NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of January 17th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
NBA continues to truck along with some COVID issues. Those look to be minimizing so fingers crossed that we are past any postponements. Last week was an odd week with only two days of grading. A short, two-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Wed | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 10.00 | 1 | 6.50 | 5 | 8.25 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 8.18 | 3 | 5.50 | 19 | 6.84 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 7.00 | 6 | 6.00 | 10 | 6.50 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 6.75 | 9 | 6.00 | 10 | 6.38 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 6.75 | 9 | 6.00 | 10 | 6.38 |
| Rotowire | 5.82 | 17 | 6.73 | 4 | 6.28 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 6.88 | 8 | 5.33 | 23 | 6.11 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 3.88 | 29 | 8.13 | 2 | 6.01 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 5.70 | 20 | 6.27 | 8 | 5.99 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 6.05 | 13 | 5.85 | 17 | 5.95 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 6.10 | 12 | 5.78 | 18 | 5.94 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | – | – | 5.91 | 16 | 5.91 |
| FantasyLabs | 7.10 | 4 | 4.67 | 27 | 5.89 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 5.00 | 24 | 6.75 | 3 | 5.88 |
| NBC Sports Edge – Pivots | 5.83 | 16 | – | – | 5.83 |
| Sportsline | 5.33 | 22 | 6.33 | 7 | 5.83 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 7.10 | 4 | 4.50 | 28 | 5.80 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 5.62 | 21 | 5.94 | 15 | 5.78 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 6.00 | 14 | 5.50 | 19 | 5.75 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 5.25 | 23 | 6.10 | 9 | 5.68 |
| RunPureSports | 5.87 | 15 | 5.43 | 21 | 5.65 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 6.38 | 11 | 4.88 | 25 | 5.63 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 5.79 | 19 | 5.36 | 22 | 5.58 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 4.63 | 25 | 6.00 | 10 | 5.32 |
| Rotoballer | 4.38 | 27 | 6.00 | 10 | 5.19 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 7.00 | 6 | 3.00 | 31 | 5.00 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | 5.80 | 18 | 4.00 | 29 | 4.90 |
| EliteFantasy | 4.55 | 26 | 5.16 | 24 | 4.86 |
| NBC Sports Edge | 3.57 | 30 | 4.88 | 25 | 4.23 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 1.00 | 31 | 6.50 | 5 | 3.75 |
| FantasyPros | 4.12 | 28 | 3.25 | 30 | 3.69 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Wednesday
- Mo Bamba (DFS Karma Game Theory)
- Devin Vassell (FantasyLabs)
- Rui Hachimura (FantasyPros)
- Reggi Jackson (RG 6-Pack)
- Jalen Suggs (RunPureSports)
Friday
- PJ Washington (DailyRoto Optimizer)
- Kevon Looney (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Kevin Porter, Jr (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Christian Wood (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Will Barton (EliteFantasy)
- Scottie Barnes (EliteFantasy)
- Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (EliteFantasy)
- Duncan Robinson (FantasyPros)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 117
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 47
- RunPureSports – 36
- EliteFantasy – 25
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 14
- Rotowire – 14
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 13
- NBC Sports Edge Pivots – 10
- DFS Karma Game Theory – 8
- DK Playbook Targets – 7
- NBC Sports Edge – 7
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 7
- Rotowire Optimizer – 7
- DK Playbook Values – 6
- FantasyLabs – 6
- RG Consensus – 4
- NumberFire Daily Helper – 4
- Rotoballer – 4
- RG Grind Down – 4
- RG 6-Pack – 3
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 3
- Sportsline – 2
- DFS Army Cheat Sheet – 2
- Awesemo Cheat Sheet – 1
- DFS Army Domination Station – 1
- RG Lineup Builder – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.21)
#2) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 6.19)
#3) Sportsline (Score: 6.13)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.70) slid to 7th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.93) stayed in 23rd place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 83.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | 59.4% | N/A | N/A | 62.9% |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | 85.2% | N/A |
| 23 | 87.8% | 74.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 73.2% | N/A | 89.1% | 78.0% |
| 21 | 58.2% | N/A | 88.0% | 87.80% |
| 20 | 66.9% | 74.7% | 91.3% | 69.1% |
| 19 | 68.9% | 70.8% | 67.7% | 84.2% |
| 18 | 76.8% | 59.1% | 70.0% | 67.4% |
| 17 | 74.8% | 61.7% | 61.9% | 65.3% |
| 16 | 55.3% | 51.6% | 44.4% | 61.5% |
| 15 | 46.6% | 55.1% | 53.2% | 59.2% |
| 14 | 51.8% | 42.1% | 53.6% | 56.9% |
| 13 | 32.8% | 48.6% | 52.5% | 45.8% |
| 12 | 28.6% | 32.1% | 47.3% | 48.7% |
| 11 | 20.4% | 26.8% | 41.5% | 28.8% |
| 10 | 25.4% | 29.9% | 34.4% | 32.5% |
| 9 | 15.8% | 21.4% | 25.0% | 27.9% |
| 8 | 16.7% | 14.4% | 30.4% | 30.7% |
| 7 | 17.3% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 19.9% |
| 6 | 9.1% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 13.9% |
| 5 | 4.6% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 11.8% |
| 4 | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.6% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% |
| 2 | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 55.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | 49.0% | N/A | N/A | 34.8% |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | 64.5% | N/A |
| 23 | 67.1% | 43.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 43.0% | N/A | 68.0% | 54.4% |
| 21 | 44.3% | N/A | 66.4% | 48.30% |
| 20 | 34.9% | 55.1% | 64.1% | 47.3% |
| 19 | 40.9% | 42.4% | 39.4% | 52.5% |
| 18 | 44.6% | 41.1% | 39.2% | 40.9% |
| 17 | 42.2% | 36.9% | 35.9% | 42.3% |
| 16 | 33.0% | 32.0% | 29.6% | 37.5% |
| 15 | 29.5% | 35.0% | 31.9% | 42.8% |
| 14 | 32.4% | 32.1% | 35.9% | 34.9% |
| 13 | 22.9% | 30.4% | 36.9% | 33.3% |
| 12 | 21.4% | 21.5% | 30.5% | 31.2% |
| 11 | 19.3% | 19.6% | 26.1% | 24.6% |
| 10 | 20.5% | 20.8% | 22.4% | 23.6% |
| 9 | 17.0% | 15.6% | 19.8% | 21.7% |
| 8 | 14.4% | 15.2% | 23.3% | 23.4% |
| 7 | 13.3% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 15.7% |
| 6 | 10.0% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% |
| 5 | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 11.0% |
| 4 | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% |
| 3 | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% |
| 2 | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
