NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of March 15th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
Our first full week of NBA action since the All-Star game was last week. There was some movement among the experts and margins are razor thin atop the leaderboard. A full, five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 7.50 | 1 | 7.67 | 5 | 6.50 | 2 | 8.25 | 2 | 5.33 | 5 | 7.05 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 6.50 | 5 | 10.00 | 1 | 6.00 | 8 | 4.67 | 16 | 3.67 | 21 | 6.17 |
| Sportsline | 6.50 | 5 | 2.00 | 35 | 6.50 | 2 | 5.50 | 6 | 10.00 | 1 | 6.10 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.69 | 10 | 6.85 | 8 | 6.40 | 6 | 6.20 | 3 | 4.20 | 13 | 5.87 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 3.63 | 29 | 8.25 | 3 | 6.50 | 2 | 4.29 | 19 | 6.25 | 2 | 5.78 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 5.64 | 11 | 6.00 | 17 | 5.18 | 18 | 6.08 | 4 | 5.75 | 3 | 5.73 |
| RunPureSports | – | – | 6.75 | 10 | 5.07 | 20 | 5.60 | 5 | 5.27 | 6 | 5.67 |
| DFSKarma – GPP Plays | 3.00 | 31 | 10.00 | 1 | 3.00 | 30 | 10.00 | 1 | 2.00 | 33 | 5.60 |
| FantasyLabs | 7.30 | 2 | 8.10 | 4 | 4.80 | 21 | 3.56 | 26 | 3.95 | 17 | 5.54 |
| Rotowire | 7.07 | 4 | 6.43 | 14 | 5.11 | 19 | 5.00 | 11 | 3.62 | 22 | 5.45 |
| DailyRoto | 5.13 | 18 | 6.73 | 11 | 5.36 | 15 | 5.08 | 9 | 4.85 | 9 | 5.43 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 5.20 | 16 | 6.05 | 16 | 4.80 | 21 | 5.10 | 8 | – | – | 5.29 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 7.08 | 3 | 5.92 | 20 | 4.70 | 24 | 4.83 | 13 | 3.71 | 20 | 5.25 |
| Rotoballer | 4.75 | 22 | 6.43 | 14 | 7.25 | 1 | 3.29 | 27 | 4.09 | 14 | 5.16 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 5.73 | 9 | 5.20 | 27 | 5.93 | 10 | 4.87 | 12 | 4.00 | 15 | 5.15 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 3.82 | 28 | 6.83 | 9 | 5.63 | 12 | 4.79 | 14 | 4.42 | 11 | 5.10 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 5.03 | 20 | 5.88 | 21 | 6.12 | 7 | 4.53 | 17 | 3.22 | 28 | 4.96 |
| DailyOverlay – Hot Sheet | 5.55 | 14 | 5.30 | 24 | 5.73 | 11 | 4.45 | 18 | 3.20 | 29 | 4.85 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 4.63 | 23 | 6.63 | 12 | 5.50 | 13 | 3.63 | 25 | 3.75 | 19 | 4.83 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 5.43 | 15 | 2.83 | 34 | 6.42 | 5 | 4.75 | 15 | 4.60 | 10 | 4.81 |
| EliteFantasy | 5.60 | 12 | 5.24 | 25 | 4.61 | 25 | 5.05 | 10 | 3.35 | 27 | 4.77 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 5.88 | 8 | 7.43 | 6 | 2.38 | 32 | 5.38 | 7 | 2.75 | 30 | 4.76 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 4.63 | 23 | 5.63 | 22 | 5.25 | 16 | 3.88 | 22 | 4.38 | 12 | 4.75 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 4.60 | 25 | 6.53 | 13 | 4.57 | 27 | 4.00 | 21 | 3.47 | 26 | 4.63 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 4.38 | 26 | 6.00 | 17 | 4.00 | 28 | 3.20 | 28 | 5.00 | 7 | 4.52 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 5.10 | 19 | 3.40 | 32 | 4.80 | 21 | 3.70 | 24 | 4.90 | 8 | 4.38 |
| FantasyPros | 4.85 | 21 | 5.24 | 25 | 5.22 | 17 | 4.20 | 20 | 2.20 | 32 | 4.34 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 2.50 | 32 | 5.50 | 23 | 6.00 | 8 | 2.00 | 32 | 5.50 | 4 | 4.30 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 5.56 | 13 | 4.70 | 28 | 4.60 | 26 | 2.88 | 29 | 3.50 | 25 | 4.25 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 5.20 | 16 | 4.00 | 29 | 5.50 | 13 | 2.80 | 30 | 3.60 | 23 | 4.22 |
| Rotoworld – Pivots | 6.00 | 7 | 3.25 | 33 | 3.25 | 29 | – | – | – | – | 4.17 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 3.86 | 27 | 6.00 | 17 | 2.63 | 31 | 3.75 | 23 | 3.83 | 18 | 4.01 |
| Rotoworld | 3.11 | 30 | 6.89 | 7 | – | – | 2.14 | 31 | 3.56 | 24 | 3.93 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 2.00 | 33 | 4.00 | 29 | – | – | 1.33 | 33 | 4.00 | 15 | 2.83 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | – | – | 3.60 | 31 | – | – | – | – | 1.60 | 34 | 2.60 |
| SportsGamblingPodcast | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.50 | 31 | 2.50 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Marcus Morris (Awesemo Cheat Sheet)
- Buddy Hield (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
Tuesday
- Alec Burks (DFS Army Cheat Sheet)
- Lonzo Ball (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Kenrich Williams (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Sterling Brown (Fantasy Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Josh Hart (FantasyPros)
- Kelly Olynyk (Rotoballer)
Wednesday
- Marcus Morris (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Robert Williams (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- De’Anthony Melton (FantasyPros)
- Pat Connoughton (FantasyPros)
- Norman Powell (Rotoballer)
- Donte DiVincenzo (Rotoballer)
Thursday
- Bogdan Bogdanovic (DFS Karma Game Theory)
Friday
- Aaron Gordon (DailyRoto)
- Damion Lee (RunPureSports)
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) Sportsline (Score: 5.62)
#2) DFS Army Full Court Press (Score: 5.60)
#3) Awesemo Building Blocks (Score: 5.56)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.32) fell one spot to 6th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.59) is in 24th place after last week.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 76.6% | N/A | N/A | 45.1% |
| 25 | N/A | 74.0% | N/A | 91.6% |
| 24 | 74.5% | 82.9% | N/A | 84.4% |
| 23 | 70.4% | 81.5% | 55.1% | 73.4% |
| 22 | 78.4% | 71.5% | 89.0% | 72.0% |
| 21 | 67.2% | 63.2% | 50.4% | 80.9% |
| 20 | 58.1% | N/A | 48.4% | 69.3% |
| 19 | 58.9% | 56.4% | 45.6% | 58.3% |
| 18 | 63.1% | 63.7% | N/A | 77.4% |
| 17 | 47.5% | 66.8% | 51.2% | 73.3% |
| 16 | 35.1% | 49.8% | 49.7% | 77.6% |
| 15 | 47.1% | 42.7% | 60.6% | 48.0% |
| 14 | 29.5% | 38.7% | 47.3% | 38.5% |
| 13 | 32.2% | 32.5% | 35.0% | 62.0% |
| 12 | 20.1% | 30.6% | 29.3% | 41.6% |
| 11 | 16.1% | 22.3% | 27.6% | 32.2% |
| 10 | 12.3% | 21.1% | 23.8% | 38.3% |
| 9 | 13.7% | 14.9% | 19.6% | 29.1% |
| 8 | 10.4% | 17.5% | 20.2% | 32.1% |
| 7 | 5.6% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 20.1% |
| 6 | 5.5% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 19.5% |
| 5 | 4.0% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 17.3% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 10.1% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 11.0% |
| 2 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 43.2% | N/A | N/A | 33.6% |
| 25 | N/A | 51.1% | N/A | 70.0% |
| 24 | 43.0% | 47.7% | N/A | 55.8% |
| 23 | 40.6% | 46.2% | 41.6% | 51.0% |
| 22 | 47.7% | 43.3% | 65.0% | 50.5% |
| 21 | 40.2% | 37.8% | 34.3% | 54.7% |
| 20 | 36.7% | N/A | 33.5% | 44.9% |
| 19 | 33.7% | 32.8% | 29.3% | 36.8% |
| 18 | 35.1% | 34.6% | N/A | 49.3% |
| 17 | 34.3% | 40.0% | 38.1% | 46.9% |
| 16 | 24.9% | 31.8% | 35.0% | 45.7% |
| 15 | 28.3% | 30.4% | 38.2% | 28.4% |
| 14 | 24.3% | 27.0% | 31.6% | 29.3% |
| 13 | 23.4% | 23.4% | 24.0% | 41.6% |
| 12 | 17.8% | 22.2% | 22.2% | 27.5% |
| 11 | 16.0% | 20.0% | 21.8% | 23.1% |
| 10 | 13.6% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 24.4% |
| 9 | 13.6% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 20.7% |
| 8 | 11.8% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 20.5% |
| 7 | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 16.4% |
| 6 | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 14.5% |
| 5 | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.5% |
| 4 | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
