NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of November 15th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
A flip-flop atop the leaderboard last week but the top-2 are separated by .01! Off to a fun start this NBA season. A four-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 10.00 | 1 | 8.60 | 4 | 6.25 | 9 | 10.00 | 1 | 8.71 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 7.67 | 6 | 10.00 | 1 | – | – | 6.50 | 18 | 8.06 |
| Sportsline | 5.88 | 17 | 8.60 | 4 | 6.60 | 5 | 10.00 | 1 | 7.77 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 8.00 | 4 | 9.13 | 3 | 5.50 | 20 | 6.75 | 16 | 7.35 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 6.00 | 15 | 8.60 | 4 | 6.00 | 11 | 8.00 | 7 | 7.15 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 7.86 | 5 | 7.88 | 9 | 4.75 | 23 | 7.38 | 11 | 6.97 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 7.45 | 7 | 6.27 | 22 | 6.00 | 11 | 8.13 | 6 | 6.96 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 6.50 | 12 | 6.20 | 23 | 6.90 | 4 | 7.20 | 13 | 6.70 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 6.00 | 15 | 6.88 | 16 | 7.13 | 3 | 6.71 | 17 | 6.68 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 6.12 | 14 | 7.25 | 13 | 5.56 | 18 | 7.79 | 8 | 6.68 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 9.00 | 3 | 8.25 | 7 | 3.75 | 28 | 5.63 | 28 | 6.66 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 6.78 | 10 | 7.89 | 8 | 5.78 | 13 | 6.13 | 24 | 6.65 |
| Rotoballer | 7.38 | 8 | 6.36 | 21 | 5.75 | 14 | – | – | 6.50 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 6.80 | 9 | 7.60 | 10 | 6.25 | 9 | 5.33 | 29 | 6.50 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.33 | 22 | 6.33 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 6.30 | 13 | 6.47 | 19 | 4.82 | 22 | 7.50 | 9 | 6.27 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.73 | 18 | 5.42 | 26 | 6.50 | 7 | 7.24 | 12 | 6.22 |
| RunPureSports | 5.21 | 24 | 6.17 | 24 | 6.26 | 8 | 7.13 | 14 | 6.19 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 6.64 | 11 | 7.60 | 10 | 4.08 | 26 | 6.30 | 23 | 6.16 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 4.86 | 26 | 7.25 | 13 | 4.00 | 27 | 8.29 | 4 | 6.10 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 4.22 | 27 | 7.58 | 12 | 7.56 | 2 | 4.89 | 30 | 6.06 |
| Rotowire | 5.55 | 19 | 6.45 | 20 | 5.55 | 19 | 6.11 | 25 | 5.92 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 5.38 | 21 | 5.70 | 25 | 5.74 | 15 | 6.78 | 15 | 5.90 |
| FantasyPros | 5.50 | 20 | 4.40 | 29 | 6.53 | 6 | 6.35 | 21 | 5.70 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 2.50 | 31 | 6.50 | 18 | 5.63 | 17 | 8.14 | 5 | 5.69 |
| EliteFantasy | 5.27 | 22 | 4.66 | 27 | 5.08 | 21 | 6.36 | 20 | 5.34 |
| FantasyLabs | 3.60 | 30 | 6.91 | 15 | 4.36 | 24 | 6.44 | 19 | 5.33 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 4.20 | 28 | 6.80 | 17 | 4.10 | 25 | 6.00 | 26 | 5.28 |
| NBC Sports Edge | 5.00 | 25 | 4.25 | 30 | 5.71 | 16 | 6.00 | 26 | 5.24 |
| NBC Sports Edge – Pivots | 4.00 | 29 | 2.38 | 31 | – | – | 7.43 | 10 | 4.60 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 5.25 | 23 | 4.50 | 28 | – | – | 3.75 | 31 | 4.50 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Josh Hart (DK Playbook – Targets)
- Monte Morris (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Luguentz Dort (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Terrence Ross (FantasyPros)
- Taj Gibson (FantasyPros)
- Brandon Clarke (FantasyPros)
- Deandre Ayton (FantasyPros)
- Kyle Anderson (RG Consensus)
Wednesday
- Darius Garland (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
- Isaian Stewart (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
- James Harden (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Jusuf Nurkic (DFS Karma Game Theory)
- Luguentz Dort (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Jae’Sean Tate (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- LaMarcus Aldridge (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Jalen Green (FantasyPros)
- Marcus Smart (FantasyPros)
- Larry Nance, Jr (FantasyPros)
- Tristan Thompson (FantasyPros)
- Russell Westbrook (NumberFire Daily Helper)
- Cam Reddish (RunPureSports)
Thursday
- Georges Niang (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Royce O’Neale (EliteFantasy)
- De’Anthony Melton (FantasyPros)
- Lonnie Walker IV (FantasyPros)
- Joe Ingles (FantasyPros)
- Jaden McDaniels (FantasyPros)
- Brandon Clarke (FantasyPros)
- Gabe Vincent (RunPureSports)
Friday
- Gordon Hayward (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Aaron Gordon (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Cameron Payne (FantasyPros)
- Jeremy Lamb (FantasyPros)
- Chuma Okeke (FantasyPros)
- Cody Martin (FantasyPros)
- Kevon Looney (RunPureSports)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 42
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 15
- RunPureSports – 10
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 7
- EliteFantasy – 4
- DK Playbook Targets – 3
- Rotowire – 2
- NBC Sports Edge Pivots – 2
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 2
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 2
- Rotowire Optimizer – 1
- Sportsline – 1
- Awesemo Cheat Sheet – 1
- DK Playbook Values – 1
- DFS Army Domination Station – 1
- RG Lineup Builder – 1
- RG Consensus – 1
- DFS Karma Game Theory – 1
- NumberFire Daily Helper – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.55)
#2) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 6.54)
#3) Sportsline (Score: 6.01)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.45) fell to 8th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.72) remained in 26th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 66.8% | N/A | 89.1% | N/A |
| 21 | 84.0% | N/A | 95.8% | N/A |
| 20 | 41.3% | N/A | N/A | 59.0% |
| 19 | N/A | 71.4% | 71.2% | 85.2% |
| 18 | 71.3% | 36.9% | 58.0% | 87.6% |
| 17 | N/A | N/A | 72.7% | 74.3% |
| 16 | 41.5% | 43.4% | 37.1% | 71.0% |
| 15 | 39.7% | 21.0% | 53.9% | 59.7% |
| 14 | 58.5% | 34.1% | 64.2% | 46.6% |
| 13 | 38.2% | 38.6% | 45.2% | 29.2% |
| 12 | 35.5% | 44.5% | 30.5% | 49.4% |
| 11 | 23.3% | N/A | 43.3% | 30.4% |
| 10 | 30.6% | 26.2% | 45.5% | 30.9% |
| 9 | 16.6% | 22.5% | 25.0% | 30.1% |
| 8 | 18.5% | 12.1% | 29.6% | 35.0% |
| 7 | 15.1% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 24.6% |
| 6 | 9.0% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 19.0% |
| 5 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 16.1% |
| 4 | 5.9% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% |
| 2 | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 41.0% | N/A | 68.0% | N/A |
| 21 | 54.4% | N/A | 71.4% | N/A |
| 20 | 18.4% | N/A | N/A | 39.6% |
| 19 | N/A | 48.2% | 49.9% | 58.8% |
| 18 | 34.5% | 31.3% | 32.4% | 54.2% |
| 17 | N/A | N/A | 50.6% | 51.4% |
| 16 | 33.7% | 27.8% | 31.0% | 44.2% |
| 15 | 25.1% | 23.1% | 25.3% | 44.5% |
| 14 | 36.3% | 23.7% | 53.2% | 27.8% |
| 13 | 23.4% | 29.7% | 32.8% | 23.5% |
| 12 | 23.7% | 33.1% | 25.9% | 33.6% |
| 11 | 18.4% | N/A | 22.3% | 25.3% |
| 10 | 20.6% | 21.3% | 25.5% | 20.9% |
| 9 | 17.7% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 23.1% |
| 8 | 15.6% | 13.2% | 25.2% | 24.6% |
| 7 | 12.3% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 15.9% |
| 6 | 9.8% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 11.5% |
| 5 | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.4% |
| 4 | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% |
| 3 | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
