NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of March 8th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
A short DFS week in the NBA as games didn’t start up until mid-week. We now have a razor thin margin separating 1st and 2nd place this season. A short, two-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| DK Playbook – Values | 8.33 | 2 | 8.00 | 2 | 8.17 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 6.80 | 7 | 8.25 | 1 | 7.53 |
| DFSKarma – GPP Plays | 10.00 | 1 | 5.00 | 30 | 7.50 |
| RunPureSports | 7.13 | 4 | 7.27 | 5 | 7.20 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 6.67 | 8 | 6.50 | 9 | 6.59 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 6.86 | 5 | 6.25 | 13 | 6.56 |
| Rotowire | 6.21 | 12 | 6.62 | 8 | 6.42 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 5.93 | 15 | 6.86 | 7 | 6.40 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 5.00 | 26 | 7.67 | 4 | 6.34 |
| DailyOverlay – Hot Sheet | 6.30 | 10 | 6.27 | 12 | 6.29 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 4.76 | 27 | 7.73 | 3 | 6.25 |
| Rotoballer | 7.43 | 3 | 5.00 | 30 | 6.22 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | – | – | 6.20 | 15 | 6.20 |
| FantasyPros | 6.11 | 13 | 6.10 | 17 | 6.11 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 6.86 | 5 | 5.25 | 28 | 6.06 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 6.00 | 14 | 6.00 | 18 | 6.00 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 5.71 | 17 | 6.25 | 13 | 5.98 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 6.36 | 9 | 5.47 | 25 | 5.92 |
| DailyRoto | 5.33 | 23 | 6.18 | 16 | 5.76 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.63 | 19 | 5.80 | 21 | 5.72 |
| EliteFantasy | 5.68 | 18 | 5.74 | 23 | 5.71 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 5.38 | 22 | 6.00 | 18 | 5.69 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 5.20 | 25 | 6.00 | 18 | 5.60 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 6.29 | 11 | 4.88 | 33 | 5.59 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 4.56 | 29 | 6.50 | 9 | 5.53 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 4.00 | 30 | 7.00 | 6 | 5.50 |
| Rotoworld | 5.44 | 20 | 5.38 | 26 | 5.41 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 5.77 | 16 | 5.00 | 30 | 5.39 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 4.60 | 28 | 5.78 | 22 | 5.19 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 5.28 | 24 | 5.08 | 29 | 5.18 |
| FantasyLabs | 3.94 | 32 | 6.42 | 11 | 5.18 |
| Sportsline | 4.00 | 30 | 5.33 | 27 | 4.67 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | 5.40 | 21 | 3.80 | 34 | 4.60 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 2.00 | 33 | 5.67 | 24 | 3.84 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Thursday
- Steven Adams (Awesemo Cheat Sheet)
- Devin Booker (DFS Army Domination Station)
- Mikal Bridges (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Jerami Grant (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- PJ Washington (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Richaun Holmes (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Daniel Theis (EliteFantasy)
- Matisse Thybulle (FantasyPros)
- Naz Reid (FantasyPros)
- Brook Lopez (FantasyPros)
- Tony Bradley (Rotowire Optimizer)
- Tim Hardaway Jr (RunPureSports)
Friday
- Justin Patton (DFS Karma Game Theory)
- Justise Winslow (DK Playbook Values)
- Frukan Korkmaz (DK Playbook Values)
- Zach LaVine (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- De’Anthony Melton (Fantasy Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Brandon Clarke (Fantasy Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Royce O’Neale (FantasyPros)
- Moritz Wagner (Fantasy Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Montrezl Harrell (Rotowire)
- Thaddeus Young (Rotoworld)
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) Sportsline (Score: 5.58)
#2) DFS Army Full Court Press (Score: 5.57)
#3) Awesemo Building Blocks (Score: 5.41)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.33) stayed in 5th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.54) is in 26th place after last week.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 76.6% | N/A | N/A | 45.1% |
| 25 | N/A | 74.0% | N/A | 91.6% |
| 24 | 74.5% | 82.9% | N/A | 84.4% |
| 23 | 68.7% | 81.5% | 55.1% | 73.4% |
| 22 | 78.4% | 71.5% | 89.0% | 72.0% |
| 21 | 67.2% | 63.2% | 50.4% | 72.1% |
| 20 | 59.9% | N/A | 37.5% | 69.3% |
| 19 | 62.0% | 56.4% | 45.6% | 58.3% |
| 18 | 65.1% | 63.7% | N/A | 77.2% |
| 17 | 44.3% | 66.8% | 51.2% | 76.9% |
| 16 | 36.9% | 49.8% | 43.1% | 78.2% |
| 15 | 44.6% | 42.7% | 51.9% | 47.0% |
| 14 | 30.0% | 40.9% | 42.5% | 43.5% |
| 13 | 33.9% | 34.0% | 37.9% | 57.4% |
| 12 | 18.9% | 30.4% | 29.3% | 43.4% |
| 11 | 17.1% | 21.8% | 27.3% | 34.6% |
| 10 | 12.5% | 19.6% | 23.7% | 38.6% |
| 9 | 13.7% | 14.0% | 22.0% | 27.9% |
| 8 | 10.7% | 20.0% | 20.2% | 29.9% |
| 7 | 5.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 20.4% |
| 6 | 5.6% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 19.9% |
| 5 | 4.2% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 17.6% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 10.2% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 10.9% |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 43.2% | N/A | N/A | 33.6% |
| 25 | N/A | 51.1% | N/A | 70.0% |
| 24 | 43.0% | 47.7% | N/A | 55.8% |
| 23 | 38.8% | 46.2% | 41.6% | 51.0% |
| 22 | 47.7% | 43.3% | 65.0% | 50.5% |
| 21 | 40.2% | 37.8% | 34.3% | 56.6% |
| 20 | 36.4% | N/A | 25.6% | 44.9% |
| 19 | 35.0% | 32.8% | 29.3% | 36.8% |
| 18 | 37.5% | 34.6% | N/A | 47.9% |
| 17 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 38.1% | 49.2% |
| 16 | 26.1% | 31.8% | 32.5% | 42.4% |
| 15 | 28.2% | 30.4% | 36.4% | 26.5% |
| 14 | 24.6% | 27.5% | 28.9% | 32.0% |
| 13 | 24.1% | 23.3% | 25.2% | 40.3% |
| 12 | 17.8% | 22.0% | 22.2% | 28.4% |
| 11 | 15.9% | 20.0% | 22.2% | 23.2% |
| 10 | 13.7% | 17.7% | 18.3% | 24.7% |
| 9 | 13.9% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 20.1% |
| 8 | 11.6% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 19.2% |
| 7 | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 16.5% |
| 6 | 7.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 14.5% |
| 5 | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 14.7% |
| 4 | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
