NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of January 27th
NBA Expert Recap and Grades for Week of January 27th
We were back to a full week of NBA action this week. Everything remains pretty steady among the top experts but it looks like the race for 1st is going to come down to the wire. Don’t forget that our Premium Content gets you all our PGA and NBA content along with our MLB content which will be kicking off shortly. A full, five slate week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (January 27th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.08 (8th of 28)
Total Cash Plays – 13
GPP DO Score – 4.91 (13th of 28)
Total GPP Plays – 11
A+ – Eight of the 24 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Isaiah Hartenstein, Chris Clemons, Ben McLemore
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Awesemo (Score: 7.14) scored five “A+” grades and two failing ones with seven plays to start the week.
#2) DFS Army – Domination Station (Score: 6.29) scored “B” or better with all seven of their plays including three “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Core Plays (7.26 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – None
Tuesday (January 28th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.00 (5th of 31)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 3.75 (17th of 31)
Total GPP Plays – 16
A+ – Seven of the 27 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Luka Doncic, Delon Wright
Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 6.50) scored an “A+” and “B” with their two plays.
#2) DFS Army – Domination Station (Score: 6.29) scored “A+” with four of seven selections on Tuesday.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider (9.59 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Larry Nance, Jr. (DFS Army – Cheat Sheet)
A+ – JJ Barea (FantasyPros)
Wednesday (January 29th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.70 (14th of 28)
Total Cash Plays – 10
GPP DO Score – 4.56 (15th of 28)
Total GPP Plays – 18
A+ – Seven of the 28 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Jaren Jackson Jr, Nemanja Bjelica
Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 10.00) scored two “A+” grades with their picks.
#2) Daily Overlay Hot Sheet (Score: 5.60) scored “A” or better with half of his 10 plays including four “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider(6.44 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Brandon Clarke (DailyRoto)
A+ – Nerlens Noel (DailyRoto)
A+ – Christian Wood (DK Playbook)
A+ – Harry Giles III (FantasyLabs)
A+ – Chandler Hutchison (FantasyPros)
Thursday (January 30th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.10 (6th of 29)
Total Cash Plays – 10
GPP DO Score – 4.54 (12th of 29)
Total GPP Plays – 13
A+ – Six of the 23 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – None
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RG Lineup Builder (Score: 6.75) scored “A” or better with six of eight plays including four “A+” grades.
#2) FantasyLabs (Score: 6.70) scored an “A+” grade with half of their ten plays on Thursday.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Lineup Builder (6.61 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Darius Garland (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jordan Clarkson (FantasyPros)
Friday (January 31st)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.40 (4th of 28)
Total Cash Plays – 10
GPP DO Score – 4.83 (6th of 28)
Total GPP Plays – 12
A+ – Seven of the 22 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – None
Top Experts of the Day
#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 6.00) finds the top-2 for the first time this week. They scored one “A+,” one “A” and one “B” grade to cap the week.
#2) RG Consensus (Score: 5.68) scored ten grades of “A” or better with their 19 plays on Friday.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
NumberFire – Studs (6.47 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Josh Hart (DailyRoto)
A+ – Pat Connaughton (DK Playbook)
A+ – Michael Porter Jr. (NumberFire – DK Daily Helper)
A+ – Malik Beasley (Rotoballer)
Overall Leaderboard
Everything remains the same in the top-3. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 5.94)
#2) DFS Karma (Score: 5.82)
#3) Daily Overlay Industry Consensus – Cash Plays (Score: 5.46)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.46) continue to sit in the top-3. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.26) stayed in 31st place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 27 | 87.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | N/A | 83.2% | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | 82.3% | 79.1% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | N/A | 73.1% | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 78.5% | 70.2% | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 73.1% | 67.9% | 20.6% | 71.7% |
| 19 | 65.9% | 65.0% | 83.6% | 79.1% |
| 18 | 64.0% | 67.5% | 69.9% | 57.3% |
| 17 | 40.0% | 50.8% | 72.2% | 70.9% |
| 16 | 48.0% | 37.6% | 55.9% | N/A |
| 15 | 44.3% | 44.7% | 61.6% | 52.6% |
| 14 | 29.2% | 48.9% | 56.1% | 65.0% |
| 13 | 34.3% | 32.1% | 59.1% | 60.2% |
| 12 | 21.1% | 34.9% | 41.8% | 51.1% |
| 11 | 16.5% | 28.3% | 35.5% | 49.7% |
| 10 | 12.3% | 21.1% | 37.0% | 41.7% |
| 9 | 9.4% | 15.3% | 28.1% | 41.7% |
| 8 | 10.0% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 25.8% |
| 7 | 7.3% | 10.9% | 21.1% | 32.2% |
| 6 | 5.6% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 25.0% |
| 5 | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 16.4% |
| 4 | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 14.9% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% |
| 2 | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 27 | 63.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | N/A | 57.3% | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | 55.5% | 54.9% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | N/A | 38.6% | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 57.6% | 52.0% | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 44.9% | 46.3% | 28.4% | 48.4% |
| 19 | 46.5% | 50.3% | 55.6% | 56.7% |
| 18 | 40.8% | 45.8% | 41.1% | 40.1% |
| 17 | 32.5% | 34.5% | 45.5% | 45.7% |
| 16 | 30.9% | 28.8% | 30.8% | N/A |
| 15 | 30.6% | 29.6% | 38.8% | 29.5% |
| 14 | 24.9% | 33.9% | 35.3% | 42.7% |
| 13 | 28.1% | 25.9% | 37.3% | 39.5% |
| 12 | 19.6% | 25.9% | 28.7% | 31.2% |
| 11 | 16.1% | 21.1% | 27.1% | 32.1% |
| 10 | 13.7% | 20.2% | 27.6% | 26.5% |
| 9 | 11.7% | 15.6% | 21.7% | 27.6% |
| 8 | 12.2% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 18.8% |
| 7 | 10.8% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 21.5% |
| 6 | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 18.7% |
| 5 | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% |
| 4 | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.3% |
| 3 | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
