DailyFantasySportsRankings 3.56 13 3.50 19 4.70 27 3.70 27 4.44 7 3.98
Industry Consensus – GPP 3.93 10 2.54 26 4.92 26 3.94 25 3.28 25 3.72
Rotoworld – Pivots – – 4.00 8 4.22 29 – – 2.88 30 3.70
Rotogrinders 6-pack – – 4.33 6 – – – – 3.00 28 3.67
Rotowire – Optimizer 1.67 29 2.63 25 5.00 25 4.63 17 4.29 8 3.64
NumberFire – Daily Helper 3.30 17 2.10 30 4.40 28 4.89 16 3.45 22 3.63
DailyOverlay – Hot Sheet 3.44 16 2.10 30 3.20 31 4.30 23 3.70 19 3.35
Sportsline 2.33 25 3.40 20 6.00 22 4.00 24 0.00 33 3.15
DK Playbook – Values 4.67 5 0.00 34 0.80 33 – – 2.33 32 1.95

Sleepers of the Week

Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.

Monday

  • Harrison Barnes (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
  • DJ Augustin (FantasyPros)
  • Anfernee Simons (NumberFire Daily Helper)

Tuesday

  • Deni Avdija (FantasyPros)

Wednesday

  • Sterling Brown (DK Playbook – Targets)
  • De’Aaron Fox (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
  • Paul George (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
  • Derrick White (FantasyPros)
  • Maxi Kleber (FantasyPros)

Thursday

  • Jalen Brunson (DFS Army Domination Station)
  • Kent Bazemore (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
  • Jae’Sean Tate (NumberFire Daily Helper)
  • JaMychal Green (RG Lineup Builder)

Friday

  • Patrick Williams (DailyRoto Optimizer)
  • LaMelo Ball (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
  • Derrick Favors (FantasyPros)

Overall Leaderboard

One week in and we already have a heated race for the top spot. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

#1) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 5.38)

#2) DFS Army Full Court Press (Score: 5.35)

#3) Daily Overlay Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.24)

The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.24) moved up two spots and into the top-3. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.34) is in 28th place.

Ownership Percentage Tracking

A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.

Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.

Cash

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
26 N/A N/A N/A 90.1%
25 N/A 93.3% N/A 96.3%
24 N/A 89.4% N/A N/A
23 N/A N/A N/A 66.3%
22 78.4% 71.5% 89.0% 72.0%
21 86.5% 76.1% 50.4% 72.1%
20 58.5% N/A N/A 88.2%
19 60.4% 50.5% 44.5% N/A
18 66.5% N/A N/A 77.2%
17 54.1% 67.2% 58.0% 71.9%
16 47.2% 56.3% 53.2% 89.5%
15 55.6% 54.8% 51.9% 14.4%
14 33.7% 41.2% 39.3% 44.3%
13 35.9% 37.2% 41.7% 79.1%
12 22.0% 29.7% 25.1% 43.6%
11 15.0% 23.1% 37.0% 33.2%
10 15.8% 24.1% 20.3% 40.1%
9 12.8% 17.3% 27.4% 26.0%
8 12.2% 18.6% 22.7% 32.1%
7 5.5% 10.1% 15.0% 25.9%
6 6.0% 12.8% 7.5% 25.9%
5 4.8% 5.9% 11.9% 17.3%
4 2.7% 7.4% 6.3% 10.5%
3 1.8% 3.5% 5.2% 13.2%
2 1.4% 3.7% 3.1% 4.1%
1 1.1% 2.1% 1.6% 2.4%

GPP

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
26 N/A N/A N/A 67.2%
25 N/A 69.0% N/A 72.5%
24 N/A 47.4% N/A N/A
23 N/A N/A N/A 47.9%
22 47.7% 43.3% 65.0% 50.5%
21 55.5% 40.1% 34.3% 56.6%
20 34.7% N/A N/A 56.6%
19 35.4% 31.1% 32.1% N/A
18 40.7% N/A N/A 47.9%
17 41.5% 40.4% 41.5% 50.2%
16 32.4% 35.9% 36.3% 52.1%
15 34.1% 35.3% 36.4% 23.2%
14 28.2% 27.1% 29.7% 33.0%
13 24.2% 24.2% 26.6% 48.7%
12 19.4% 21.6% 21.0% 27.1%
11 15.6% 21.9% 28.1% 22.9%
10 13.5% 20.1% 17.5% 25.5%
9 13.9% 17.9% 23.1% 19.5%
8 11.6% 14.9% 17.3% 20.4%
7 8.3% 12.3% 14.5% 19.9%
6 7.9% 12.4% 11.3% 15.8%
5 6.7% 8.5% 12.1% 15.1%
4 4.8% 7.8% 9.2% 10.0%
3 4.2% 6.0% 7.9% 10.5%
2 3.5% 5.1% 5.5% 5.0%
1 2.4% 3.1% 3.7% 3.0%

We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.

 

Tags: DraftKings, FanDuel, nba, NBA DFS, nba dfs week of february 1st
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