NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of March 29th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
Another week of shuffling atop the leaderboard. As the season winds down, it’s going to be a fun race to the finish. A full, five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| DFSKarma – GPP Plays | 5.00 | 15 | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0.00 | 34 | 7.00 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 7.13 | 3 | 2.67 | 27 | 6.13 | 13 | 10.00 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 6.69 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | – | – | – | – | 6.60 | 7 | – | – | – | – | 6.60 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 5.33 | 12 | 6.50 | 3 | 7.33 | 3 | 8.75 | 4 | 5.00 | 17 | 6.58 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 10.00 | 1 | 5.50 | 4 | 5.50 | 19 | 7.50 | 9 | 4.00 | 28 | 6.50 |
| RunPureSports | 4.73 | 19 | – | – | 6.00 | 14 | 7.80 | 8 | 7.36 | 3 | 6.47 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 5.38 | 11 | 4.63 | 6 | 7.00 | 6 | 7.88 | 7 | 6.25 | 11 | 6.23 |
| DailyRoto | 6.23 | 5 | – | – | 5.33 | 21 | – | – | 7.08 | 4 | 6.21 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 6.08 | 6 | 4.60 | 7 | 6.21 | 12 | 7.25 | 11 | 6.62 | 6 | 6.15 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 6.50 | 4 | 4.00 | 13 | 6.25 | 11 | 7.13 | 12 | 6.88 | 5 | 6.15 |
| FantasyLabs | 5.40 | 10 | 4.13 | 11 | 6.00 | 14 | 8.00 | 6 | 6.36 | 8 | 5.98 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 4.38 | 22 | 4.71 | 5 | 5.29 | 23 | 8.13 | 5 | 6.25 | 11 | 5.75 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 5.13 | 14 | 3.71 | 22 | 4.40 | 29 | 9.00 | 3 | 6.50 | 7 | 5.75 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 5.25 | 13 | 2.57 | 28 | 6.57 | 8 | 6.38 | 13 | 7.50 | 1 | 5.65 |
| Sportsline | 5.00 | 15 | 2.50 | 29 | 7.50 | 2 | 7.50 | 9 | 5.00 | 17 | 5.50 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 5.90 | 7 | 4.30 | 10 | 6.00 | 14 | 5.89 | 15 | 5.30 | 15 | 5.48 |
| DailyOverlay – Hot Sheet | 5.00 | 15 | 4.57 | 8 | 5.18 | 27 | 5.64 | 17 | 6.36 | 8 | 5.35 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 1.75 | 32 | 7.50 | 2 | 7.33 | 3 | 5.00 | 25 | 5.00 | 17 | 5.32 |
| Rotowire | 5.75 | 8 | 3.80 | 20 | 5.27 | 24 | 4.71 | 26 | 6.33 | 10 | 5.17 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 3.68 | 25 | 3.81 | 18 | 5.79 | 17 | 5.85 | 16 | 5.95 | 14 | 5.02 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 2.07 | 31 | 3.31 | 25 | 7.06 | 5 | 6.20 | 14 | 6.00 | 13 | 4.93 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.44 | 9 | 3.83 | 16 | 5.25 | 25 | 5.17 | 23 | 4.81 | 21 | 4.90 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 4.47 | 21 | 3.82 | 17 | 5.36 | 20 | 5.64 | 17 | 4.70 | 24 | 4.80 |
| EliteFantasy | 4.70 | 20 | 3.81 | 18 | 4.39 | 30 | 5.50 | 20 | 4.25 | 26 | 4.53 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 3.95 | 24 | 4.52 | 9 | 4.03 | 32 | 5.36 | 22 | 4.74 | 23 | 4.52 |
| FantasyPros | 2.79 | 29 | 3.61 | 23 | 5.33 | 21 | 5.45 | 21 | 5.18 | 16 | 4.47 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 3.25 | 28 | 4.13 | 11 | 6.43 | 9 | 5.13 | 24 | 3.29 | 31 | 4.45 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 3.60 | 26 | 3.90 | 15 | 5.22 | 26 | 4.63 | 27 | 4.50 | 25 | 4.37 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 3.58 | 27 | 3.57 | 24 | 5.00 | 28 | 5.58 | 19 | 3.50 | 30 | 4.25 |
| Rotoballer | 5.00 | 15 | 2.20 | 30 | 6.36 | 10 | 3.67 | 30 | 4.00 | 28 | 4.25 |
| Rotoworld | 2.10 | 30 | 4.00 | 13 | 5.63 | 18 | 3.71 | 29 | 5.00 | 17 | 4.09 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 4.25 | 23 | 2.69 | 26 | 4.25 | 0 | 4.38 | 28 | 4.79 | 22 | 4.07 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 8.75 | 2 | – | – | 2.00 | 35 | – | – | 1.33 | 33 | 4.03 |
| Rotoworld – Pivots | – | – | – | – | 3.80 | 34 | – | – | 4.13 | 27 | 3.97 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | – | – | 3.80 | 20 | 3.88 | 33 | 3.67 | 30 | 1.56 | 32 | 3.23 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Jonas Valanciunas (DFS Karma Game Theory)
- Cory Joseph (DK Playbook Values)
- Jakob Poeltl (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
Tuesday
- Jamal Murray (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Jerome Robinson (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Cody Zeller (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Mike Scott (EliteFantasy)
Wednesday
- Damian Lillard (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Lauri Markkanen (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Patty Mills (FantasyPros)
- Rudy Gay (FantasyPros)
- Devin Booker (RG Consensus)
- Denzel Valentine (Rotowire)
- Kyle Anderson (Rotowire Optimizer)
Thursday
- Deni Avdija (Awesemo Cheat Sheet)
- Stephen Curry (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- DeMar DeRozan (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Draymond Green (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Dwight Howard (FantasyLabs)
- LaMarcus Aldridge (FantasyPros)
- Jeff Green (RunPureSports)
Friday
- Brandon Goodwin (Daily Overlay Hot Sheet)
- De’Anthony Melton (DailyRoto)
- Bojan Bogdanovic (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (FantasyPros)
- Naz Reid (FantasyPros)
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) Awesemo Building Blocks (Score: 5.57)
#2) DFS Army Full Court Press (Score: 5.54)
#3) Sportsline (Score: 5.51)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.40) moved into 5th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.56) is in 26th place after last week.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 76.6% | N/A | N/A | 45.1% |
| 25 | N/A | 77.0% | 78.80% | 91.6% |
| 24 | 74.5% | 82.9% | N/A | 84.4% |
| 23 | 70.6% | 81.5% | 55.1% | 73.4% |
| 22 | 78.4% | 71.5% | 78.3% | 71.2% |
| 21 | 67.2% | 63.2% | 33.3% | 80.3% |
| 20 | 60.8% | N/A | 48.4% | 69.3% |
| 19 | 58.9% | 56.4% | 49.2% | 58.3% |
| 18 | 58.7% | 63.7% | N/A | 71.7% |
| 17 | 48.3% | 62.0% | 51.8% | 76.7% |
| 16 | 38.5% | 50.5% | 44.3% | 64.2% |
| 15 | 46.2% | 41.6% | 58.9% | 48.0% |
| 14 | 32.0% | 37.7% | 43.2% | 38.4% |
| 13 | 33.3% | 36.3% | 39.0% | 62.0% |
| 12 | 20.5% | 29.1% | 27.9% | 42.6% |
| 11 | 17.9% | 26.5% | 30.7% | 37.8% |
| 10 | 15.6% | 19.3% | 22.9% | 36.1% |
| 9 | 12.9% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 28.1% |
| 8 | 9.6% | 17.8% | 21.7% | 34.0% |
| 7 | 5.6% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 19.8% |
| 6 | 5.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 19.8% |
| 5 | 3.9% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 17.8% |
| 4 | 2.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.6% |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 11.4% |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 43.2% | N/A | N/A | 33.6% |
| 25 | N/A | 51.9% | 40.20% | 70.0% |
| 24 | 43.0% | 47.7% | N/A | 55.8% |
| 23 | 38.8% | 46.2% | 41.6% | 51.0% |
| 22 | 47.7% | 43.3% | 52.6% | 53.3% |
| 21 | 40.2% | 37.8% | 29.2% | 55.7% |
| 20 | 38.0% | #DIV/0! | 33.5% | 44.9% |
| 19 | 33.7% | 32.8% | 34.6% | 36.8% |
| 18 | 37.3% | 34.6% | N/A | 46.6% |
| 17 | 34.6% | 39.7% | 37.7% | 49.1% |
| 16 | 29.0% | 32.0% | 31.5% | 41.8% |
| 15 | 28.2% | 29.2% | 35.7% | 28.4% |
| 14 | 25.1% | 26.9% | 29.1% | 28.6% |
| 13 | 24.3% | 24.1% | 28.1% | 41.6% |
| 12 | 18.0% | 21.6% | 21.1% | 27.8% |
| 11 | 17.3% | 21.2% | 24.2% | 26.4% |
| 10 | 14.4% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 24.4% |
| 9 | 13.5% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 20.2% |
| 8 | 11.4% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 21.0% |
| 7 | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.2% |
| 6 | 7.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 15.0% |
| 5 | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 14.7% |
| 4 | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% |
| 3 | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
