NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of January 10th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
The NHL announced that they will stop testing vaccinated, asymptomatic players. Let’s hope that the other pro leagues follow that lead. We continue to see value plays daily based on COVID causing players to have to sit. I’ll be so thankful when this is all over! A full, five-day week (for the first time in awhile) is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 6.60 | 5 | 5.75 | 9 | 10.00 | 1 | 8.47 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 5.00 | 20 | 7.33 | 2 | 10.00 | 1 | 8.47 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | – | – | 10.00 | 1 | 4.75 | 26 | 10.00 | 1 | 5.00 | 27 | 7.44 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 6.50 | 17 | 8.60 | 4 | 7.17 | 2 | 6.25 | 4 | 7.00 | 7 | 7.10 |
| Sportsline | 7.67 | 5 | 8.60 | 4 | 7.00 | 3 | 5.60 | 10 | 6.50 | 12 | 7.07 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 3.00 | 29 | 7.67 | 6 | 7.67 | 1 | 5.00 | 18 | 10.00 | 1 | 6.67 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 8.25 | 3 | 6.25 | 10 | 4.86 | 22 | 6.38 | 3 | 7.00 | 7 | 6.55 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 7.38 | 9 | 7.25 | 7 | 4.86 | 22 | 6.25 | 4 | 6.38 | 13 | 6.42 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | – | – | – | – | 6.33 | 10 | – | – | 6.17 | 16 | 6.25 |
| FantasyLabs | 5.56 | 26 | 7.22 | 8 | 6.33 | 10 | 5.60 | 10 | 6.00 | 17 | 6.14 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 6.55 | 16 | 6.15 | 12 | 5.63 | 16 | 5.36 | 14 | 7.00 | 7 | 6.14 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 7.63 | 7 | 5.75 | 16 | 4.86 | 22 | 5.13 | 16 | 7.25 | 6 | 6.12 |
| RunPureSports | 7.29 | 10 | 6.22 | 11 | 6.36 | 9 | 5.93 | 8 | 4.67 | 30 | 6.09 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 7.67 | 5 | 5.56 | 20 | 4.00 | 31 | 6.00 | 7 | 6.56 | 11 | 5.96 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 6.00 | 22 | 6.91 | 9 | 5.11 | 19 | 4.64 | 22 | 6.73 | 10 | 5.88 |
| NBC Sports Edge | 7.86 | 4 | 4.86 | 25 | 4.67 | 30 | 4.13 | 24 | 7.75 | 5 | 5.85 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 6.63 | 15 | 5.63 | 18 | 6.50 | 6 | 5.13 | 16 | 5.38 | 21 | 5.85 |
| EliteFantasy | 6.10 | 21 | 5.52 | 21 | 6.68 | 4 | 5.56 | 13 | 5.29 | 24 | 5.83 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 6.00 | 22 | 5.90 | 14 | 6.00 | 12 | 4.33 | 23 | 6.36 | 14 | 5.72 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 6.20 | 20 | – | – | 6.00 | 12 | 5.00 | 18 | 5.38 | 21 | 5.65 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 6.67 | 14 | 4.40 | 28 | 6.42 | 8 | 5.15 | 15 | 5.05 | 26 | 5.54 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 6.50 | 17 | 5.60 | 19 | 4.78 | 25 | 5.60 | 10 | 5.00 | 27 | 5.50 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 6.80 | 12 | 5.12 | 24 | 6.50 | 6 | 3.00 | 28 | 6.00 | 17 | 5.48 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 6.38 | 19 | 4.25 | 29 | 4.71 | 28 | 6.25 | 4 | 5.75 | 19 | 5.47 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 6.75 | 13 | – | – | 3.33 | 32 | – | – | 6.25 | 15 | 5.44 |
| NBC Sports Edge – Pivots | 5.44 | 27 | 5.29 | 23 | 5.33 | 17 | – | – | 5.22 | 25 | 5.32 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 7.44 | 8 | 4.67 | 27 | 5.00 | 20 | 4.88 | 20 | 4.44 | 31 | 5.29 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 6.86 | 11 | 5.82 | 15 | 5.25 | 18 | 3.95 | 25 | 4.28 | 32 | 5.23 |
| Rotowire | 5.73 | 25 | 4.82 | 26 | 6.00 | 12 | 3.40 | 26 | 5.00 | 27 | 4.99 |
| Rotoballer | 5.86 | 24 | 5.67 | 17 | 4.71 | 28 | 3.00 | 28 | 5.30 | 23 | 4.91 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 1.50 | 30 | 5.38 | 22 | 4.75 | 26 | 4.88 | 20 | 8.00 | 4 | 4.90 |
| FantasyPros | 3.11 | 28 | 5.94 | 13 | 5.87 | 15 | 3.24 | 27 | 5.74 | 20 | 4.78 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Jaylen Brown (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
- Trey Lyles (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Jordan Clarkson (EliteFantasy)
- Evan Fournier (FantasyPros)
- Mitchell Robinson (FantasyPros)
- Josh Christopher (Rotowire Optimizer)
- Tyrese Haliburton (NBC Sports Edge)
- Robert Williams (NBC Sports Edge Pivots)
- Saddiq Bey (NBC Sports Edge Pivots)
Tuesday
- Chris Boucher (DK Playbook Targets)
- Ziaire Williams (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Malik Beasley (FantasyPros)
- Darius Bazley (RunPureSports)
Wednesday
- Malik Monk (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
- Eric Paschall (DFS Army Cheat Sheet)
- Terrence Ross (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Franz Wagner (EliteFantasy)
- De’Andre Hunter (FantasyPros)
- Trevor Ariza (FantasyPros)
- RJ Barrett (RG 6-Pack)
- Mitchell Robinson (Rotowire)
- Lamar Stevens (RunPureSports)
- Day’Ron Sharpe (RunPureSports)
- Royce O’Neale (RunPureSports)
Thursday
- Grayson Allen (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Jeff Green (FantasyPros)
- David Duke, Jr (RunPureSports)
Friday
- Jae Crowder (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
- Nemanja Bjelica (DFS Karma Game Theory)
- Gary Harris (DK Playbook Targets)
- Tyrese Maxey (EliteFantasy)
- Franz Wagner (EliteFantasy)
- Otto Porter, Jr (FantasyLabs)
- Brandon Goodwin (FantasyPros)
- Buddy Hield (FantasyPros)
- Danilo Gallinari (FantasyPros)
- PJ Tucker (RG Grind Down)
- Jalen Brunson (NBC Sports Edge)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 115
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 46
- RunPureSports – 35
- EliteFantasy – 22
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 14
- Rotowire – 14
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 11
- NBC Sports Edge Pivots – 10
- DFS Karma Game Theory – 7
- DK Playbook Targets – 7
- NBC Sports Edge – 7
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 7
- Rotowire Optimizer – 6
- DK Playbook Values – 6
- FantasyLabs – 5
- RG Consensus – 4
- NumberFire Daily Helper – 4
- Rotoballer – 4
- RG Grind Down – 4
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 3
- Sportsline – 2
- RG 6-Pack – 2
- DFS Army Cheat Sheet – 2
- Awesemo Cheat Sheet – 1
- DFS Army Domination Station – 1
- RG Lineup Builder – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 6.16)
#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.09)
#3) Sportsline (Score: 6.04)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.65) slid to 6th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.81) stayed in 24th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 83.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | 59.4% | N/A | N/A | 62.9% |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | 85.2% | N/A |
| 23 | 87.8% | 74.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 73.2% | N/A | 89.1% | 78.0% |
| 21 | 58.2% | N/A | 88.0% | N/A |
| 20 | 66.9% | 74.7% | 91.3% | 69.1% |
| 19 | 68.9% | 70.8% | 67.7% | 84.2% |
| 18 | 76.8% | 59.1% | 70.0% | 67.1% |
| 17 | 74.8% | 61.7% | 61.9% | 65.3% |
| 16 | 53.0% | 51.6% | 44.4% | 61.5% |
| 15 | 46.6% | 54.2% | 53.2% | 59.2% |
| 14 | 51.8% | 42.1% | 49.7% | 58.4% |
| 13 | 32.8% | 48.6% | 52.5% | 45.8% |
| 12 | 28.6% | 33.9% | 47.3% | 49.2% |
| 11 | 21.0% | 31.0% | 44.4% | 29.1% |
| 10 | 26.6% | 29.9% | 33.4% | 31.9% |
| 9 | 15.3% | 21.4% | 24.9% | 27.7% |
| 8 | 17.9% | 14.4% | 30.4% | 30.7% |
| 7 | 17.0% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 20.5% |
| 6 | 8.5% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.9% |
| 5 | 4.7% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 12.1% |
| 4 | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.8% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 55.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | 49.0% | N/A | N/A | 34.8% |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | 64.5% | N/A |
| 23 | 67.1% | 43.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 43.0% | N/A | 68.0% | 54.4% |
| 21 | 44.3% | N/A | 66.4% | N/A |
| 20 | 34.9% | 55.1% | 64.1% | 47.3% |
| 19 | 40.9% | 42.4% | 39.4% | 52.5% |
| 18 | 44.6% | 41.1% | 39.2% | 42.5% |
| 17 | 42.2% | 36.9% | 35.9% | 42.3% |
| 16 | 32.9% | 32.0% | 29.6% | 37.5% |
| 15 | 29.5% | 35.7% | 31.9% | 42.8% |
| 14 | 32.4% | 32.1% | 35.9% | 35.6% |
| 13 | 22.9% | 30.4% | 36.9% | 33.3% |
| 12 | 21.4% | 22.5% | 30.5% | 31.1% |
| 11 | 20.0% | 24.4% | 28.0% | 24.5% |
| 10 | 21.2% | 20.8% | 22.5% | 23.6% |
| 9 | 16.8% | 15.6% | 19.7% | 21.6% |
| 8 | 15.0% | 15.2% | 23.3% | 23.4% |
| 7 | 13.3% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 16.1% |
| 6 | 10.0% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 11.5% |
| 5 | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 11.1% |
| 4 | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% |
| 3 | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% |
| 2 | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
