NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of January 25th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
Our season leaderboard is continuing to take shape and our Cash Consensus plays still sit in the top-5. If you aren’t already, you should be reading that article daily before finalizing your lineups. A four-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 5.50 | 6 | 6.38 | 2 | 5.71 | 24 | 7.38 | 5 | 6.24 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 4.85 | 12 | 5.09 | 7 | 7.30 | 8 | 7.64 | 4 | 6.22 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 5.14 | 8 | 5.75 | 4 | 6.25 | 21 | 7.38 | 5 | 6.13 |
| Sportsline | 4.00 | 25 | 7.50 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 3.00 | 33 | 6.13 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.60 | 5 | 4.53 | 11 | 8.33 | 4 | 5.82 | 19 | 6.07 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 5.00 | 9 | 2.50 | 28 | 8.13 | 6 | 8.50 | 1 | 6.03 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 5.00 | 9 | 5.50 | 6 | 6.40 | 17 | 7.00 | 9 | 5.98 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 5.20 | 7 | 3.40 | 22 | 8.25 | 5 | 6.60 | 12 | 5.86 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 5.00 | 9 | 4.44 | 12 | 6.63 | 13 | 7.21 | 8 | 5.82 |
| DailyOverlay – Hot Sheet | 6.67 | 2 | 3.60 | 19 | 6.63 | 13 | 6.10 | 17 | 5.75 |
| DFSKarma – GPP Plays | 4.00 | 25 | 2.75 | 26 | 10.00 | 1 | 5.75 | 20 | 5.63 |
| FantasyLabs | 3.50 | 29 | 4.10 | 15 | 6.90 | 11 | 7.90 | 2 | 5.60 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 4.79 | 14 | 4.60 | 9 | 6.00 | 22 | 6.90 | 10 | 5.57 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 4.33 | 21 | 4.55 | 10 | 6.33 | 19 | 6.40 | 16 | 5.40 |
| DailyRoto | 3.92 | 27 | 5.75 | 4 | – | – | 6.46 | 14 | 5.38 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 3.00 | 32 | 5.80 | 3 | 7.20 | 9 | 5.50 | 22 | 5.38 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 3.25 | 31 | 4.40 | 13 | 5.80 | 23 | 7.90 | 2 | 5.34 |
| Rotoworld | 2.70 | 33 | 3.25 | 25 | 8.60 | 3 | 6.63 | 11 | 5.30 |
| EliteFantasy | 4.05 | 24 | 3.88 | 17 | 6.44 | 16 | 6.42 | 15 | 5.20 |
| Rotoballer | 6.63 | 3 | 3.57 | 20 | 7.56 | 7 | 2.83 | 35 | 5.15 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 4.70 | 15 | 3.50 | 21 | 6.27 | 20 | 5.85 | 18 | 5.08 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 4.29 | 23 | 1.50 | 31 | 7.17 | 10 | 7.25 | 7 | 5.05 |
| Rotowire | 4.45 | 18 | 3.65 | 18 | 6.88 | 12 | 5.09 | 26 | 5.02 |
| SportsGamblingPodcast | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.88 | 28 | 4.88 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 7.50 | 1 | 1.50 | 31 | 6.50 | 15 | 4.00 | 32 | 4.88 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 6.50 | 4 | – | – | 5.00 | 27 | 3.00 | 33 | 4.83 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 4.50 | 16 | 4.27 | 14 | 4.86 | 29 | 5.57 | 21 | 4.80 |
| FantasyPros | 4.38 | 20 | 3.30 | 24 | 6.40 | 17 | 5.05 | 27 | 4.78 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 4.45 | 18 | 4.02 | 16 | 5.24 | 26 | 5.15 | 25 | 4.72 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | 4.83 | 13 | – | – | – | – | 4.17 | 31 | 4.50 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 4.50 | 16 | 2.60 | 27 | 5.44 | 25 | 4.40 | 30 | 4.24 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 4.33 | 21 | 1.75 | 30 | 5.00 | 27 | 5.44 | 23 | 4.13 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 3.75 | 28 | 2.00 | 29 | 4.00 | 31 | 6.50 | 13 | 4.06 |
| Rotoworld – Pivots | 3.29 | 30 | 3.38 | 23 | – | – | 5.38 | 24 | 4.02 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 1.80 | 34 | 4.63 | 8 | 4.67 | 30 | 4.86 | 29 | 3.99 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Thaddeus Young (Elite Fantasy)
- Jeremy Lamb (RG Lineup Builder)
Wednesday
- Cam Reddish (DailyRoto)
- Domantas Sabonis (DFS Army Full Court Press)
Thursday
- Precious Achiuwa (Fantasy Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Talen Horton-Tucker (FantasyPros)
- Kent Bazemore (FantasyPros)
- Marcus Morris (RG Consensus)
Friday
- Jrue Holiday (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Terrance Ross (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Harrison Barnes (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Josh Hart (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Jeff Green (Elite Fantasy)
- Keldon Johnson (Rotoworld Pivots)
Overall Leaderboard
One week in and we already have a heated race for the top spot. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 5.74)
#2) Sportsline (Score: 5.41)
#3) DFS Army Full Court Press (Score: 5.36)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.29) stands pat this week in 5th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.46) is tied for 27th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 90.1% |
| 25 | N/A | 93.3% | N/A | 96.3% |
| 24 | N/A | 89.4% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 66.3% |
| 22 | 78.4% | 71.5% | N/A | 72.0% |
| 21 | 86.5% | N/A | N/A | 72.1% |
| 20 | 58.5% | N/A | N/A | 88.2% |
| 19 | 60.4% | 51.6% | 44.5% | N/A |
| 18 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 77.9% |
| 17 | 54.1% | 67.2% | 58.3% | 71.9% |
| 16 | 33.2% | 52.9% | 53.2% | 89.5% |
| 15 | 55.6% | 54.8% | 51.9% | 14.4% |
| 14 | 40.8% | 39.5% | 39.2% | 32.8% |
| 13 | 35.9% | 36.9% | 41.5% | 79.1% |
| 12 | 24.2% | 29.7% | 27.7% | 41.1% |
| 11 | 15.3% | 24.3% | 37.0% | 33.2% |
| 10 | 16.4% | 25.3% | 20.3% | 45.7% |
| 9 | 12.2% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 31.8% |
| 8 | 9.1% | 19.3% | 22.7% | 34.5% |
| 7 | 5.7% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 25.8% |
| 6 | 5.6% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 26.7% |
| 5 | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 15.8% |
| 4 | 2.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 11.2% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 13.7% |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 67.2% |
| 25 | N/A | 69.0% | N/A | 72.5% |
| 24 | N/A | 47.4% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 47.9% |
| 22 | 47.7% | 43.3% | N/A | 50.5% |
| 21 | 55.5% | N/A | N/A | 56.6% |
| 20 | 34.7% | N/A | N/A | 56.6% |
| 19 | 35.4% | 30.9% | 32.1% | N/A |
| 18 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 48.0% |
| 17 | 41.5% | 40.4% | 42.7% | 50.2% |
| 16 | 26.5% | 35.6% | 36.3% | 52.1% |
| 15 | 34.1% | 35.3% | 36.4% | 23.2% |
| 14 | 31.6% | 26.6% | 30.1% | 27.5% |
| 13 | 24.2% | 23.5% | 25.5% | 48.7% |
| 12 | 20.6% | 21.6% | 22.2% | 27.0% |
| 11 | 15.3% | 24.1% | 28.1% | 22.9% |
| 10 | 12.7% | 21.6% | 17.5% | 26.5% |
| 9 | 13.1% | 18.0% | 20.6% | 23.5% |
| 8 | 10.1% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 21.1% |
| 7 | 8.2% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 18.5% |
| 6 | 7.3% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 16.1% |
| 5 | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 14.6% |
| 4 | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% |
| 3 | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% |
| 2 | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
