NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of January 9th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
The NBA continues to chug along as we continue to provide our daily consensus and grade the expert picks. Our Cash Consensus plays are sitting just outside the top-5 for the season. A full, five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 9.13 | 1 | 7.71 | 10 | 7.88 | 1 | 5.25 | 18 | 6.17 | 1 | 7.23 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 7.25 | 4 | 9.00 | 1 | 6.13 | 17 | 5.00 | 23 | 5.17 | 5 | 6.51 |
| Sportsline | 7.20 | 5 | 8.33 | 3 | 6.67 | 11 | 7.67 | 1 | 2.00 | 27 | 6.37 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 7.38 | 2 | 8.00 | 5 | 6.13 | 17 | 5.25 | 18 | 5.00 | 6 | 6.35 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 7.38 | 2 | 6.89 | 15 | 5.86 | 20 | 6.25 | 8 | 4.89 | 7 | 6.25 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | 6.17 | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.17 |
| FantasyGuru | 5.75 | 15 | 8.00 | 5 | 7.81 | 2 | 5.68 | 12 | 3.60 | 17 | 6.17 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 6.22 | 11 | 7.89 | 9 | 7.11 | 6 | 5.75 | 10 | 3.80 | 16 | 6.15 |
| FantasyLabs | 6.60 | 7 | 8.00 | 5 | 5.29 | 24 | – | – | 4.56 | 9 | 6.11 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 6.50 | 9 | 6.55 | 16 | 6.80 | 10 | 6.50 | 5 | 3.09 | 21 | 5.89 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | – | – | 6.50 | 17 | 6.22 | 16 | 5.50 | 13 | 4.78 | 8 | 5.75 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | – | – | 7.14 | 12 | 6.50 | 14 | 5.40 | 14 | 3.94 | 15 | 5.75 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 5.80 | 14 | 7.00 | 13 | 4.63 | 26 | 6.86 | 3 | 4.27 | 13 | 5.71 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | – | – | 5.50 | 24 | 6.67 | 11 | 6.10 | 9 | 4.38 | 10 | 5.66 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | – | – | 8.00 | 5 | 6.13 | 17 | 5.00 | 23 | 3.13 | 20 | 5.57 |
| Stokastic – Cheat Sheet | 6.27 | 10 | 5.71 | 22 | 6.86 | 9 | 5.73 | 11 | 3.20 | 19 | 5.55 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 6.63 | 6 | 4.38 | 26 | 7.17 | 5 | 4.11 | 26 | 5.25 | 3 | 5.51 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 5.32 | 16 | 6.28 | 18 | 6.31 | 15 | 5.17 | 21 | 4.31 | 12 | 5.48 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 1.67 | 20 | 8.33 | 3 | 5.33 | 23 | 6.67 | 4 | 5.33 | 2 | 5.47 |
| DFSKarma – Building Blocks | 5.00 | 18 | 7.00 | 13 | 7.33 | 4 | 5.33 | 15 | 2.50 | 26 | 5.43 |
| Rotoballer | 6.56 | 8 | 5.86 | 20 | 5.56 | 22 | 6.50 | 5 | 2.67 | 24 | 5.43 |
| Rotowire | 6.00 | 13 | 5.45 | 25 | 5.73 | 21 | 5.30 | 17 | 4.36 | 11 | 5.37 |
| RunPureSports | – | – | 6.20 | 19 | 6.96 | 8 | 5.17 | 21 | 3.00 | 22 | 5.33 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 5.13 | 17 | 9.00 | 1 | 5.13 | 25 | 5.25 | 18 | 2.00 | 27 | 5.30 |
| Stokastic – Building Blocks | – | – | 3.00 | 28 | 7.50 | 3 | 7.50 | 2 | 3.00 | 22 | 5.25 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 4.92 | 19 | 5.86 | 20 | 6.60 | 13 | 5.32 | 16 | 3.37 | 18 | 5.21 |
| FantasyPros | – | – | 5.56 | 23 | 4.56 | 27 | 4.00 | 27 | 5.24 | 4 | 4.84 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | – | – | 3.11 | 27 | 7.00 | 7 | 4.78 | 25 | 4.11 | 14 | 4.75 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | – | – | 7.67 | 11 | 1.00 | 28 | 6.50 | 5 | 2.67 | 24 | 4.46 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.50 | 29 | 1.50 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Steven Adams (DFS Army Domination Station)
- Keegan Murray (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Xavier Tillman (FantasyGuru)
- Jalen Brunson (NumberFire)
- Harrison Barnes (NumberFire)
- Jonas Valanciunas (Rotoballer)
- Corey Kispert (Rotowire)
- Max Christie (Rotowire Optimizer)
Tuesday
- Josh Giddey (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Nerlens Noel (FantasyPros)
- Torrey Craig (RG Consensus)
- Bismack Biyombo (RunPureSports)
Wednesday
- Steven Adams (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Josh Okogie (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Jevon Carter (FantasyPros)
- KJ Martin (FantasyPros)
- CJ McCollum (NumberFire)
- Tre Jones (NumberFire)
- Trey Murphy III (NumberFire)
- Mitchell Robinson (Rotoballer)
- Josh Richardson (RunPureSports)
Thursday
- Jevon Carter (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Mason Plumlee (FantasyGuru)
- Reggie Bullock (FantasyPros)
- Precious Achiuwa (FantasyPros)
- Marcus Smart (NumberFire)
- Jarrett Allen (RG Grind Down)
- Joe Harris (RunPureSports)
- Jordan Nwora (RunPureSports)
Friday
- Jonas Valanciunas (DailyRoto Optimizer)
- Trae Young (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Hamidou Diallo (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Oshae Brissett (FantasyPros)
- Trey Lyles (Rotowire)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 47
- NumberFire – 35
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 29
- RunPureSports – 23
- Rotowire – 17
- FantasyGuru – 16
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 9
- DK Playbook Values – 8
- Rotoballer – 7
- Rotowire Optimizer – 5
- RG Grind Down – 4
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 4
- Stokastic Cheat Sheet – 3
- DK Playbook Targets – 3
- RG Consensus – 3
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 3
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 2
- FantasyLabs – 1
- DailyFantasyNerd – 1
- RG 6-Pack – 1
- Sportsline – 1
- DFS Army Domination Station – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 5.85)
#2) DFS Army Cheat Sheet (Score: 5.51)
#3A) DFS Army Full Court Press (Score: 5.49)
#3B) Sportsline (Score: 5.49)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.34) is in 6th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.92) now sits in 16th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | NA | 85.9% |
| 22 | NA | NA | 86.7% | 78.6% |
| 21 | 80.7% | NA | NA | NA |
| 20 | 46.7% | 79.7% | 87.9% | 82.0% |
| 19 | 79.8% | 41.3% | 82.4% | 64.5% |
| 18 | 47.9% | 77.0% | 74.6% | 74.8% |
| 17 | 50.9% | 56.5% | 57.7% | 73.8% |
| 16 | 43.2% | 45.9% | 65.5% | 53.7% |
| 15 | 50.7% | 48.9% | 50.0% | 72.6% |
| 14 | 37.8% | 54.7% | 73.4% | 61.1% |
| 13 | 26.4% | 46.8% | 49.2% | 56.5% |
| 12 | 24.3% | 47.0% | 38.3% | 31.7% |
| 11 | 20.2% | 32.8% | 38.1% | 46.4% |
| 10 | 20.6% | 34.6% | 33.8% | 36.1% |
| 9 | 14.7% | 13.7% | 29.4% | 36.0% |
| 8 | 16.7% | 27.0% | 29.8% | 29.8% |
| 7 | 9.9% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 21.8% |
| 6 | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 20.7% |
| 5 | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 16.5% |
| 4 | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.5% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 10.8% |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | NA | 62.4% |
| 22 | NA | NA | 57.7% | 50.4% |
| 21 | 48.4% | NA | NA | NA |
| 20 | 32.7% | 43.4% | 62.7% | 52.4% |
| 19 | 47.9% | 21.3% | 51.8% | 38.6% |
| 18 | 39.8% | 44.8% | 47.2% | 44.0% |
| 17 | 30.4% | 34.0% | 39.1% | 47.8% |
| 16 | 32.4% | 28.9% | 36.7% | 42.1% |
| 15 | 29.9% | 27.3% | 34.3% | 40.0% |
| 14 | 26.3% | 30.4% | 40.7% | 41.8% |
| 13 | 24.4% | 27.2% | 34.8% | 38.3% |
| 12 | 20.1% | 28.5% | 28.3% | 24.0% |
| 11 | 17.1% | 18.5% | 25.5% | 31.6% |
| 10 | 15.2% | 21.3% | 23.6% | 25.8% |
| 9 | 14.0% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 23.3% |
| 8 | 14.4% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 21.4% |
| 7 | 10.7% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 17.5% |
| 6 | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 16.0% |
| 5 | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.1% |
| 4 | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 12.7% |
| 3 | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
