NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of March 13th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
The NBA season is close to wrapping up as the experts continue jostling for position. Three days recapped from last week below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Avg |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 6.00 | 4 | 6.33 | 6 | 7.75 | 3 | 6.69 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 7.57 | 1 | 5.22 | 18 | 6.33 | 10 | 6.37 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 5.63 | 9 | 6.25 | 8 | 7.13 | 5 | 6.34 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 5.67 | 7 | 6.31 | 7 | 6.69 | 8 | 6.22 |
| Sportsline | 5.00 | 13 | 7.67 | 1 | 5.67 | 17 | 6.11 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 6.36 | 3 | 6.55 | 3 | 5.13 | 22 | 6.01 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 5.90 | 5 | 5.40 | 15 | 6.58 | 9 | 5.96 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 5.63 | 9 | 5.75 | 10 | 6.13 | 14 | 5.84 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 4.50 | 18 | 5.00 | 21 | 8.00 | 1 | 5.83 |
| Stokastic – Cheat Sheet | 6.93 | 2 | 5.07 | 20 | 5.33 | 21 | 5.78 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 5.88 | 6 | 5.50 | 13 | 5.75 | 15 | 5.71 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | 5.67 | 7 | – | – | – | – | 5.67 |
| RunPureSports | 4.87 | 15 | 5.68 | 11 | 6.31 | 11 | 5.62 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 5.39 | 12 | 5.19 | 19 | 6.21 | 13 | 5.60 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 4.97 | 14 | 5.77 | 9 | 5.63 | 18 | 5.46 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 3.67 | 21 | 4.50 | 23 | 8.00 | 1 | 5.39 |
| FantasyGuru | 5.53 | 11 | 4.89 | 22 | 5.61 | 20 | 5.34 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 3.57 | 23 | 5.38 | 16 | 7.00 | 6 | 5.32 |
| Rotoballer | 3.38 | 24 | 6.50 | 4 | 5.63 | 18 | 5.17 |
| FantasyLabs | 4.80 | 16 | 6.70 | 2 | 4.00 | 24 | 5.17 |
| DFSKarma – Building Blocks | 3.67 | 21 | 5.50 | 13 | 6.25 | 12 | 5.14 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 4.38 | 20 | 6.50 | 4 | 4.50 | 23 | 5.13 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 1.20 | 28 | 5.67 | 12 | 7.00 | 6 | 4.62 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 2.00 | 26 | 3.67 | 24 | 7.67 | 4 | 4.45 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 4.44 | 19 | 5.25 | 17 | 3.17 | 26 | 4.29 |
| Rotowire | 4.64 | 17 | 2.40 | 27 | 5.75 | 15 | 4.26 |
| FantasyPros | 2.65 | 25 | 3.56 | 25 | 3.20 | 25 | 3.14 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 2.00 | 26 | 3.00 | 26 | – | – | 2.50 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Lauri Markkanen (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Gabe Vincent (FantasyPros)
- Josh Green (NumberFire)
- Kevin Porter, Jr (NumberFire)
- KJ Martin (NumberFire)
- Khris Middleton (RG Grind Down)
- Jordan Nwora (RunPureSports)
Tuesday
- Herbert Jones (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Michael Porter, Jr (NumberFire)
- Zach Collins (NumberFire)
- Jalen Williams (Rotoballer)
- Cameron Johnson (RG Grind Down)
- Keita Bates-Diop (RunPureSports)
- Jeremy Sochan (RunPureSports)
Wednesday
- Russell Westbrook (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Austin Reaves (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Terance Mann (FantasyPros)
- Max Strus (FantasyPros)
- Blake Wesley (NumberFire)
- Patrick Williams (Rotowire)
- Cedi Osman (RunPureSports)
- Malik Monk (RunPureSports)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 79
- NumberFire – 58
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 48
- RunPureSports – 46
- Rotowire – 21
- FantasyGuru – 20
- DK Playbook Values – 11
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 11
- Rotoballer – 10
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 7
- RG Grind Down – 7
- Rotowire Optimizer – 5
- RG Consensus – 5
- Stokastic Cheat Sheet – 5
- DK Playbook Targets – 3
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 3
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 3
- RG 6-Pack – 3
- FantasyLabs – 1
- DailyFantasyNerd – 1
- Sportsline – 1
- DFS Army Domination Station – 1
- RG Lineup Builder – 1
- DFS Army Cheat Sheet – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.12)
#2) DFS Army Cheat Sheet (Score: 5.78)
#3) DFS Karma Building Blocks (Score: 5.65)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.48) stayed in 8th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.91) is in 21st place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | 94.3% | 84.3% |
| 22 | NA | 56.1% | 86.7% | 78.6% |
| 21 | 80.7% | 69.6% | 86.0% | 80.2% |
| 20 | 55.5% | 79.7% | 87.3% | 83.5% |
| 19 | 75.8% | 71.7% | 84.0% | 69.6% |
| 18 | 54.2% | 77.0% | 74.7% | 74.3% |
| 17 | 56.0% | 55.9% | 55.6% | 67.3% |
| 16 | 49.9% | 54.1% | 60.7% | 57.2% |
| 15 | 47.7% | 52.0% | 57.3% | 67.3% |
| 14 | 41.7% | 52.5% | 73.4% | 44.3% |
| 13 | 31.5% | 43.1% | 48.9% | 51.2% |
| 12 | 31.1% | 44.4% | 43.5% | 41.0% |
| 11 | 24.3% | 39.1% | 36.5% | 48.2% |
| 10 | 20.4% | 28.9% | 33.1% | 38.7% |
| 9 | 14.7% | 18.1% | 30.1% | 33.2% |
| 8 | 13.4% | 21.0% | 25.0% | 27.4% |
| 7 | 10.7% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 23.9% |
| 6 | 8.8% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 17.3% |
| 5 | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 15.4% |
| 4 | 5.0% | 6.5% | 12.4% | 12.6% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 10.1% |
| 2 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | 61.6% | 63.0% |
| 22 | NA | 43.7% | 57.7% | 50.4% |
| 21 | 48.4% | 46.6% | 56.30% | 53.40% |
| 20 | 30.7% | 43.4% | 64.0% | 55.2% |
| 19 | 47.5% | 41.8% | 54.7% | 45.1% |
| 18 | 37.5% | 44.8% | 49.3% | 44.0% |
| 17 | 33.2% | 34.1% | 37.7% | 45.5% |
| 16 | 32.3% | 35.7% | 33.5% | 40.4% |
| 15 | 28.7% | 28.8% | 36.2% | 39.9% |
| 14 | 28.2% | 30.6% | 40.7% | 33.0% |
| 13 | 24.4% | 25.4% | 33.5% | 32.4% |
| 12 | 22.8% | 26.7% | 30.2% | 30.6% |
| 11 | 18.3% | 21.2% | 25.1% | 31.9% |
| 10 | 17.4% | 20.1% | 23.4% | 26.1% |
| 9 | 13.5% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 21.4% |
| 8 | 13.1% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 18.6% |
| 7 | 11.6% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 18.2% |
| 6 | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 14.3% |
| 5 | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.3% |
| 4 | 6.8% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 11.2% |
| 3 | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% |
| 2 | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
