NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of January 16th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
More maneuvering atop the leaderboard over the last week. With things as tight as they are, I’m guessing “shuffling” will be a common theme each week. A short week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Wed | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 |
| Sportsline | 8.33 | 2 | 5.00 | 4 | 6.67 |
| DFSKarma – Building Blocks | 8.33 | 2 | 4.20 | 14 | 6.27 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 5.50 | 14 | 5.88 | 3 | 5.69 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 5.13 | 19 | 6.17 | 2 | 5.65 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 6.63 | 5 | 4.29 | 12 | 5.46 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 6.64 | 4 | 4.20 | 14 | 5.42 |
| RunPureSports | 6.00 | 8 | 4.67 | 7 | 5.34 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 5.56 | 13 | 5.00 | 4 | 5.28 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 5.58 | 12 | 4.64 | 9 | 5.11 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.27 | 18 | 4.75 | 6 | 5.01 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 5.90 | 10 | 4.06 | 17 | 4.98 |
| FantasyLabs | 5.33 | 17 | 4.50 | 10 | 4.92 |
| FantasyGuru | 5.89 | 11 | 3.63 | 19 | 4.76 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 5.95 | 9 | 3.53 | 20 | 4.74 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 5.13 | 19 | 4.29 | 12 | 4.71 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 5.50 | 14 | 3.90 | 18 | 4.70 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 5.08 | 21 | 4.18 | 16 | 4.63 |
| Rotoballer | 6.13 | 7 | 2.86 | 24 | 4.50 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 5.00 | 22 | 3.50 | 21 | 4.25 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 6.38 | 6 | 2.00 | 27 | 4.19 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 3.70 | 27 | 4.38 | 11 | 4.04 |
| Stokastic – Cheat Sheet | 4.93 | 24 | 3.14 | 22 | 4.04 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | 4.83 | 25 | 3.00 | 23 | 3.92 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 2.67 | 29 | 4.67 | 7 | 3.67 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 5.00 | 22 | 2.00 | 27 | 3.50 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 5.44 | 16 | 1.50 | 29 | 3.47 |
| Rotowire | 3.70 | 27 | 2.73 | 25 | 3.22 |
| FantasyPros | 4.06 | 26 | 2.32 | 26 | 3.19 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Wednesday
- Dejounte Murray (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Lauri Markkanen (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Chris Duarte (NumberFire)
- Jamal Murray (Rotoballer)
- Taurean Prince (RunPureSports)
Friday
- Keegan Murray (FantasyPros)
- Steven Adams (RunPureSports)
- Brandon Clarke (RunPureSports)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 48
- NumberFire – 36
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 31
- RunPureSports – 26
- Rotowire – 17
- FantasyGuru – 16
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 9
- DK Playbook Values – 8
- Rotoballer – 8
- Rotowire Optimizer – 5
- RG Grind Down – 4
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 4
- Stokastic Cheat Sheet – 3
- DK Playbook Targets – 3
- RG Consensus – 3
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 3
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 2
- FantasyLabs – 1
- DailyFantasyNerd – 1
- RG 6-Pack – 1
- Sportsline – 1
- DFS Army Domination Station – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 5.80)
#2) Sportsline (Score: 5.52)
#3A) DFS Army Cheat Sheet (Score: 5.48)
#3B) DFS Karma Building Blocks (Score: 5.48)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.35) is in 6th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.94) remains in 16th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | NA | 85.9% |
| 22 | NA | NA | 86.7% | 78.6% |
| 21 | 80.7% | NA | NA | NA |
| 20 | 46.7% | 79.7% | 87.9% | 82.0% |
| 19 | 79.8% | 41.3% | 82.4% | 64.5% |
| 18 | 47.9% | 77.0% | 74.6% | 74.8% |
| 17 | 50.9% | 56.5% | 57.7% | 73.8% |
| 16 | 43.2% | 45.9% | 65.5% | 53.7% |
| 15 | 45.2% | 48.9% | 50.0% | 72.6% |
| 14 | 35.8% | 54.7% | 73.4% | 61.1% |
| 13 | 30.6% | 46.8% | 49.2% | 47.4% |
| 12 | 24.3% | 47.0% | 39.9% | 31.7% |
| 11 | 20.1% | 30.3% | 37.4% | 46.4% |
| 10 | 20.6% | 34.6% | 33.8% | 36.1% |
| 9 | 15.6% | 13.4% | 29.4% | 36.0% |
| 8 | 16.7% | 26.2% | 29.1% | 29.6% |
| 7 | 9.9% | 12.3% | 20.7% | 25.7% |
| 6 | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 20.7% |
| 5 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 16.2% |
| 4 | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | NA | 62.4% |
| 22 | NA | NA | 57.7% | 50.4% |
| 21 | 48.4% | NA | NA | NA |
| 20 | 32.7% | 43.4% | 62.7% | 52.4% |
| 19 | 47.9% | 21.3% | 51.8% | 38.6% |
| 18 | 39.8% | 44.8% | 47.2% | 44.0% |
| 17 | 30.4% | 34.0% | 39.1% | 47.8% |
| 16 | 32.4% | 28.9% | 36.7% | 42.1% |
| 15 | 28.2% | 27.3% | 34.3% | 40.0% |
| 14 | 26.1% | 30.4% | 40.7% | 41.8% |
| 13 | 24.8% | 27.2% | 34.8% | 33.1% |
| 12 | 20.1% | 28.5% | 28.0% | 24.0% |
| 11 | 17.2% | 18.6% | 24.9% | 31.6% |
| 10 | 15.2% | 21.3% | 23.5% | 25.8% |
| 9 | 14.2% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 23.3% |
| 8 | 14.4% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 19.9% |
| 7 | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 19.5% |
| 6 | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 16.0% |
| 5 | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.4% |
| 4 | 7.9% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% |
| 3 | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
