NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of January 31st
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
Wow, things are getting really close atop the leaderboard. There are now five experts with scores above 6.0 for the season and the top two spots are separated by .04. A full, five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.33 | 1 | 6.83 | 7 | 7.08 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 5.50 | 2 | 7.57 | 2 | 7.08 | 4 | 5.56 | 5 | 7.25 | 3 | 6.59 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 6.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | – | – | 3.00 | 26 | 7.00 | 4 | 6.50 |
| NBC Sports Edge | 5.14 | 3 | 5.83 | 13 | 8.67 | 1 | 5.75 | 4 | 5.50 | 14 | 6.18 |
| FantasyLabs | 4.89 | 7 | 5.33 | 19 | 7.11 | 3 | 4.10 | 17 | 6.44 | 8 | 5.57 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 4.59 | 9 | 6.00 | 10 | 6.45 | 8 | 4.33 | 13 | 6.20 | 9 | 5.51 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 4.30 | 12 | 6.33 | 7 | 7.92 | 2 | 4.30 | 15 | 4.50 | 19 | 5.47 |
| Sportsline | 4.67 | 8 | 7.14 | 4 | 3.50 | 28 | 5.83 | 3 | 5.43 | 16 | 5.31 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 4.29 | 13 | 6.13 | 9 | 5.52 | 19 | 4.32 | 14 | 5.94 | 11 | 5.24 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 3.67 | 19 | 6.00 | 10 | 6.88 | 5 | 3.56 | 24 | 5.63 | 13 | 5.15 |
| RunPureSports | 2.79 | 22 | 5.83 | 13 | 6.48 | 7 | 4.40 | 12 | 6.05 | 10 | 5.11 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 5.00 | 4 | 5.75 | 17 | 5.71 | 14 | 3.00 | 26 | 5.86 | 12 | 5.06 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 4.09 | 16 | 4.64 | 21 | 6.86 | 6 | 4.58 | 11 | – | – | 5.04 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 4.57 | 10 | 5.00 | 20 | 4.50 | 24 | 4.13 | 16 | 7.00 | 4 | 5.04 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 4.17 | 14 | 5.77 | 16 | 5.71 | 14 | 5.06 | 7 | 4.44 | 22 | 5.03 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 3.26 | 20 | 6.25 | 8 | 6.22 | 9 | 4.85 | 8 | 4.30 | 25 | 4.98 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 1.25 | 30 | 5.75 | 17 | 5.67 | 16 | 6.25 | 2 | 5.50 | 14 | 4.88 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 2.71 | 24 | 5.78 | 15 | 5.29 | 22 | 2.67 | 28 | 7.38 | 2 | 4.77 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 5.00 | 4 | 7.50 | 3 | 2.00 | 30 | 2.00 | 29 | 7.00 | 4 | 4.70 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 3.71 | 17 | 7.14 | 4 | 4.29 | 26 | 3.63 | 22 | 4.38 | 23 | 4.63 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 4.14 | 15 | 6.38 | 6 | 4.50 | 24 | 3.88 | 19 | 4.13 | 26 | 4.61 |
| EliteFantasy | 3.71 | 17 | 4.53 | 23 | 6.00 | 11 | 3.93 | 18 | 4.48 | 20 | 4.53 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 5.00 | 4 | 3.00 | 29 | 6.00 | 11 | 4.67 | 10 | 3.00 | 29 | 4.33 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 2.75 | 23 | – | – | 2.50 | 29 | – | – | 7.75 | 1 | 4.33 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 4.57 | 10 | 3.67 | 27 | 5.57 | 18 | 1.88 | 30 | 4.75 | 18 | 4.09 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 1.50 | 29 | 3.56 | 28 | 6.22 | 9 | 4.70 | 9 | 4.38 | 23 | 4.07 |
| Rotoballer | 2.57 | 25 | 5.86 | 12 | 4.17 | 27 | 3.60 | 23 | 3.67 | 27 | 3.97 |
| Rotowire | 1.67 | 27 | 4.00 | 26 | 5.36 | 21 | 5.55 | 6 | 3.27 | 28 | 3.97 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 1.67 | 27 | 4.14 | 25 | 5.67 | 16 | 3.25 | 25 | 5.00 | 17 | 3.95 |
| NBC Sports Edge – Pivots | 3.00 | 21 | 4.60 | 22 | 5.86 | 13 | – | – | 1.71 | 31 | 3.79 |
| FantasyPros | 0.58 | 31 | 4.16 | 24 | 4.94 | 23 | 3.71 | 21 | 4.47 | 21 | 3.57 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 2.25 | 26 | 2.50 | 30 | 5.50 | 20 | 3.86 | 20 | 2.38 | 30 | 3.30 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Isaiah Jackson (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Desmond Bane (RG Grind Down)
- Christian Wood (RG Grind Down)
Tuesday
- Malik Beasley (FantasyPros)
- Grayson Allen (Rotowire)
- Mikal Bridges (NBC Sports Edge)
- Mikal Toscano-Anderson (RunPureSports)
Wednesday
- Zeke Nnaji (DFS Army Cheat Sheet)
- Mitchell Robinson (DFS Karma Game Theory)
- Reggie Bullock (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Mason Plumlee (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Robert Covington (EliteFantasy)
- Julius Randle (EliteFantasy)
- Josh Richardson (FantasyPros)
- Chimezi Metu (FantasyPros)
- Carmelo Anthony (FantasyPros)
- Rudy Gay (RunPureSports)
- Royce O’Neale (RunPureSports)
- Terry Taylor (RunPureSports)
Thursday
- Saddiq Bey (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Mo Harkless (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Patrick Beverley (FantasyLabs)
- Marcus Morris (RG Consensus)
Friday
- Ayo Dosunmu (DFS Army Cheat Sheet)
- Mason Plumlee (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Kelly Oubre, Jr (EliteFantasy)
- Josh Richardson (FantasyPros)
- Jaxson Hayes (FantasyPros)
- Brandon Ingram (NumberFire Daily Helper)
- Jarrett Allen (NumberFire Daily Helper)
- Udoka Azubuike (NBC Sports Edge)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 130
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 55
- RunPureSports – 40
- EliteFantasy – 29
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 16
- Rotowire – 16
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 14
- NBC Sports Edge Pivots – 11
- DFS Karma Game Theory – 9
- NBC Sports Edge – 9
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 8
- NumberFire Daily Helper – 8
- DK Playbook Targets – 7
- Rotowire Optimizer – 7
- FantasyLabs – 7
- DK Playbook Values – 6
- RG Consensus – 6
- RG Grind Down – 6
- Rotoballer – 4
- DFS Army Cheat Sheet – 4
- RG 6-Pack – 3
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 3
- Sportsline – 2
- Awesemo Cheat Sheet – 1
- DFS Army Domination Station – 1
- RG Lineup Builder – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.19)
#2) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 6.15)
#3) Sportsline (Score: 6.04)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.70) stayed in 7th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.91) fell one spot to 25th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 83.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | 59.4% | N/A | N/A | 62.9% |
| 24 | N/A | 84.70% | 85.2% | 82.60% |
| 23 | 87.8% | 74.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 73.2% | N/A | 89.1% | 78.0% |
| 21 | 58.2% | N/A | 88.0% | 86.25% |
| 20 | 66.9% | 75.8% | 91.3% | 65.8% |
| 19 | 68.9% | 70.8% | 67.7% | 85.2% |
| 18 | 60.5% | 59.1% | 70.0% | 59.9% |
| 17 | 74.8% | 61.7% | 61.9% | 66.8% |
| 16 | 53.6% | 54.6% | 44.4% | 65.1% |
| 15 | 46.1% | 58.1% | 53.2% | 59.2% |
| 14 | 50.2% | 40.9% | 47.8% | 56.9% |
| 13 | 34.1% | 50.8% | 57.8% | 46.8% |
| 12 | 29.4% | 32.1% | 42.6% | 48.7% |
| 11 | 24.3% | 24.5% | 36.0% | 30.0% |
| 10 | 25.4% | 30.6% | 29.6% | 32.4% |
| 9 | 16.1% | 22.7% | 24.4% | 27.0% |
| 8 | 18.0% | 14.0% | 29.8% | 32.2% |
| 7 | 17.5% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 22.3% |
| 6 | 9.4% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 14.8% |
| 5 | 6.0% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 11.0% |
| 4 | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.6% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% |
| 2 | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 55.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | 49.0% | N/A | N/A | 34.8% |
| 24 | N/A | 54.00% | 64.5% | 54.20% |
| 23 | 67.1% | 43.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 43.0% | N/A | 68.0% | 54.4% |
| 21 | 44.3% | N/A | 66.4% | 50.35% |
| 20 | 34.9% | 52.1% | 64.1% | 47.4% |
| 19 | 40.9% | 42.4% | 39.4% | 55.4% |
| 18 | 39.5% | 41.1% | 39.2% | 37.6% |
| 17 | 42.2% | 36.9% | 35.9% | 42.5% |
| 16 | 32.1% | 34.4% | 29.6% | 40.7% |
| 15 | 29.8% | 36.0% | 31.9% | 42.8% |
| 14 | 31.5% | 31.0% | 32.4% | 34.9% |
| 13 | 24.3% | 30.9% | 39.4% | 33.7% |
| 12 | 21.3% | 21.5% | 29.1% | 31.2% |
| 11 | 20.2% | 19.8% | 25.5% | 24.3% |
| 10 | 20.5% | 20.9% | 20.7% | 23.5% |
| 9 | 17.1% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 21.0% |
| 8 | 14.6% | 15.3% | 22.7% | 24.3% |
| 7 | 13.9% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 16.1% |
| 6 | 10.2% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.5% |
| 5 | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 10.5% |
| 4 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| 3 | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
