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Matt Butler
2019-12-03T22:52:26-06:00 2019-12-03T22:52:26-06:00 Hope that you had a great Turkey Day! With the holiday, we had a shorter than normal week of NBA action. That didn't stop our Consensus Plays from making push towards the top of the leaderboard. https://dailyoverlay.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/NBA-Grading-POST.jpg
NBA Expert Grading

NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of November 25th

NBA Expert Recap and Grades for Week of November 25th

Image result for trae young

If you’re not reading our Daily NBA Consensus, then you probably should be. Our Cash Consensus plays hopped into the top-3 after last week. We have two experts with DO scores above 6.0 and that has them outpacing the competition so far this season. And don’t forget that our Premium Content gets you all our NFL, CFB, PGA and NBA content. A brief, three slate week is recapped below. Enjoy!

In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.

On to the grades!

Week in Review

Monday (November 25th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.09 (6th of 30)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 4.06 (15th of 30)
Total GPP Plays – 16

A+ – Seven of the 27 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Brad Wanamaker, Joel Embiid

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Fansided (Score: 6.50) scored an “A+” with half of their six plays.

#2) DFS Karma (Score: 6.33) also scored an “A+” with half of six plays.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DFS Karma (5.94 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Ky Bowman (DailyRoto)
A+ – Buddy Hield (DailyRoto)
A+ – Glenn Robinson III (DailyRoto)
A+ – Tony Bradley (DFS Army – Full Court Press)
A+ – Denzel Valentine (FantasyPros)
A+ – Jarrett Allen (FullTimeFantasy)

Wednesday (November 27th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.57 (8th of 29)
Total Cash Plays – 21
GPP DO Score – 2.53 (24th of 29)
Total GPP Plays – 30

A+ – Nine of the 51 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Seven of the 51 total plays scored a failing grade.

Top Experts of the Day
#1A) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 7.50) scored an “A+” and “A” with two selections.

#1B) Rotoballer (Score: 7.50) scored two “A+” grades and two “A” grades with four plays.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider (6.66 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Jrue Holiday (DailyRoto)
A+ – Dario Saric (DFS Army – Full Court Press)
A+ – Danuel House Jr. (DK Playbook)
A+ – Bismack Biyombo (Fantasy Alarm)

Friday (November 29th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.80 (7th of 28)
Total Cash Plays – 15
GPP DO Score – 3.80 (25th of 28)
Total GPP Plays – 20

A+ – Ten of the 35 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Bam Adebayo, Matisse Thybulle

Top Experts of the Day
#1) DFS Karma (Score: 10.00) made six picks and all scored “A+” grades!

#2) DFS Army – Cheat Sheet (Score: 7.89) scored “B” or better with all nine of their plays including six “A+” grades.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DFS Army – Domination Station (5.61 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Steven Adams (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jonas Valanciunas (DailyRoto)
A+ – Donte DiVincenzo (DK Playbook)
A+ – Carmelo Anthony (Fansided)
A+ – Royce O’Neale (FantasyLabs)
A+ – Kris Dunn (FantasyPros)
A+ – Derrick White (FantasyPros)
A+ – Miles Bridges (FantasyPros)
A+ – Rui Hachimura (FantasyPros)
A+ – JaVale McGee (FantasyPros)
A+ – Dennis Schroder (FullTimeFantasy)
A+ – Kelly Oubre Jr. (Rotowire)

Overall Leaderboard

The DO Consensus is in the top-3. If you’re not already, you should be reading our Daily Consensus. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 6.35)

#2) DFS Karma (Score: 6.07)

#3) Daily Overlay Industry Consensus – Cash Plays (Score: 5.64)

The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.64) climbs into the top-3. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.04) remains in 30th place after dropping in score.

Ownership Percentage Tracking

A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.

Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.

Cash

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
19 73.4% N/A N/A N/A
18 67.8% N/A N/A 89.0%
17 32.9% 62.1% 80.9% 74.1%
16 56.0% 69.0% 67.7% N/A
15 42.7% 42.2% 60.3% N/A
14 36.3% 60.3% 60.7% 68.7%
13 44.1% 42.3% 58.2% 60.0%
12 14.9% 42.8% 57.8% 46.1%
11 19.3% 28.9% 47.2% 51.6%
10 11.7% 22.2% 22.9% 25.3%
9 10.5% 15.7% 36.3% 41.4%
8 10.5% 14.6% 21.4% 26.0%
7 4.1% 10.0% 19.8% 27.6%
6 2.8% 9.5% 14.6% 28.3%
5 3.0% 6.0% 7.9% 16.2%
4 1.8% 5.0% 8.0% 17.3%
3 2.3% 2.4% 4.1% 6.4%
2 1.4% 1.6% 4.0% 5.4%
1 N/A 1.1% 1.9% 2.1%

GPP

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
19 51.5% N/A N/A N/A
18 39.0% N/A N/A 60.2%
17 32.6% 36.7% 52.4% 48.7%
16 32.5% 40.7% 35.9% N/A
15 33.2% 34.5% 33.9% N/A
14 27.7% 37.7% 30.7% 40.0%
13 38.2% 34.7% 38.4% 35.3%
12 16.0% 29.1% 34.2% 28.4%
11 16.7% 21.0% 33.4% 28.2%
10 14.4% 21.0% 18.9% 17.2%
9 11.4% 16.1% 26.1% 23.9%
8 12.8% 15.2% 17.9% 19.2%
7 8.5% 11.2% 18.1% 18.0%
6 6.0% 9.8% 13.3% 21.2%
5 6.2% 7.9% 10.1% 12.3%
4 4.2% 7.7% 8.7% 12.1%
3 5.0% 5.1% 6.6% 6.4%
2 3.3% 3.6% 5.5% 5.3%
1 N/A 2.3% 3.4% 2.7%

We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.

 

Tags: DraftKings, FanDuel, nba, NBA DFS, nba dfs experts
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