NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of November 28th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
Apologies as a stomach bug kept me from getting Friday’s consensus article up. That said, below you’ll see a recap from the two days we did grade last week. See the full recap from last week below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Wed | Rk | Avg |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 |
| Sportsline | 10.00 | 1 | 7.71 | 3 | 8.86 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 10.00 | 1 | 7.43 | 5 | 8.72 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 10.00 | 1 | 7.00 | 8 | 8.50 |
| Stokastic – Building Blocks | 10.00 | 1 | 6.50 | 16 | 8.25 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 10.00 | 1 | 6.50 | 16 | 8.25 |
| FantasyLabs | 9.00 | 8 | 7.30 | 6 | 8.15 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 10.00 | 1 | 5.91 | 20 | 7.96 |
| DFSKarma – Building Blocks | 7.40 | 13 | 8.25 | 2 | 7.83 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 8.15 | 10 | 7.17 | 7 | 7.66 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 8.00 | 12 | 6.88 | 10 | 7.44 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 8.14 | 11 | 6.63 | 12 | 7.39 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 8.88 | 9 | 5.88 | 21 | 7.38 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 6.61 | 15 | 6.32 | 18 | 6.47 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 6.00 | 16 | 6.72 | 11 | 6.36 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 5.88 | 19 | 6.63 | 12 | 6.26 |
| FantasyGuru | 5.90 | 18 | 6.53 | 15 | 6.22 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 6.71 | 14 | 5.22 | 26 | 5.97 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 4.14 | 27 | 7.67 | 4 | 5.91 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 5.00 | 23 | 6.57 | 14 | 5.79 |
| Rotowire | 6.00 | 16 | 5.36 | 25 | 5.68 |
| RunPureSports | 5.32 | 22 | 5.96 | 19 | 5.64 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 5.36 | 21 | 5.79 | 22 | 5.58 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 5.60 | 20 | 4.33 | 28 | 4.97 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 4.39 | 25 | 5.46 | 24 | 4.93 |
| Stokastic – Cheat Sheet | 4.80 | 24 | 4.93 | 27 | 4.87 |
| Rotoballer | 3.44 | 28 | 5.67 | 23 | 4.56 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 1.00 | 29 | 7.00 | 8 | 4.00 |
| FantasyPros | 4.22 | 26 | 3.55 | 29 | 3.89 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Kevin Durant (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Marcus Smart (FantasyGuru)
- Will Barton (FantasyPros)
- Andre Drummond (FantasyPros)
- Kristaps Porzingis (RG Grind Down)
- Bennedict Mathurin (Rotowire Optimizer)
- Sam Hauser (RunPureSports)
- Gary Harris (RunPureSports)
Wednesday
- LeBron James (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Moritz Wagner (DK Playbook Values)
- Kristaps Porzingis (FantasyPros)
- Mitchell Robinson (RunPureSports)
- Robert Covington (RunPureSports)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 26
- NumberFire – 22
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 17
- RunPureSports – 17
- Rotowire – 11
- FantasyGuru – 10
- Rotoballer – 5
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 5
- Stokastic Cheat Sheet – 3
- DK Playbook Targets – 3
- DK Playbook Values – 3
- RG Grind Down – 3
- Rotowire Optimizer – 3
- RG Consensus – 2
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 2
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 2
- FantasyLabs – 1
- DailyFantasyNerd – 1
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) Stokastic Building Blocks (Score: 6.64)
#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.27)
#3) DFS Karma Building Blocks (Score: 5.69)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.37) moved up to 6th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.55) held steady in 23rd place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | NA | 85.9% |
| 22 | NA | NA | 83.5% | NA |
| 21 | 78.0% | NA | NA | NA |
| 20 | 46.7% | 79.7% | 86.3% | 75.50% |
| 19 | NA | 41.3% | 82.1% | 64.5% |
| 18 | 55.6% | NA | 69.1% | 73.0% |
| 17 | 54.4% | 47.8% | 64.5% | 79.5% |
| 16 | 43.2% | NA | 61.4% | 43.3% |
| 15 | 72.7% | 69.9% | 46.5% | NA |
| 14 | NA | 32.5% | 73.4% | 65.4% |
| 13 | 32.7% | 35.8% | 49.1% | 43.5% |
| 12 | 27.3% | 55.8% | 36.1% | 28.2% |
| 11 | 16.8% | 33.4% | 40.2% | 29.5% |
| 10 | 27.5% | 37.2% | 33.5% | 37.7% |
| 9 | 6.0% | 15.6% | 27.5% | 35.9% |
| 8 | 20.0% | 22.4% | 30.6% | 37.4% |
| 7 | 10.4% | 8.7% | 21.0% | 19.9% |
| 6 | 8.4% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 21.5% |
| 5 | 4.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 11.8% |
| 4 | 8.6% | 3.4% | 18.5% | 7.9% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% |
| 2 | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | NA | 62.4% |
| 22 | NA | NA | 52.4% | NA |
| 21 | 50.7% | NA | NA | NA |
| 20 | 32.7% | 43.4% | 59.8% | 45.8% |
| 19 | NA | 21.3% | 48.0% | 38.6% |
| 18 | 37.2% | NA | 43.2% | 39.6% |
| 17 | 31.8% | 28.2% | 40.4% | 49.0% |
| 16 | 32.4% | NA | 32.8% | 34.8% |
| 15 | 27.6% | 31.8% | 32.9% | NA |
| 14 | NA | 24.9% | 40.7% | 36.3% |
| 13 | 31.1% | 22.2% | 34.1% | 31.4% |
| 12 | 21.0% | 28.8% | 27.6% | 24.5% |
| 11 | 16.0% | 17.7% | 29.0% | 18.1% |
| 10 | 15.4% | 23.0% | 23.2% | 26.8% |
| 9 | 9.4% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 22.3% |
| 8 | 16.6% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 22.3% |
| 7 | 10.1% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 18.0% |
| 6 | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 15.4% |
| 5 | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% |
| 4 | 8.4% | 6.4% | 14.6% | 11.0% |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% |
| 2 | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
