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Matt Butler
2019-11-26T16:44:07-06:00 2019-11-26T16:44:07-06:00 We continue to see some big scores from several experts and our Consensus Cash plays are still vying for a top-3 spot. NBA action is in full swing! https://dailyoverlay.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/NBA-Grading-POST.jpg
NBA Expert Grading

NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of November 18th

NBA Expert Recap and Grades for Week of November 18th

Image result for luka doncic

Our Cash Consensus plays continues to perform very well. If you’re not reading our Consensus daily, then you should be. And don’t forget that our Premium Content gets you all our NFL, CFB, PGA and NBA content. A four-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!

In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.

On to the grades!

Week in Review

Monday (November 18th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 7.17 (3rd of 30)
Total Cash Plays – 12
GPP DO Score – 2.67 (30th of 30)
Total GPP Plays – 12

A+ – Eight of the 24 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – There were no Consensus plays that scored a failing grade.

Top Experts of the Day
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 8.33) scored two “A+” grades and one “A” to start the week.

#2) Awesemo (Score: 7.67) scored two “A+’s” and a “B” to cap the top-2 on Monday.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Core Plays (7.19 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – There were no players selected by only one expert that scored an A+ grade.

Tuesday (November 19th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.36 (14th of 26)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 4.75 (20th of 26)
Total GPP Plays – 8

A+ – Six of the 19 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Jonas Valanciunas, Jaren Jackson Jr.

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Awesemo (Score: 8.33) had another solid day with two “A+’s” and an “A” grade.

#2A) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 7.60) scored “A” or better with four of five plays including three “A+” grades.

#2B) DailyRoto Optimizer (Score: 7.60) scored the same as DFN above.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Core Plays (7.30 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Cameron Johnson (DK Playboook)
A+ – Dennis Schroder (FantasyPros)
A+ – Dillon Brooks (RG Consensus)

Wednesday (November 20th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.80 (8th of 29)
Total Cash Plays – 10
GPP DO Score – 3.61 (21st of 29)
Total GPP Plays – 18

A+ – Five of the 28 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Ante Zizic

Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 6.14) finds the top-2 again on Wednesday by scoring an “A+” with four of seven plays.

#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.00) scored an “A+” grade along with one “A” and one “B” with their three selections.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Core Plays (7.03 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Daniel Theis (DailyRoto)
A+ – Patrick Beverley (DFS Army – Domination Station)
A+ – Jonathan Isaac (FantasyLabs)

Friday (November 22nd)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 7.08 (8th of 30)
Total Cash Plays – 12
GPP DO Score – 6.50 (T-13th of 30)
Total GPP Plays – 14

A+ – Fourteen of the 26 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – There were no Consensus plays that scored a failing grade.

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Awesemo (Score: 10.00) had a perfect score with two “A+” grades.

#2) Fansided (Score: 8.83) scored five “A+” grades and one “B” to end the week.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotowire Optimizer (5.99 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
A+ – Garrett Temple (DailyRoto)
A+ – Bruce Brown Jr. (DailyRoto)
A+ – Furkan Korkmaz (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jaylen Brown (DailyRoto)
A+ – Glenn Robinson III (DailyRoto)
A+ – DeAndre’ Bembry (DK Playbook)
A+ – Tim Hardaway Jr. (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Mike Conley (Rotowire Optimizer)
A+ – Darius Garland (Rotowire Optimizer)

Overall Leaderboard

The NumberFire Studs plays continue their strong start to the season but Awesemo is on their heels. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 6.37)

#2) Awesemo (Score: 6.08)

#3) DFS Karma (Score: 5.77)

The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.66) now sits in a tie for 5th. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.18) moves up to 30th place despite raising their overall score.

Ownership Percentage Tracking

A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.

Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.

Cash

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
19 73.4% N/A N/A N/A
18 70.0% N/A N/A 89.0%
17 32.9% 62.1% N/A 74.6%
16 56.0% 69.0% 67.7% N/A
15 49.5% 42.2% 60.3% N/A
14 41.5% 60.3% N/A 68.7%
13 44.1% 47.4% 52.3% 60.0%
12 11.5% 42.8% 57.8% 46.1%
11 21.5% 22.5% 45.1% 51.6%
10 12.6% 24.1% 16.6% 25.3%
9 14.7% 16.3% 36.3% 41.1%
8 11.6% 13.8% 20.4% 26.0%
7 4.8% 9.7% 20.3% 26.6%
6 2.6% 10.4% 14.6% 28.3%
5 3.0% 7.5% 9.1% 15.7%
4 1.8% 5.4% 8.9% 17.5%
3 2.8% 2.6% 4.6% 6.9%
2 1.4% 1.7% 3.1% 4.5%
1 N/A 1.0% 1.8% 2.1%

GPP

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
19 51.5% N/A N/A N/A
18 44.0% N/A N/A 60.2%
17 32.6% 36.7% N/A 50.4%
16 32.5% 40.7% 35.9% N/A
15 37.0% 34.5% 33.9% N/A
14 28.9% 37.7% N/A 40.0%
13 38.2% 38.1% 37.5% 35.3%
12 17.9% 29.1% 34.2% 28.4%
11 17.8% 18.5% 34.0% 28.2%
10 15.2% 22.6% 17.4% 17.2%
9 14.5% 17.1% 26.1% 24.1%
8 13.7% 15.4% 18.5% 19.2%
7 8.8% 11.6% 18.6% 17.6%
6 6.4% 10.5% 13.3% 21.2%
5 6.2% 8.9% 11.7% 12.1%
4 4.7% 8.1% 9.5% 12.3%
3 5.9% 5.4% 7.3% 6.8%
2 3.3% 3.8% 5.2% 4.9%
1 N/A 2.3% 3.4% 2.7%

We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.

 

Tags: DraftKings, expert consensus, FanDuel, nba, NBA DFS
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