NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of January 11th
NBA Expert Recap Week of January 11th
There were a lot of COVID related cancellations last week. Unfortunately, I don’t see that trend ending any time soon. Let’s keep fingers crossed that the games continue. Speaking of COVID, it’s opened up a ton of value plays nightly. The hard part is picking the right ones. A full week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 10.00 | 1 | 6.67 | 3 | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 9.33 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 4.71 | 23 | 7.57 | 1 | 9.00 | 2 | 7.25 | 7 | 5.14 | 11 | 6.73 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 6.50 | 2 | 6.50 | 4 | 6.50 | 12 | 6.75 | 9 | – | – | 6.56 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 5.18 | 12 | 4.71 | 10 | 7.75 | 5 | 8.56 | 3 | 5.75 | 5 | 6.39 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 5.50 | 7 | 6.25 | 5 | 7.86 | 4 | 6.25 | 14 | 4.43 | 20 | 6.06 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 5.17 | 13 | 4.40 | 14 | 7.44 | 8 | 8.56 | 3 | 4.63 | 16 | 6.04 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 4.63 | 24 | 4.00 | 21 | 7.50 | 6 | 6.25 | 14 | 7.00 | 2 | 5.88 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 5.14 | 15 | 7.00 | 2 | 6.00 | 17 | 6.13 | 17 | 4.75 | 15 | 5.80 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 5.33 | 8 | 2.33 | 32 | 5.75 | 20 | 8.83 | 2 | 6.67 | 3 | 5.78 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 6.25 | 3 | 4.29 | 19 | 6.88 | 10 | 7.25 | 7 | 3.80 | 28 | 5.69 |
| Sportsline | 4.00 | 29 | 4.67 | 11 | 6.50 | 12 | 6.67 | 10 | 6.50 | 4 | 5.67 |
| Rotoworld | 4.00 | 29 | 5.75 | 6 | 5.88 | 18 | 7.38 | 6 | 5.20 | 9 | 5.64 |
| DailyRoto | 5.58 | 6 | 4.82 | 9 | – | – | 6.50 | 12 | 5.50 | 7 | 5.60 |
| DailyRoto | 5.58 | 6 | 4.82 | 9 | – | – | 6.50 | 12 | 5.50 | 7 | 5.60 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 4.00 | 29 | 4.30 | 18 | 8.11 | 3 | 6.60 | 11 | 4.89 | 14 | 5.58 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 4.88 | 21 | 4.25 | 20 | 5.71 | 21 | 8.14 | 5 | 4.50 | 19 | 5.50 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.30 | 9 | 4.46 | 13 | 6.21 | 15 | 5.83 | 20 | 5.42 | 8 | 5.44 |
| FantasyLabs | 5.00 | 19 | 4.00 | 21 | 7.39 | 9 | 6.06 | 18 | 4.63 | 16 | 5.42 |
| DailyOverlay – Hot Sheet | 6.10 | 4 | 4.90 | 7 | 5.64 | 23 | 5.80 | 22 | 4.56 | 18 | 5.40 |
| Rotowire | 3.60 | 32 | 4.86 | 8 | 6.40 | 14 | 5.82 | 21 | 5.61 | 6 | 5.26 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 4.40 | 25 | 4.32 | 17 | 6.84 | 11 | 6.35 | 13 | 4.24 | 24 | 5.23 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 5.08 | 18 | 4.60 | 12 | 5.14 | 24 | 6.00 | 19 | 4.30 | 23 | 5.02 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 5.13 | 16 | 4.36 | 16 | 4.29 | 29 | 6.14 | 16 | 4.91 | 13 | 4.97 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 5.78 | 5 | 3.44 | 25 | 6.17 | 16 | 5.00 | 29 | 3.63 | 30 | 4.80 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 5.12 | 17 | 3.68 | 23 | 5.06 | 25 | 5.77 | 24 | 3.97 | 27 | 4.72 |
| FantasyPros | 4.15 | 28 | 2.47 | 31 | 5.88 | 18 | 5.79 | 23 | 5.15 | 10 | 4.69 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 4.27 | 26 | 3.60 | 24 | 4.79 | 27 | 5.73 | 25 | 5.00 | 12 | 4.68 |
| EliteFantasy | 4.27 | 26 | 3.23 | 26 | 5.65 | 22 | 5.70 | 26 | 4.35 | 22 | 4.64 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 4.88 | 21 | 2.00 | 33 | 4.86 | 26 | 5.25 | 28 | 4.14 | 26 | 4.23 |
| DFSKarma – GPP Plays | 5.25 | 11 | 1.00 | 34 | 7.50 | 6 | 5.50 | 27 | 1.67 | 33 | 4.18 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 5.16 | 14 | 3.18 | 27 | 4.36 | 28 | 4.00 | 31 | 4.21 | 25 | 4.18 |
| Rotoballer | 5.29 | 10 | 3.14 | 28 | 2.71 | 31 | 5.00 | 29 | 3.20 | 31 | 3.87 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 5.00 | 19 | 4.40 | 14 | 1.25 | 32 | – | – | 3.67 | 29 | 3.58 |
| Rotoworld – Pivots | 2.00 | 33 | 3.00 | 29 | 3.67 | 30 | – | – | 4.40 | 21 | 3.27 |
| SportsGamblingPodcast | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.83 | 32 | 2.83 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | – | – | 2.50 | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.50 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Tyus Jones (DFS Karma – Game Theory)
- Damyean Dotson (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Aaron Gordon (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Tony Bradley (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Dillon Brooks (Fantasy Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Harrison Barnes (EliteFantasy)
- Dario Saric (FantasyPros)
- Robin Lopez (NumberFire Daily Helper)
Tuesday
- Aaron Holiday (Awesemo Cheat Sheet)
Wednesday
- Chris Chiozza (DFS Army Cheat Sheet)
- Jrue Holiday (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- PJ Washington (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
Thursday
- PJ Washington (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Chris Silva (FantasyLabs)
- Bismack Biyombo (FantasyLabs)
- Devin Vassell (FantasyPros)
- Matisse Thybulle (FantasyPros)
- Paul Millsap (FantasyPros)
- Terry Rozier (Rotoballer)
- JaMychal Green (Rotowire Optimizer)
Friday
- Semi Ojeleye (DFS Army Domination Station)
- Isaac Okoro (EliteFantasy)
- Luke Kennard (FantasyPros)
- Nerlens Noel (FantasyPros)
- Payton Pritchard (Rotowire)
Overall Leaderboard
One week in and we already have a heated race for the top spot. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 6.22)
#2A) Fansided (Score: 5.28)
#2B) Awesemo Building Blocks (Score: 5.28)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.18) jumps up another spot this week to 6th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.23) slides to 29th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | 93.3% | N/A | 96.3% |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 66.3% |
| 22 | 78.4% | 71.5% | N/A | 72.0% |
| 21 | 86.5% | N/A | N/A | 72.1% |
| 20 | 72.2% | N/A | N/A | 88.2% |
| 19 | 70.4% | 36.3% | 44.5% | N/A |
| 18 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 83.0% |
| 17 | 59.8% | 67.2% | 65.2% | 71.9% |
| 16 | 33.2% | 61.0% | 78.6% | 89.5% |
| 15 | 63.4% | 54.8% | 44.3% | 14.4% |
| 14 | 40.8% | 41.3% | 39.2% | 32.8% |
| 13 | 37.5% | 35.6% | 41.5% | 79.1% |
| 12 | 22.6% | 36.0% | 29.4% | 43.4% |
| 11 | 10.6% | 23.6% | 41.8% | 30.1% |
| 10 | 18.0% | 24.3% | 21.5% | 45.7% |
| 9 | 11.7% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 26.7% |
| 8 | 9.7% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 35.4% |
| 7 | 6.1% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 27.2% |
| 6 | 6.1% | 14.3% | 6.2% | 22.9% |
| 5 | 3.3% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 15.5% |
| 4 | 3.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.2% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 9.1% |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | 69.0% | N/A | 72.5% |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 47.9% |
| 22 | 47.7% | 43.3% | N/A | 50.5% |
| 21 | 55.5% | N/A | N/A | 56.6% |
| 20 | 33.8% | N/A | N/A | 56.6% |
| 19 | 40.9% | 26.5% | 32.1% | N/A |
| 18 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 50.5% |
| 17 | 45.4% | 40.4% | 46.8% | 50.2% |
| 16 | 26.5% | 39.3% | 41.1% | 52.1% |
| 15 | 37.7% | 35.3% | 32.6% | 23.2% |
| 14 | 31.6% | 28.1% | 30.1% | 27.5% |
| 13 | 26.8% | 23.4% | 25.5% | 48.7% |
| 12 | 20.8% | 26.3% | 22.2% | 27.9% |
| 11 | 12.7% | 22.1% | 29.6% | 19.5% |
| 10 | 13.7% | 22.1% | 16.6% | 26.4% |
| 9 | 13.2% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 21.0% |
| 8 | 10.4% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 21.7% |
| 7 | 8.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 20.5% |
| 6 | 7.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.5% |
| 5 | 4.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.7% |
| 4 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
