NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of January 20th
NBA Expert Recap and Grades for Week of January 20th
A somber few days of basketball since the passing of Kobe on Sunday afternoon. There was a change atop the leaderboard. Don’t forget that our Premium Content gets you all our NFL, PGA and NBA content. A three slate week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (January 20th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.00 (4th of 25)
Total Cash Plays – 12
GPP DO Score – 2.18 (24th of 25)
Total GPP Plays – 11
A+ – Three of the 23 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Domantas Sabonis, Mario Hezonja
Top Experts of the Day
#1A) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 10.00) scored an “A+” with their lone play.
#1B) RG Core Plays (Score: 10.00) scored two “A+” grades to start the week.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider (10.95 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Derrick White (FantasyPros)
A+ – Bryn Forbes (RG Grind Down)
Wednesday (January 22nd)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.73 (5th of 32)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 4.40 (10th of 32)
Total GPP Plays – 20
A+ – Nine of the 31 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Bam Adebayo, Malcolm Brogdon
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Fansided (Score: 5.33) scored “A” or better with four of their six plays including two “A+” grades.
#2) Daily Overlay Hot Sheet (Score: 5.00) scored three “A+” grades with his eight plays.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
FantasyPros (5.96 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Reggie Jackson (FantasyPros)
A+ – Chandler Hutchison (FantasyPros)
Friday (January 24th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.64 (6th of 32)
Total Cash Plays – 14
GPP DO Score – 4.59 (11th of 32)
Total GPP Plays – 17
A+ – Eleven of the 31 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Dewayne Dedmon, James Harden, Ricky Rubio
Top Experts of the Day
#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 7.33) scored “A+” with two of their three plays on Friday.
#2) Daily Overlay Hot Sheet (Score: 6.10) found the top-2 again on Friday. Brad scored an “A+” with half of this 10 plays.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Daily Overlay Hot Sheet (6.35 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Doug McDermott (Daily Overlay Hot Sheet)
A+ – Evan Fournier (DailyRoto)
A+ – Duncan Robinson (DailyRoto)
A+ – Christian Wood (DFS Army – Cheat Sheet)
A+ – Torrey Craig (Fansided)
A+ – Kyle Lowry (FantasyPros)
A+ – Kelly Olynyk (FantasyPros)
A+ – Javonte Green (FullTimeFantasy)
A+ – Jaren Jackson Jr. (RG Grind Down)
Overall Leaderboard
We had a flip-flop with the top-2 experts. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 5.99)
#2) DFS Karma (Score: 5.91)
#3) Daily Overlay Industry Consensus – Cash Plays (Score: 5.50)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.56) continue to sit in the top-3. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.24) stayed in 31st place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | 83.2% | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | 82.3% | 79.1% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | N/A | 73.1% | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 78.5% | 70.2% | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 73.1% | 67.9% | N/A | 75.9% |
| 19 | 65.9% | 65.0% | 81.8% | 79.1% |
| 18 | 61.1% | 67.5% | 69.9% | 68.5% |
| 17 | 40.0% | 50.8% | 72.2% | 70.9% |
| 16 | 49.3% | 37.6% | 55.9% | N/A |
| 15 | 41.5% | 44.7% | 61.6% | 52.6% |
| 14 | 30.7% | 50.7% | 52.1% | 65.0% |
| 13 | 31.7% | 30.1% | 59.1% | 61.6% |
| 12 | 18.7% | 34.4% | 43.6% | 48.6% |
| 11 | 16.8% | 29.2% | 37.4% | 49.9% |
| 10 | 12.3% | 21.6% | 36.9% | 37.8% |
| 9 | 8.9% | 14.4% | 28.1% | 40.9% |
| 8 | 9.9% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 27.3% |
| 7 | 7.0% | 10.9% | 20.1% | 33.5% |
| 6 | 5.9% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 25.1% |
| 5 | 3.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 16.4% |
| 4 | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 14.7% |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% |
| 2 | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | 57.3% | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | 55.5% | 54.9% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | N/A | 38.6% | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 57.6% | 52.0% | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 44.9% | 46.3% | N/A | 48.9% |
| 19 | 46.5% | 50.3% | 55.1% | 56.7% |
| 18 | 37.5% | 45.8% | 41.1% | 46.1% |
| 17 | 32.5% | 34.5% | 45.5% | 45.7% |
| 16 | 30.8% | 28.8% | 30.8% | N/A |
| 15 | 29.5% | 29.6% | 38.8% | 29.5% |
| 14 | 25.1% | 34.7% | 33.3% | 42.7% |
| 13 | 27.3% | 25.1% | 37.3% | 39.3% |
| 12 | 18.9% | 24.6% | 30.0% | 29.9% |
| 11 | 16.7% | 21.3% | 27.9% | 31.6% |
| 10 | 13.7% | 20.6% | 27.4% | 25.4% |
| 9 | 11.0% | 14.9% | 21.7% | 26.3% |
| 8 | 12.1% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 20.2% |
| 7 | 10.2% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 22.0% |
| 6 | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 19.0% |
| 5 | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% |
| 4 | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% |
| 3 | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
