NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of March 22nd
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
Another week down in the NBA. We saw an active trade deadline on Thursday and that shuffling will create some different uses of players throughout the league. A full, five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 5.00 | 4 | 7.33 | 2 | 2.00 | 36 | 6.87 |
| DailyOverlay – Hot Sheet | 6.25 | 7 | – | – | 5.09 | 3 | 6.22 | 6 | 5.27 | 12 | 5.71 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 5.50 | 10 | 5.00 | 11 | 4.90 | 6 | 7.44 | 1 | 4.90 | 20 | 5.55 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 7.13 | 3 | 4.50 | 19 | 4.50 | 15 | 5.38 | 15 | 6.13 | 5 | 5.53 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 4.54 | 22 | 6.00 | 4 | 3.75 | 25 | 5.67 | 10 | 7.33 | 1 | 5.46 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 5.17 | 15 | 5.30 | 10 | 4.45 | 17 | 5.73 | 9 | 6.08 | 6 | 5.35 |
| FantasyLabs | 5.60 | 9 | 6.30 | 3 | 4.90 | 6 | 4.89 | 20 | 5.00 | 17 | 5.34 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 7.13 | 3 | 4.50 | 19 | 3.43 | 27 | 4.43 | 24 | 7.00 | 2 | 5.30 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.80 | 8 | 6.00 | 4 | 4.77 | 9 | 4.44 | 23 | 5.22 | 14 | 5.25 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 5.38 | 11 | 3.75 | 29 | 4.43 | 18 | 5.63 | 12 | 6.88 | 3 | 5.21 |
| RunPureSports | 5.21 | 14 | 4.87 | 12 | 4.93 | 5 | 5.89 | 8 | 4.80 | 21 | 5.14 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 4.84 | 17 | 4.65 | 15 | 4.79 | 8 | 5.11 | 18 | 6.00 | 7 | 5.08 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 4.67 | 20 | 4.33 | 23 | – | – | 5.67 | 10 | 5.50 | 11 | 5.04 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 6.50 | 5 | 4.63 | 16 | 2.50 | 30 | 6.43 | 4 | 4.75 | 22 | 4.96 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 6.50 | 5 | 6.50 | 2 | 5.75 | 1 | 3.75 | 29 | 2.25 | 35 | 4.95 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 4.60 | 21 | 4.33 | 23 | 4.13 | 22 | 6.44 | 3 | 5.14 | 15 | 4.93 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 4.38 | 25 | 5.73 | 7 | 3.00 | 29 | 5.15 | 17 | 6.31 | 4 | 4.91 |
| Rotowire | 5.31 | 13 | 4.73 | 14 | 4.20 | 21 | 5.45 | 13 | 4.71 | 23 | 4.88 |
| DailyRoto | 5.38 | 11 | 5.42 | 9 | 4.64 | 14 | 3.70 | 30 | 5.00 | 17 | 4.83 |
| Rotoworld | 3.60 | 30 | 5.50 | 8 | 3.78 | 24 | 6.29 | 5 | 4.38 | 26 | 4.71 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 4.50 | 23 | 4.75 | 13 | 3.25 | 28 | 4.86 | 22 | 6.00 | 7 | 4.67 |
| EliteFantasy | 4.79 | 18 | 4.59 | 17 | 4.50 | 15 | 5.38 | 15 | 4.09 | 27 | 4.67 |
| Rotoworld – Pivots | – | – | 4.25 | 26 | 4.71 | 12 | – | – | 5.00 | 17 | 4.65 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 4.69 | 19 | 4.38 | 22 | 4.24 | 19 | 6.00 | 7 | 3.76 | 30 | 4.61 |
| FantasyPros | 4.07 | 26 | 4.53 | 18 | 4.72 | 11 | 4.00 | 28 | 5.26 | 13 | 4.52 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 4.40 | 24 | 5.80 | 6 | 3.70 | 26 | 4.89 | 20 | 3.75 | 31 | 4.51 |
| SportsGamblingPodcast | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.43 | 25 | 4.43 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 4.93 | 16 | 4.13 | 27 | 4.73 | 10 | 4.29 | 27 | 4.00 | 28 | 4.42 |
| Rotoballer | 3.57 | 31 | 4.29 | 25 | 4.22 | 20 | 4.43 | 24 | 5.11 | 16 | 4.32 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 4.00 | 27 | 3.25 | 30 | 4.71 | 12 | 5.43 | 14 | 4.00 | 28 | 4.28 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 3.81 | 28 | 3.94 | 28 | 3.85 | 23 | 5.08 | 19 | 4.65 | 24 | 4.27 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | – | – | 2.00 | 32 | – | – | – | – | 6.00 | 7 | 4.00 |
| Sportsline | 7.50 | 2 | 2.00 | 32 | 1.50 | 32 | 2.00 | 31 | 6.00 | 7 | 3.80 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 2.22 | 32 | 4.50 | 19 | 5.10 | 2 | 4.33 | 26 | 2.80 | 34 | 3.79 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 3.75 | 29 | – | – | 1.33 | 33 | – | – | 3.67 | 32 | 2.92 |
| DFSKarma – GPP Plays | 1.00 | 33 | 3.00 | 31 | 2.00 | 31 | 1.00 | 32 | 3.00 | 33 | 2.00 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Kyle Anderson (Rotowire Optimizer)
Tuesday
- Tony Bradley (FantasyLabs)
- PJ Dozier (FantasyPros)
- Evan Fournier (RunPureSports)
Wednesday
- Caris Levert (Awesemo Cheat Sheet)
- Brandon Clarke (Awesemo Cheat Sheet)
- Khris Middleton (Daily Overlay Hot Sheet)
- Justise Winslow (DailyRoto)
- Paul Millsap (DailyRoto Optimizer)
- Lugentz Dort (DFS Karma Game Theory)
- Devin Booker (Fantasy Alarm Lineup Generator)
Thursday
- Enes Kanter (Awesemo Cheat Sheet)
- Alec Burks (Daily Overlay Hot Sheet)
- Nico Mannion (DailyRoto)
Friday
- Jayson Tatum (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Terry Rozier (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Marcus Smart (FantasyPros)
- Naz Reid (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Malik Monk (Rotoballer)
- Juancho Hernangomez (RG Lineup Builder)
- Myles Turner (Rotoworld Pivots)
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) DFS Army Full Court Press (Score: 5.58)
#2) Sportsline (Score: 5.51)
#3) Awesemo Building Blocks (Score: 5.49)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.32) stayed in 6th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.59) is in 24th place after last week.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 76.6% | N/A | N/A | 45.1% |
| 25 | N/A | 77.0% | N/A | 91.6% |
| 24 | 74.5% | 82.9% | N/A | 84.4% |
| 23 | 70.6% | 81.5% | 55.1% | 73.4% |
| 22 | 78.4% | 71.5% | 78.3% | 71.2% |
| 21 | 67.2% | 63.2% | 33.3% | 80.3% |
| 20 | 60.0% | N/A | 48.4% | 69.3% |
| 19 | 58.9% | 56.4% | 40.8% | 58.3% |
| 18 | 55.0% | 63.7% | N/A | 77.4% |
| 17 | 47.5% | 66.8% | 52.2% | 74.0% |
| 16 | 33.8% | 51.9% | 44.1% | 77.6% |
| 15 | 45.6% | 43.2% | 55.1% | 48.0% |
| 14 | 32.0% | 41.2% | 43.2% | 35.5% |
| 13 | 32.2% | 32.5% | 32.8% | 62.0% |
| 12 | 21.4% | 30.6% | 25.5% | 41.1% |
| 11 | 15.6% | 25.1% | 27.6% | 39.6% |
| 10 | 12.3% | 19.7% | 23.0% | 36.7% |
| 9 | 13.3% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 29.0% |
| 8 | 10.4% | 18.3% | 21.3% | 32.1% |
| 7 | 5.6% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 20.1% |
| 6 | 5.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 19.8% |
| 5 | 4.0% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 18.6% |
| 4 | 2.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 10.5% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 11.1% |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 43.2% | N/A | N/A | 33.6% |
| 25 | N/A | 51.9% | N/A | 70.0% |
| 24 | 43.0% | 47.7% | N/A | 55.8% |
| 23 | 38.8% | 46.2% | 41.6% | 51.0% |
| 22 | 47.7% | 43.3% | 52.6% | 53.3% |
| 21 | 40.2% | 37.8% | 29.2% | 55.7% |
| 20 | 37.1% | N/A | 33.5% | 44.9% |
| 19 | 33.7% | 32.8% | 30.1% | 36.8% |
| 18 | 32.8% | 34.6% | N/A | 49.3% |
| 17 | 34.3% | 40.0% | 37.9% | 47.4% |
| 16 | 24.5% | 32.7% | 31.6% | 45.7% |
| 15 | 28.3% | 30.7% | 34.8% | 28.4% |
| 14 | 25.1% | 28.3% | 29.1% | 27.7% |
| 13 | 23.4% | 23.4% | 23.3% | 41.6% |
| 12 | 18.4% | 22.2% | 20.4% | 26.9% |
| 11 | 16.0% | 21.1% | 21.8% | 26.6% |
| 10 | 13.2% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 23.9% |
| 9 | 13.7% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 20.6% |
| 8 | 11.8% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 20.5% |
| 7 | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 16.4% |
| 6 | 7.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 14.6% |
| 5 | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.2% |
| 4 | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
